5552 Terry Rd · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOCATION! LOCATION! LOCATION! Shopping and multiple restaurants within minutes. This home has a large front and back yard. A fenced in back yard for pets and cooking out. House could us some updating. House has been freshly painted inside and out and is priced under 100k!
Key facts
- Fenced in back yard
- 1 acre lot
- 5 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $662 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $72k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Hinds County School District (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #70 of 130 in MS (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.90%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $170,706
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -53.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5428 Terry Rd | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+1%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $129 | 86 |
| 5026 Womack Dr | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+1%) | 3mo | $169,500 | $141 | 73 |
| 130 Fairway Cir | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+4%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $150 | 68 |
| 420 Vining Ct | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-3%) | 11mo | $179,000 | $156 | 68 |
| 2066 Fox Hill Ln | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,218 (+3%) | 10mo | $163,900 | $135 | 63 |
| 2062 Fox Hill Ln | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,212 (+2%) | 7mo | $153,000 | $126 | 62 |
| 2012 Fox Hill Ln | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,107 (-7%) | 10mo | $158,000 | $143 | 61 |
| 5013 Womack Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,309 (+10%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $164 | 60 |
| 2031 Fox Hill Ln | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,109 (-6%) | 12mo | $170,000 | $153 | 58 |
| 2016 Fox Hill Ln | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-15%) | 2mo | $157,400 | $156 | 53 |
| 444 Riverbend Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+10%) | 11mo | $195,000 | $150 | 47 |
| 127 Torrence Cv | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (+12%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $143 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $29,334
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.61×
- Total profit
- $79,782
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39272
- Home prices YoY
- -9.8%
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,470 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $625/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $662
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $706 | -5% $684 | +0% $662 | +5% $639 | +10% $617 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $546 | -5% $604 | +0% $662 | +5% $720 | +10% $778 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $701 | -0.5pp $682 | base $662 | +0.5pp $641 | +1.0pp $620 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 257 Gaddy Dr Byram, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 350 Byram Dr Byram, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,215 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 100 Byram Dr Byram, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 100 Byram Dr Byram, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,380 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 100 Byram Dr Byram, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1000 Spring Lake Blvd Byram, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $1,470 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1000 Spring Lake Blvd Byram, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $1,615 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1000 Spring Lake Blvd Byram, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,485 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $79,000 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
LOCATION! LOCATION! LOCATION! Shopping and multiple restaurants within minutes. This home has a large front and back yard. A fenced in back yard for pets and cooking out. House could us some updating. House has been freshly painted inside and out and is priced under 100k!
-
2026-04-11price $88,000 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
LOCATION! LOCATION! LOCATION! Shopping and multiple restaurants within minutes. This home has a large front and back yard. A fenced in back yard for pets and cooking out. House could us some updating. House has been freshly painted inside and out and is priced under 100k!
-
2026-03-04$95,000 Active 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
LOCATION! LOCATION! LOCATION! Shopping and multiple restaurants within minutes. This home has a large front and back yard. A fenced in back yard for pets and cooking out. House could us some updating. House has been freshly painted inside and out and is priced under 100k!
-
1996-04-30soldstatus
-
1992-10-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $625 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $625 · $52/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,635
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$625
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,411
- − Management
- −$1,411
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $7,070
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,697
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,243/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hinds County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801860
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,335
- Composite
- 24.02/100
- National rank
- #7771
- State rank
- #70 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- City population
- 140,204
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,161
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 22% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.11%
- Current HPI
- 184.3215
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-16.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $79,000 MLSU
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $88,000 MLSU
- 2026-03-04 Listed $95,000 MLSU
- 1996-04-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1992-10-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $625 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…