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521 E Barnard St
C- Composite 52.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$314,900

521 E Barnard St · West Chester, PA 19382
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,036 sqft · Townhouse public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1900 2,040 sqft lot Est $416k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well-maintained twin home conveniently located near downtown West Chester, providing easy access to shopping, dining, entertainment, and local amenities. The property features a private fenced backyard with a covered patio, storage shed, and off-street parking for two vehicles. A covered front porch offers additional outdoor living space. The interior includes a spacious living and dining area, a large eat-in kitchen, three bedrooms, and a versatile bonus room suitable for a variety of uses, such as a home office, study, or hobby space. The updated bathroom features a tile floor, vanity, medicine cabinet, and tub surround. Additional storage is available throughout the home, along with a fu

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Large eat-in kitchen
  • Covered patio

Tags

PRIVATE FENCED BACKYARDCOVERED PATIOOFF-STREET PARKINGCOVERED FRONT PORCHLARGE EAT-IN KITCHENVERSATILE BONUS ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: 100 Amp electrical service; Natural gas heating and hot water; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Semi-detached; Pitched roof; Entry level above grade
  • Construction: Vinyl siding, stucco, and brick exterior; Stone and brick/mortar foundation; Replacement windows; Estimated year built
  • Exterior features: Rear yard; Sidewalks; Exterior lighting; Patio(s); Porch(es)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Fully carpeted; Tile/brick flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Radiator heating; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full, unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $315k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($416/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $259k (17.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $259k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.6% in West Chester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#150 in PA, #1,252 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A, crime B+; Watch: commute C-, cost of living F.
  • West Chester Area SD (suburban): math 56% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #34 of 539 in PA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: East Goshen El Sch (math 77% / reading 87%, grade A+, #34 of 1,518 statewide, top 3%, 510 students, 18% FRL); J R Fugett Ms (math 40% / reading 75%, grade B, #61 of 512 statewide, top 13%, 908 students, 23% FRL); West Chester East Hs (math 86%, 1,251 students, 20% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask is 85% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $123k; list at $315k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $259,044 (17.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.47%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$416,472
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
333 E Miner St 0.16mi 2/1.5 (-1) 995 (-4%) 0mo $475,000 $477 79
386 E Nields St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,064 (+3%) 0mo $410,000 $385 76
333 E Miner St 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 995 (-4%) 11mo $312,000 $314 72
317 S Adams St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,176 (+14%) 3mo $375,000 $319 66
340 E Miner St 0.14mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,139 (+10%) 15mo $485,000 $426 57
147 E Miner St 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,151 (+11%) 13mo $500,000 $434 53
538 S Adams St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,170 (+13%) 7mo $470,000 $402 51
129 Price St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+11%) 2mo $561,000 $487 49
705 S Penn St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,140 (+10%) 15mo $340,000 $298 45
749 S Matlack St 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,188 (+15%) 6mo $460,000 $387 40
122 W Union St 0.62mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,156 (+12%) 8mo $594,000 $514 38
620 S Franklin St Unit C34 0.48mi 2/1.5 (-1) 880 (-15%) 12mo $250,000 $284 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-44,134
Equity at exit
$46,953
10-year hold
IRR
-2.4%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-15,630
Equity at exit
$27,227

Cash invested: $88,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19382

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
215
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,590 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,651
Tax from tax record
$229 /mo · $2,751/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$544
Net cashflow
$35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,547
Max offer price $314,900
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $213 -5% $124 +0% $35 +5% $-54 +10% $-144
Rent -10% $-170 -5% $-68 +0% $35 +5% $137 +10% $239
Rate -1.0pp $193 -0.5pp $115 base $35 +0.5pp $-47 +1.0pp $-130

