147 Gildner Rd · Central Square, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
$309,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Full In-Law Apartment! Welcome to 147 Gildner Rd conveniently located just 2 Miles from the Brewerton exit of I-81. The main level ranch house is 1380 SF and has 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms and the in-law apartment in the full walk-out basement provides another 1200 SF and 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath - 5 bedrooms, 3 full baths & over 2500 SF of finished living space!! Great for multi-generational living or possible rental income to supplement the mortgage. The main level has been updated with brand new kitchen plus updated flooring & fresh paint throughout. White Shaker Eat-In Kitchen with Cabinets to Ceiling, some Stainless Appliances and Walk-in Pantry. Primary bedroom with fully remodeled private ensuite bath. Main bath has been updated with newer flooring, vanity & medicine cabinet. Convenient Mudroom/Laundry with cabinets & closets just off the 2 Car Garage. In 2016 the walk-out basement was professionally finished with a full in-law apartment. Engineered Hardwood Floors, White Kitchen with Granite Countertops & All Stainless Appliances. Large Living & Dining Rms. Both Bedrooms have Egress Windows plus there is a den/office and own laundry. Access to apartment from private staircase in garage or exterior door in back yard for privacy. R-24 Styrofoam insulation in walls, whole house built-in dehumidifier, Mini-Split system for comfort plus a radon mitigation system for piece of mind. Newer composite deck & concrete patio. Private Treed back yard on nearly half-acre lot. Full list of updated & improvements in attachments.
Key facts
- Private lot
- Full in-law suite
- Separate laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 garage spaces
- Security: Radon mitigation system
- Utilities: Public water connected; Septic tank; High-speed internet available; Electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Single-story / 1 story; Existing construction; Walk-out finished basement
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Foam insulation; Copper plumbing; Block foundation; Asphalt architectural shingle roof
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Patio; Shed(s) / Storage; Wooded lot; Rectangular lot (approx. 100 x 200)
Interior
- Kitchen: Granite counters; Electric oven / Electric range; Free-standing range; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; Range hood; Dishwasher; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; Two main-level bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Baseboard heating; Ductless heating/cooling; Wall unit cooling
- Interior features: Den; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Granite counters; Pantry; Walk-in pantry; Sliding doors / sliding glass door(s); Second kitchen; In-law floorplan; Main level primary / Primary suite; See remarks
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on main level; Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-397 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (22.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (31.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $214k (31.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.9% in Central Square — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#723 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Central Square Central School District (suburban): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #507 of 590 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($305k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.49%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $297,086
- List price
- $309,900
- Delta
- 4.31%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 Elderberry Ln | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,512 (+10%) | 4mo | $49,000 | $32 | 57 |
| 193 Gildner Rd | 0.22mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-13%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $171 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $143,502
- Equity at exit
- $279,182
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.10×
- Total profit
- $442,461
- Equity at exit
- $602,068
Cash invested: $86,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13036
- Home prices YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,136 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,625
- Tax from tax record
- −$330 /mo · $3,963/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $-397
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,475
- Closing costs
- $9,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $309,900 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $309,900 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
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2026-05-31status $309,900 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
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2026-05-13$309,900 Active 1700-char remark
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2025-09-09soldstatus $274,900 Closed 1598-char remark
Show marketing remark (1598 chars)
Full In-Law Apartment! Welcome to 147 Gildner Rd conveniently located just 2 Miles from the Brewerton exit of I-81. The main level ranch house is 1380 SF and has 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms and the in-law apartment in the full walk-out basement provides another 1200 SF and 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath - 5 bedrooms, 3 full baths & over 2500 SF of finished living space!! Great for multi-generational living or possible rental income to supplement the mortgage. The main level has been updated with brand new kitchen plus updated flooring & fresh paint throughout. White Shaker Eat-In Kitchen with Cabinets to Ceiling, some Stainless Appliances and Walk-in Pantry. Primary bedroom with fully remodeled private ensuite bath. Main bath has been updated with newer flooring, vanity & medicine cabinet. Convenient Mudroom/Laundry with cabinets & closets just off the 2 Car Garage. In 2016 the walk-out basement was professionally finished with a full in-law apartment. Engineered Hardwood Floors, White Kitchen with Granite Countertops & All Stainless Appliances. Large Living & Dining Rms. Both Bedrooms have Egress Windows plus there is a den/office and own laundry. Access to apartment from private staircase in garage or exterior door in back yard for privacy. R-24 Styrofoam insulation in walls, whole house built-in dehumidifier, Mini-Split system for comfort plus a radon mitigation system for piece of mind. Newer composite deck & concrete patio. Private Treed back yard on nearly half-acre lot. Full list of updated & improvements in attachments.
