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147 Gildner Rd
D- Composite 38.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.6/15.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0

$309,900

147 Gildner Rd · Central Square, NY 13036
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,380 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1986 0.46 ac lot $225/sqft · at area comps Est $297k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Full In-Law Apartment! Welcome to 147 Gildner Rd conveniently located just 2 Miles from the Brewerton exit of I-81. The main level ranch house is 1380 SF and has 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms and the in-law apartment in the full walk-out basement provides another 1200 SF and 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath - 5 bedrooms, 3 full baths & over 2500 SF of finished living space!! Great for multi-generational living or possible rental income to supplement the mortgage. The main level has been updated with brand new kitchen plus updated flooring & fresh paint throughout. White Shaker Eat-In Kitchen with Cabinets to Ceiling, some Stainless Appliances and Walk-in Pantry. Primary bedroom with fully remodeled private ensuite bath. Main bath has been updated with newer flooring, vanity & medicine cabinet. Convenient Mudroom/Laundry with cabinets & closets just off the 2 Car Garage. In 2016 the walk-out basement was professionally finished with a full in-law apartment. Engineered Hardwood Floors, White Kitchen with Granite Countertops & All Stainless Appliances. Large Living & Dining Rms. Both Bedrooms have Egress Windows plus there is a den/office and own laundry. Access to apartment from private staircase in garage or exterior door in back yard for privacy. R-24 Styrofoam insulation in walls, whole house built-in dehumidifier, Mini-Split system for comfort plus a radon mitigation system for piece of mind. Newer composite deck & concrete patio. Private Treed back yard on nearly half-acre lot. Full list of updated & improvements in attachments.

Key facts

  • Private lot
  • Full in-law suite
  • Separate laundry

Tags

FULL IN-LAW SUITEPRIVATE LOTBRAND-NEW WHITE SHAKER KITCHENWALK-IN PANTRYCOMPLETE IN-LAW APARTMENTSEPARATE LAUNDRY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 garage spaces
  • Security: Radon mitigation system
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Septic tank; High-speed internet available; Electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Single-story / 1 story; Existing construction; Walk-out finished basement
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Foam insulation; Copper plumbing; Block foundation; Asphalt architectural shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Patio; Shed(s) / Storage; Wooded lot; Rectangular lot (approx. 100 x 200)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Granite counters; Electric oven / Electric range; Free-standing range; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; Range hood; Dishwasher; Exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; Two main-level bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Baseboard heating; Ductless heating/cooling; Wall unit cooling
  • Interior features: Den; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Granite counters; Pantry; Walk-in pantry; Sliding doors / sliding glass door(s); Second kitchen; In-law floorplan; Main level primary / Primary suite; See remarks
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on main level; Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-397 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (22.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (31.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $214k (31.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.9% in Central Square — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#723 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Central Square Central School District (suburban): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #507 of 590 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($305k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $213,633 (31.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.76%
Cash-on-cash
-5.49%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$297,086
List price
$309,900
Delta
4.31%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
72 Elderberry Ln 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,512 (+10%) 4mo $49,000 $32 57
193 Gildner Rd 0.22mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (-13%) 5mo $205,000 $171 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$143,502
Equity at exit
$279,182
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
6.10×
Total profit
$442,461
Equity at exit
$602,068

Cash invested: $86,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13036

Home prices YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,136 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,625
Tax from tax record
$330 /mo · $3,963/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$449
Net cashflow
$-397

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,639
Max offer price $239,798
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,475
Closing costs
$9,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $309,900 Pending 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    status $309,900 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
  11. 2026-05-13
    listed $309,900 Active 1700-char remark
  12. 2025-09-09
    soldstatus $274,900 Closed 1598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1598 chars)