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,725
Closing costs
$9,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
426 E Miner St West Chester, PA 3.0 2.0 1290 $3,000 $2.33 20d 1 0.10mi
235 E Market St West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 797 $2,200 $2.76 45d 1 0.32mi
540 S Adams St West Chester, PA 3.0 1.5 1170 $2,400 $2.05 5d 1 0.37mi
118 E Miner St West Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,395 $2.00 0d 1 0.39mi
201 E Gay St West Chester, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1004 $4,583 $4.56 0d 2 0.40mi
315 S Walnut St Unit 5 West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 1098 $2,200 $2.00 20d 1 0.41mi
30 E Miner St West Chester, PA 4.0 1.0 1396 $3,000 $2.15 25d 1 0.46mi
133 E Nields St West Chester, PA 3.0 1.5 1300 $2,550 $1.96 45d 1 0.47mi
329 S High St Unit A West Chester, PA 2.0 1.5 850 $2,400 $2.82 22d 1 0.47mi
430 S Walnut St West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,600 $2.89 7d 1 0.47mi
537 S Walnut St Unit 2 West Chester, PA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,695 $2.69 7d 1 0.50mi
29 E Gay St Unit 11 West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 880 $2,600 $2.95 26d 1 0.51mi
100 Willow Aly Unit 101B West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,995 $2.00 26d 1 0.53mi
100 Willow Aly Unit 105A West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,995 $2.00 45d 1 0.53mi
100 Willow Aly West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,995 $2.00 6d 1 0.53mi
300 E Marshall St West Chester, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 833 $2,105 $2.53 45d 1 0.55mi
521 Maple Ave West Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 1408 $2,200 $1.56 45d 1 0.56mi
203 E Rosedale Ave West Chester, PA 3.0 1.5 1188 $3,000 $2.53 45d 1 0.60mi
129 W Miner St Unit 1 West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,995 $2.00 7d 1 0.67mi
201 W Barnard St West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,500 $2.78 12d 1 0.69mi
217 W Biddle St West Chester, PA 2.0 2.0 1200 $3,200 $2.67 45d 1 0.82mi
314 W Chestnut St Unit 314-2 West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,950 $2.44 7d 1 0.83mi
327 W Chestnut St Unit 333A West Chester, PA 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 26d 1 0.85mi
332 W Washington St West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 755 $2,000 $2.65 3d 1 0.90mi
332 W Washington St Unit 2 West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 755 $2,000 $2.65 23d 1 0.90mi
332 W Washington St Unit 1 West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 778 $2,000 $2.57 26d 1 0.90mi
812 Goshen Rd West Chester, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1045 $2,695 $2.58 4d 1 0.94mi
453 W Gay St West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,950 $3.69 7d 1 1.00mi
2 S Brandywine St Unit 2F West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 870 $2,050 $2.36 23d 1 1.01mi
2 S Brandywine St Unit 2B West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 870 $2,050 $2.36 26d 1 1.01mi
210 N Everhart Ave West Chester, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 770 $1,795 $2.33 0d 6 1.15mi
890 S Matlack St West Chester, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 998 $2,705 $2.71 0d 8 1.17mi
1100 W Chester Pike West Chester, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 892 $2,450 $2.75 12d 1 1.25mi
615 Downingtown Pike West Chester, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,984 $2.83 0d 6 1.30mi
659 Downingtown Pike West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 728 $2,395 $3.29 13d 1 1.36mi
956 S Matlack St West Chester, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 747 $2,716 $3.64 0d 13 1.40mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $314,900 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $314,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,751 · $229/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,863 · $322/mo
Expected delta
+$1,112/yr (+$93/mo · 40.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,085
− Mortgage interest
−$17,639
− Property taxes
−$2,751
− Insurance
−$1,574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,487
− Management
−$2,487
− Depreciation
−$9,161
Taxable loss
−$5,014
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,203
After-tax cash flow
$1,619/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Chester Area SD
NCES district ID
4225290
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
74% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$87,125
Composite
58.7/100
National rank
#980
State rank
#34 of 539 in PA

Livability — West Chester

Score
82/100
State rank
#150
US rank
#1252

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute C- Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment C Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Chester, PA
County
Chester County · 432,350 people
City population
103,983
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
54,127
Household income
$132,091
Rent vs Own
29.1% rent · 70.9% own
Severe rent burden
1770.0

Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
546,756 people
By 2030
559,441 · +2.3%
By 2040
576,377 · +5.4%
By 2050
580,602 · +6.2%
By 2075
581,575 · +6.4%
By 2100
540,922 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 6% Asian 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chester

2024 margin
D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -251.24%
Current HPI
294.9284
Rent YoY
▲ 4.79%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+949.7% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $314,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-07-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-07-09 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $123,000 Public Records
  • 2004-06-30 Sold (MLS) $123,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-05-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-04-09 Listed $123,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
  • 2002-04-30 Sold (MLS) $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-04-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-02-04 Listed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-12-28 Sold (MLS) $57,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-11-14 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-06-22 Listed $57,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1997-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
  • 1997-06-30 Sold (MLS) $76,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1997-06-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 1996-12-27 Listed $76,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1986-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
  • 1979-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,751 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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