-
2025-07-30status Pending 1598-char remark
Show marketing remark (1598 chars)
Full In-Law Apartment! Welcome to 147 Gildner Rd conveniently located just 2 Miles from the Brewerton exit of I-81. The main level ranch house is 1380 SF and has 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms and the in-law apartment in the full walk-out basement provides another 1200 SF and 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath - 5 bedrooms, 3 full baths & over 2500 SF of finished living space!! Great for multi-generational living or possible rental income to supplement the mortgage. The main level has been updated with brand new kitchen plus updated flooring & fresh paint throughout. White Shaker Eat-In Kitchen with Cabinets to Ceiling, some Stainless Appliances and Walk-in Pantry. Primary bedroom with fully remodeled private ensuite bath. Main bath has been updated with newer flooring, vanity & medicine cabinet. Convenient Mudroom/Laundry with cabinets & closets just off the 2 Car Garage. In 2016 the walk-out basement was professionally finished with a full in-law apartment. Engineered Hardwood Floors, White Kitchen with Granite Countertops & All Stainless Appliances. Large Living & Dining Rms. Both Bedrooms have Egress Windows plus there is a den/office and own laundry. Access to apartment from private staircase in garage or exterior door in back yard for privacy. R-24 Styrofoam insulation in walls, whole house built-in dehumidifier, Mini-Split system for comfort plus a radon mitigation system for piece of mind. Newer composite deck & concrete patio. Private Treed back yard on nearly half-acre lot. Full list of updated & improvements in attachments.
-
2025-07-26historical Active Under Contract 1598-char remark
Show marketing remark (1598 chars)
Full In-Law Apartment! Welcome to 147 Gildner Rd conveniently located just 2 Miles from the Brewerton exit of I-81. The main level ranch house is 1380 SF and has 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms and the in-law apartment in the full walk-out basement provides another 1200 SF and 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath - 5 bedrooms, 3 full baths & over 2500 SF of finished living space!! Great for multi-generational living or possible rental income to supplement the mortgage. The main level has been updated with brand new kitchen plus updated flooring & fresh paint throughout. White Shaker Eat-In Kitchen with Cabinets to Ceiling, some Stainless Appliances and Walk-in Pantry. Primary bedroom with fully remodeled private ensuite bath. Main bath has been updated with newer flooring, vanity & medicine cabinet. Convenient Mudroom/Laundry with cabinets & closets just off the 2 Car Garage. In 2016 the walk-out basement was professionally finished with a full in-law apartment. Engineered Hardwood Floors, White Kitchen with Granite Countertops & All Stainless Appliances. Large Living & Dining Rms. Both Bedrooms have Egress Windows plus there is a den/office and own laundry. Access to apartment from private staircase in garage or exterior door in back yard for privacy. R-24 Styrofoam insulation in walls, whole house built-in dehumidifier, Mini-Split system for comfort plus a radon mitigation system for piece of mind. Newer composite deck & concrete patio. Private Treed back yard on nearly half-acre lot. Full list of updated & improvements in attachments.
