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2109 N Tanglewood Dr SW
B Composite 74.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

2109 N Tanglewood Dr SW · Holden Beach, NC 28462
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · Manufactured · 24 Days on market
Built 2005 5,227 sqft lot Est $196k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 2109 N Tanglewood Drive, an affordable opportunity just minutes from Holden Beach! This 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home features a screened porch perfect for relaxing and enjoying the coastal breeze, plus a storage shed for additional storage space. Being sold fully furnished, this property could make an ideal primary residence, beach getaway, or investment opportunity. Inside, the home offers a spacious primary bathroom complete with a soaking tub and separate shower. Optional membership to the Tanglewood POA provides access to the community fishing pier and waterway access. Enjoy peaceful coastal living with convenient access to beaches, boating, fishing, local seafood, and all that

Key facts

  • Storage shed
  • Screened porch
  • Waterway access

Tags

SCREENED PORCHSTORAGE SHEDCOMMUNITY FISHING PIERWATERWAY ACCESS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-site parking
  • Utilities: Water available
  • Home design: Manufactured home (Residential); One-story; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Screened porch; Front porch; Partial chain link fencing; Shingle roof; Has view; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Floor furnace and electric heating
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Furnished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $447 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.1% in Holden Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#334 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: cost of living D, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Supply Elementary (math 46% / reading 39%, grade F, #625 of 1,410 statewide, top 45%, 539 students, 99% FRL); Cedar Grove Middle (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #305 of 475 statewide, top 65%, 434 students, 99% FRL); West Brunswick High (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 506 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,951 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.42%
Cash-on-cash
14.75%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$195,776
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2094 N Tanglewood Dr SW 0.05mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,054 (-1%) 10mo $203,400 $193 83
2367 Randy St SW 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,050 (-1%) 0mo $175,000 $167 70
2255 W Tanglewood Dr SW 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,178 (+11%) 1mo $255,000 $216 65
2219 Ontario St 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 968 (-9%) 9mo $115,000 $119 64
2910 Jeremy St SW 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (+2%) 2mo $169,000 $156 62
2382 Summer Place Dr SW 0.48mi 2/2.0 1,178 (+11%) 6mo $225,500 $191 55
2361 Lake Paula Dr SW 0.34mi 2/2.0 924 (-13%) 11mo $188,000 $203 53
2333 Randy St SW 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 990 (-7%) 20mo $150,000 $152 46
2387 Jolly Roger Dr SW 0.68mi 2/2.0 938 (-12%) 4mo $115,000 $123 45
2340 E Tanglewood Dr SW 0.40mi 2/2.0 952 (-10%) 23mo $175,000 $184 45
3206 Waterview Dr SW 0.52mi 2/2.0 923 (-13%) 20mo $224,100 $243 37
2325 Blackbeard Dr SW 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 954 (-10%) 14mo $145,000 $152 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$7,445
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$43,246
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28462

Active inventory
506
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,702 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$447

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,136
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2272 Dolphin Shores Dr SW Unit 404 Supply, NC 2.0 2.0 1216 $1,650 $1.36 14d 1 0.46mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,900 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,900 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,900 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 6 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,900 Active 5 DOM
  17. 2026-05-25
    listed $129,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,426
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,948
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,634
− Management
−$1,634
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$3,504
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$841
After-tax cash flow
$4,523/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brunswick County Schools
NCES district ID
3700420
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$47,494
Composite
39.23/100
National rank
#4011
State rank
#82 of 178 in NC

Livability — Holden Beach

Score
65/100
State rank
#334
US rank
#13586

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime A Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety D User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Brunswick County · 131,536 people
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
Population (ZIP)
12,340
Household income
$60,349
Rent vs Own
15.5% rent · 84.5% own
Severe rent burden
269.0

Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,111 people
By 2030
165,705 · +8.9%
By 2040
188,494 · +23.9%
By 2050
206,228 · +35.6%
By 2075
237,876 · +56.4%
By 2100
251,451 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -259.44%
Current HPI
144.2462
Rent YoY
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $129,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $167 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…