    Full In-Law Apartment! Welcome to 147 Gildner Rd conveniently located just 2 Miles from the Brewerton exit of I-81. The main level ranch house is 1380 SF and has 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms and the in-law apartment in the full walk-out basement provides another 1200 SF and 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath - 5 bedrooms, 3 full baths & over 2500 SF of finished living space!! Great for multi-generational living or possible rental income to supplement the mortgage. The main level has been updated with brand new kitchen plus updated flooring & fresh paint throughout. White Shaker Eat-In Kitchen with Cabinets to Ceiling, some Stainless Appliances and Walk-in Pantry. Primary bedroom with fully remodeled private ensuite bath. Main bath has been updated with newer flooring, vanity & medicine cabinet. Convenient Mudroom/Laundry with cabinets & closets just off the 2 Car Garage. In 2016 the walk-out basement was professionally finished with a full in-law apartment. Engineered Hardwood Floors, White Kitchen with Granite Countertops & All Stainless Appliances. Large Living & Dining Rms. Both Bedrooms have Egress Windows plus there is a den/office and own laundry. Access to apartment from private staircase in garage or exterior door in back yard for privacy. R-24 Styrofoam insulation in walls, whole house built-in dehumidifier, Mini-Split system for comfort plus a radon mitigation system for piece of mind. Newer composite deck & concrete patio. Private Treed back yard on nearly half-acre lot. Full list of updated & improvements in attachments.

  13. 2025-07-30
    status Pending 1598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1598 chars)

    Full In-Law Apartment! Welcome to 147 Gildner Rd conveniently located just 2 Miles from the Brewerton exit of I-81. The main level ranch house is 1380 SF and has 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms and the in-law apartment in the full walk-out basement provides another 1200 SF and 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath - 5 bedrooms, 3 full baths & over 2500 SF of finished living space!! Great for multi-generational living or possible rental income to supplement the mortgage. The main level has been updated with brand new kitchen plus updated flooring & fresh paint throughout. White Shaker Eat-In Kitchen with Cabinets to Ceiling, some Stainless Appliances and Walk-in Pantry. Primary bedroom with fully remodeled private ensuite bath. Main bath has been updated with newer flooring, vanity & medicine cabinet. Convenient Mudroom/Laundry with cabinets & closets just off the 2 Car Garage. In 2016 the walk-out basement was professionally finished with a full in-law apartment. Engineered Hardwood Floors, White Kitchen with Granite Countertops & All Stainless Appliances. Large Living & Dining Rms. Both Bedrooms have Egress Windows plus there is a den/office and own laundry. Access to apartment from private staircase in garage or exterior door in back yard for privacy. R-24 Styrofoam insulation in walls, whole house built-in dehumidifier, Mini-Split system for comfort plus a radon mitigation system for piece of mind. Newer composite deck & concrete patio. Private Treed back yard on nearly half-acre lot. Full list of updated & improvements in attachments.

  14. 2025-07-26
    historical Active Under Contract 1598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1598 chars)

    Full In-Law Apartment! Welcome to 147 Gildner Rd conveniently located just 2 Miles from the Brewerton exit of I-81. The main level ranch house is 1380 SF and has 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms and the in-law apartment in the full walk-out basement provides another 1200 SF and 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath - 5 bedrooms, 3 full baths & over 2500 SF of finished living space!! Great for multi-generational living or possible rental income to supplement the mortgage. The main level has been updated with brand new kitchen plus updated flooring & fresh paint throughout. White Shaker Eat-In Kitchen with Cabinets to Ceiling, some Stainless Appliances and Walk-in Pantry. Primary bedroom with fully remodeled private ensuite bath. Main bath has been updated with newer flooring, vanity & medicine cabinet. Convenient Mudroom/Laundry with cabinets & closets just off the 2 Car Garage. In 2016 the walk-out basement was professionally finished with a full in-law apartment. Engineered Hardwood Floors, White Kitchen with Granite Countertops & All Stainless Appliances. Large Living & Dining Rms. Both Bedrooms have Egress Windows plus there is a den/office and own laundry. Access to apartment from private staircase in garage or exterior door in back yard for privacy. R-24 Styrofoam insulation in walls, whole house built-in dehumidifier, Mini-Split system for comfort plus a radon mitigation system for piece of mind. Newer composite deck & concrete patio. Private Treed back yard on nearly half-acre lot. Full list of updated & improvements in attachments.

