521 E Barnard St · West Chester, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$314,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-maintained twin home conveniently located near downtown West Chester, providing easy access to shopping, dining, entertainment, and local amenities. The property features a private fenced backyard with a covered patio, storage shed, and off-street parking for two vehicles. A covered front porch offers additional outdoor living space. The interior includes a spacious living and dining area, a large eat-in kitchen, three bedrooms, and a versatile bonus room suitable for a variety of uses, such as a home office, study, or hobby space. The updated bathroom features a tile floor, vanity, medicine cabinet, and tub surround. Additional storage is available throughout the home, along with a fu
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Large eat-in kitchen
- Covered patio
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: 100 Amp electrical service; Natural gas heating and hot water; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Semi-detached; Pitched roof; Entry level above grade
- Construction: Vinyl siding, stucco, and brick exterior; Stone and brick/mortar foundation; Replacement windows; Estimated year built
- Exterior features: Rear yard; Sidewalks; Exterior lighting; Patio(s); Porch(es)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Fully carpeted; Tile/brick flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Radiator heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full, unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Main floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($416/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $259k (17.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $259k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.6% in West Chester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#150 in PA, #1,252 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A, crime B+; Watch: commute C-, cost of living F.
- West Chester Area SD (suburban): math 56% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #34 of 539 in PA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: East Goshen El Sch (math 77% / reading 87%, grade A+, #34 of 1,518 statewide, top 3%, 510 students, 18% FRL); J R Fugett Ms (math 40% / reading 75%, grade B, #61 of 512 statewide, top 13%, 908 students, 23% FRL); West Chester East Hs (math 86%, 1,251 students, 20% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask is 85% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $123k; list at $315k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.47%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $416,472
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 333 E Miner St | 0.16mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 995 (-4%) | 0mo | $475,000 | $477 | 79 |
| 386 E Nields St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (+3%) | 0mo | $410,000 | $385 | 76 |
| 333 E Miner St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 995 (-4%) | 11mo | $312,000 | $314 | 72 |
| 317 S Adams St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (+14%) | 3mo | $375,000 | $319 | 66 |
| 340 E Miner St | 0.14mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,139 (+10%) | 15mo | $485,000 | $426 | 57 |
| 147 E Miner St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,151 (+11%) | 13mo | $500,000 | $434 | 53 |
| 538 S Adams St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,170 (+13%) | 7mo | $470,000 | $402 | 51 |
| 129 Price St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+11%) | 2mo | $561,000 | $487 | 49 |
| 705 S Penn St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (+10%) | 15mo | $340,000 | $298 | 45 |
| 749 S Matlack St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,188 (+15%) | 6mo | $460,000 | $387 | 40 |
| 122 W Union St | 0.62mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,156 (+12%) | 8mo | $594,000 | $514 | 38 |
| 620 S Franklin St Unit C34 | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 880 (-15%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $284 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-44,134
- Equity at exit
- $46,953
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-15,630
- Equity at exit
- $27,227
Cash invested: $88,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19382
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 215
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,590 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,651
- Tax from tax record
- −$229 /mo · $2,751/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$544
- Net cashflow
- $35
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $213 | -5% $124 | +0% $35 | +5% $-54 | +10% $-144 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-170 | -5% $-68 | +0% $35 | +5% $137 | +10% $239 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $193 | -0.5pp $115 | base $35 | +0.5pp $-47 | +1.0pp $-130 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,725
- Closing costs
- $9,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 426 E Miner St West Chester, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $3,000 | $2.33 | 20d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 235 E Market St West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $2,200 | $2.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 540 S Adams St West Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1170 | $2,400 | $2.05 | 5d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 118 E Miner St West Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,395 | $2.00 | 0d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 201 E Gay St West Chester, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1004 | $4,583 | $4.56 | 0d | 2 | 0.40mi |
| 315 S Walnut St Unit 5 West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 20d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 30 E Miner St West Chester, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $3,000 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 133 E Nields St West Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $2,550 | $1.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 329 S High St Unit A West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $2,400 | $2.82 | 22d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 430 S Walnut St West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,600 | $2.89 | 7d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 537 S Walnut St Unit 2 West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,695 | $2.69 | 7d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 29 E Gay St Unit 11 West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $2,600 | $2.95 | 26d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 100 Willow Aly Unit 101B West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,995 | $2.00 | 26d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 100 Willow Aly Unit 105A West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,995 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 100 Willow Aly West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,995 | $2.00 | 6d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 300 E Marshall St West Chester, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 833 | $2,105 | $2.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 521 Maple Ave West Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1408 | $2,200 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 203 E Rosedale Ave West Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1188 | $3,000 | $2.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 129 W Miner St Unit 1 West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,995 | $2.00 | 7d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 201 W Barnard St West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,500 | $2.78 | 12d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 217 W Biddle St West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,200 | $2.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 314 W Chestnut St Unit 314-2 West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,950 | $2.44 | 7d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 327 W Chestnut St Unit 333A West Chester, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 26d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 332 W Washington St West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $2,000 | $2.65 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 332 W Washington St Unit 2 West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $2,000 | $2.65 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 332 W Washington St Unit 1 West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 778 | $2,000 | $2.57 | 26d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 812 Goshen Rd West Chester, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1045 | $2,695 | $2.58 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 453 W Gay St West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,950 | $3.69 | 7d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2 S Brandywine St Unit 2F West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $2,050 | $2.36 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2 S Brandywine St Unit 2B West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $2,050 | $2.36 | 26d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 210 N Everhart Ave West Chester, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,795 | $2.33 | 0d | 6 | 1.15mi |
| 890 S Matlack St West Chester, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 998 | $2,705 | $2.71 | 0d | 8 | 1.17mi |
| 1100 W Chester Pike West Chester, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $2,450 | $2.75 | 12d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 615 Downingtown Pike West Chester, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,984 | $2.83 | 0d | 6 | 1.30mi |
| 659 Downingtown Pike West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $2,395 | $3.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 956 S Matlack St West Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 747 | $2,716 | $3.64 | 0d | 13 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $314,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$314,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,751 · $229/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,863 · $322/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,112/yr (+$93/mo · 40.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,085
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,639
- − Property taxes
- −$2,751
- − Insurance
- −$1,574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,487
- − Management
- −$2,487
- − Depreciation
- −$9,161
- Taxable loss
- −$5,014
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,203
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,619/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Chester Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225290
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $87,125
- Composite
- 58.7/100
- National rank
- #980
- State rank
- #34 of 539 in PA
Livability — West Chester
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #150
- US rank
- #1252
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Chester, PA
- County
- Chester County · 432,350 people
- City population
- 103,983
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,127
- Household income
- $132,091
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1770.0
Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 546,756 people
- By 2030
- 559,441 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 576,377 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 580,602 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 581,575 · +6.4%
- By 2100
- 540,922 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 6% Asian 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chester
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -251.24%
- Current HPI
- 294.9284
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.79%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+949.7% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $314,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-07-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-07-09 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $123,000 Public Records
- 2004-06-30 Sold (MLS) $123,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-05-18 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-04-09 Listed $123,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
- 2002-04-30 Sold (MLS) $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-04-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-02-04 Listed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-12-28 Sold (MLS) $57,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-11-14 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-06-22 Listed $57,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-30 Sold (MLS) $76,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-06-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1996-12-27 Listed $76,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1986-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
- 1979-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2026): $2,751 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…