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2025-07-24price $274,900 1598-char remark
Show marketing remark (1598 chars)
Full In-Law Apartment! Welcome to 147 Gildner Rd conveniently located just 2 Miles from the Brewerton exit of I-81. The main level ranch house is 1380 SF and has 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms and the in-law apartment in the full walk-out basement provides another 1200 SF and 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath - 5 bedrooms, 3 full baths & over 2500 SF of finished living space!! Great for multi-generational living or possible rental income to supplement the mortgage. The main level has been updated with brand new kitchen plus updated flooring & fresh paint throughout. White Shaker Eat-In Kitchen with Cabinets to Ceiling, some Stainless Appliances and Walk-in Pantry. Primary bedroom with fully remodeled private ensuite bath. Main bath has been updated with newer flooring, vanity & medicine cabinet. Convenient Mudroom/Laundry with cabinets & closets just off the 2 Car Garage. In 2016 the walk-out basement was professionally finished with a full in-law apartment. Engineered Hardwood Floors, White Kitchen with Granite Countertops & All Stainless Appliances. Large Living & Dining Rms. Both Bedrooms have Egress Windows plus there is a den/office and own laundry. Access to apartment from private staircase in garage or exterior door in back yard for privacy. R-24 Styrofoam insulation in walls, whole house built-in dehumidifier, Mini-Split system for comfort plus a radon mitigation system for piece of mind. Newer composite deck & concrete patio. Private Treed back yard on nearly half-acre lot. Full list of updated & improvements in attachments.
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2025-07-07$299,900 Active 1598-char remark
Show marketing remark (1598 chars)
Full In-Law Apartment! Welcome to 147 Gildner Rd conveniently located just 2 Miles from the Brewerton exit of I-81. The main level ranch house is 1380 SF and has 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms and the in-law apartment in the full walk-out basement provides another 1200 SF and 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath - 5 bedrooms, 3 full baths & over 2500 SF of finished living space!! Great for multi-generational living or possible rental income to supplement the mortgage. The main level has been updated with brand new kitchen plus updated flooring & fresh paint throughout. White Shaker Eat-In Kitchen with Cabinets to Ceiling, some Stainless Appliances and Walk-in Pantry. Primary bedroom with fully remodeled private ensuite bath. Main bath has been updated with newer flooring, vanity & medicine cabinet. Convenient Mudroom/Laundry with cabinets & closets just off the 2 Car Garage. In 2016 the walk-out basement was professionally finished with a full in-law apartment. Engineered Hardwood Floors, White Kitchen with Granite Countertops & All Stainless Appliances. Large Living & Dining Rms. Both Bedrooms have Egress Windows plus there is a den/office and own laundry. Access to apartment from private staircase in garage or exterior door in back yard for privacy. R-24 Styrofoam insulation in walls, whole house built-in dehumidifier, Mini-Split system for comfort plus a radon mitigation system for piece of mind. Newer composite deck & concrete patio. Private Treed back yard on nearly half-acre lot. Full list of updated & improvements in attachments.
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2016-06-22soldstatus $125,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,963 · $330/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,600 · $383/mo
- Expected delta
- +$637/yr (+$53/mo · 16.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,636
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,359
- − Property taxes
- −$3,963
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,051
- − Management
- −$2,051
- − Depreciation
- −$9,015
- Taxable loss
- −$10,353
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,485
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,277/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Square Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3606900
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,807
- Composite
- 35.05/100
- National rank
- #5035
- State rank
- #507 of 590 in NY
Livability — Central Square
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #723
- US rank
- #13714
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,079
Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,465 people
- By 2030
- 109,968 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 99,205 · -13.3%
- By 2050
- 87,979 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 65,100 · -43.1%
- By 2100
- 47,117 · -58.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 6% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oswego
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.27%
- Current HPI
- 318.5068
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+147.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-05-30 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $309,900 CNYIS
- 2025-09-09 Sold (MLS) $274,900 CNYIS
- 2025-07-30 Pending — CNYIS
- 2025-07-26 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $274,900 CNYIS
- 2025-07-07 Listed $299,900 CNYIS
- 2016-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,963 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…