  15. 2025-07-24
    price $274,900 1598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1598 chars)

    Full In-Law Apartment! Welcome to 147 Gildner Rd conveniently located just 2 Miles from the Brewerton exit of I-81. The main level ranch house is 1380 SF and has 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms and the in-law apartment in the full walk-out basement provides another 1200 SF and 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath - 5 bedrooms, 3 full baths & over 2500 SF of finished living space!! Great for multi-generational living or possible rental income to supplement the mortgage. The main level has been updated with brand new kitchen plus updated flooring & fresh paint throughout. White Shaker Eat-In Kitchen with Cabinets to Ceiling, some Stainless Appliances and Walk-in Pantry. Primary bedroom with fully remodeled private ensuite bath. Main bath has been updated with newer flooring, vanity & medicine cabinet. Convenient Mudroom/Laundry with cabinets & closets just off the 2 Car Garage. In 2016 the walk-out basement was professionally finished with a full in-law apartment. Engineered Hardwood Floors, White Kitchen with Granite Countertops & All Stainless Appliances. Large Living & Dining Rms. Both Bedrooms have Egress Windows plus there is a den/office and own laundry. Access to apartment from private staircase in garage or exterior door in back yard for privacy. R-24 Styrofoam insulation in walls, whole house built-in dehumidifier, Mini-Split system for comfort plus a radon mitigation system for piece of mind. Newer composite deck & concrete patio. Private Treed back yard on nearly half-acre lot. Full list of updated & improvements in attachments.

  16. 2025-07-07
    listed $299,900 Active 1598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1598 chars)

    Full In-Law Apartment! Welcome to 147 Gildner Rd conveniently located just 2 Miles from the Brewerton exit of I-81. The main level ranch house is 1380 SF and has 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms and the in-law apartment in the full walk-out basement provides another 1200 SF and 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath - 5 bedrooms, 3 full baths & over 2500 SF of finished living space!! Great for multi-generational living or possible rental income to supplement the mortgage. The main level has been updated with brand new kitchen plus updated flooring & fresh paint throughout. White Shaker Eat-In Kitchen with Cabinets to Ceiling, some Stainless Appliances and Walk-in Pantry. Primary bedroom with fully remodeled private ensuite bath. Main bath has been updated with newer flooring, vanity & medicine cabinet. Convenient Mudroom/Laundry with cabinets & closets just off the 2 Car Garage. In 2016 the walk-out basement was professionally finished with a full in-law apartment. Engineered Hardwood Floors, White Kitchen with Granite Countertops & All Stainless Appliances. Large Living & Dining Rms. Both Bedrooms have Egress Windows plus there is a den/office and own laundry. Access to apartment from private staircase in garage or exterior door in back yard for privacy. R-24 Styrofoam insulation in walls, whole house built-in dehumidifier, Mini-Split system for comfort plus a radon mitigation system for piece of mind. Newer composite deck & concrete patio. Private Treed back yard on nearly half-acre lot. Full list of updated & improvements in attachments.

  17. 2016-06-22
    soldstatus $125,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,963 · $330/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,600 · $383/mo
Expected delta
+$637/yr (+$53/mo · 16.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,636
− Mortgage interest
−$17,359
− Property taxes
−$3,963
− Insurance
−$1,550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,051
− Management
−$2,051
− Depreciation
−$9,015
Taxable loss
−$10,353
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,485
After-tax cash flow
$-2,277/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Central Square Central School District
NCES district ID
3606900
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$55,807
Composite
35.05/100
National rank
#5035
State rank
#507 of 590 in NY

Livability — Central Square

Score
64/100
State rank
#723
US rank
#13714

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,079

Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,465 people
By 2030
109,968 · -3.9%
By 2040
99,205 · -13.3%
By 2050
87,979 · -23.1%
By 2075
65,100 · -43.1%
By 2100
47,117 · -58.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 6% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oswego

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 23.27%
Current HPI
318.5068
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+147.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-05-30 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $309,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-09-09 Sold (MLS) $274,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-07-30 Pending CNYIS
  • 2025-07-26 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2025-07-24 Price Changed $274,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-07-07 Listed $299,900 CNYIS
  • 2016-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,963 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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