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757 Spruce St
D- Composite 37.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.2/30.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

757 Spruce St · Southport, NY 14904
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1920 6,400 sqft lot Est $138k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Please take a look at this impeccably maintained home in charming Southport. Located just minutes from parks, grocery shopping, restaurants, schools and a garden center, this home has easy access to all of the conveniences of contemporary living. The pride of ownership is evident with this beautiful residence. The interior has many updates and has been beautifully maintained The first floor living spaces are large and have a great flow that extends to the outdoor deck. Great for hosting family and friends. The bedroom on the ground floor is a great convenience as is the first floor bath. On the second floor are two more spacious bedrooms and and additional bathroom. Some of the many update

Key facts

  • First floor bath
  • Ground floor bedroom
  • New flooring

Tags

FIRST FLOOR LIVING SPACESOUTDOOR DECKGROUND FLOOR BEDROOMFIRST FLOOR BATHNEW WINDOWSNEW FLOORING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Carport
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: One-story property; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 128

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heat; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Den; Separate/formal dining room; Bedroom on main level; Partial basement; Fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $119 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (10.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#690 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, crime D-.
  • Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Ernie Davis Academy (math 5% / reading 31%, grade F, #691 of 729 statewide, top 95%, 802 students, 66% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $146,973 (10.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.16%
Cash-on-cash
3.10%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$137,592
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
815 Spruce St 0.22mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,402 (-0%) 9mo $180,000 $128 75
712 Cypress 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,446 (+3%) 10mo $141,000 $98 72
825 Broadway St 0.04mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,271 (-10%) 5mo $65,000 $51 70
760 Spruce St 0.03mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,523 (+8%) 10mo $112,000 $74 67
825 Hazel St 0.25mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,500 (+7%) 4mo $150,000 $100 66
570 Cypress St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,307 (-7%) 1mo $127,200 $97 65
810 Sycamore St 0.23mi 2/1.0 1,544 (+10%) 7mo $125,000 $81 63
562 Baty St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,296 (-8%) 5mo $111,702 $86 54
551 Lyon St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,586 (+13%) 3mo $158,000 $100 47
1017 Smith St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,250 (-11%) 5mo $132,979 $106 45
461 Beecher St 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,584 (+13%) 8mo $220,000 $139 44
609 Mount Zoar St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,290 (-8%) 9mo $72,250 $56 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-19,182
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-7,081
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14904

Home prices YoY
-9.6%
Active inventory
104
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,470 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,294/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$119

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,319
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $213 -5% $166 +0% $119 +5% $73 +10% $26
Rent -10% $3 -5% $61 +0% $119 +5% $177 +10% $235
Rate -1.0pp $202 -0.5pp $161 base $119 +0.5pp $76 +1.0pp $33

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
550 Spruce St Unit 303 Elmira, NY 2.0 2.0 1350 $1,350 $1.00 45d 1 0.37mi
419 Jefferson St Unit A Elmira, NY 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,995 $1.81 45d 1 0.79mi
1254 Charles St Elmira, NY 2.0 1.0 1560 $1,350 $0.87 45d 1 1.16mi
160 Boardman St Unit B Elmira, NY 2.0 1.0 1727 $800 $0.46 45d 1 1.18mi
363 W Water St #2 Elmira, NY 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,250 $1.15 45d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $165,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $165,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $165,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    status $165,000 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-12
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 31 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 30 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 29 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 28 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 27 DOM
  19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 26 DOM
  20. 2026-05-13
    historical Active Under Contract
  21. 2026-05-08
    status Active
  22. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  23. 2026-04-20
    listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,294 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,041 · $170/mo
Expected delta
+$747/yr (+$62/mo · 57.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,637
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$1,294
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,411
− Management
−$1,411
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$1,347
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$323
After-tax cash flow
$1,754/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elmira City School District
NCES district ID
3610560
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,180
Composite
24.39/100
National rank
#7688
State rank
#580 of 590 in NY

Livability — Southport

Score
65/100
State rank
#690
US rank
#13026

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Southport, NY
Population (ZIP)
14,276

Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,931 people
By 2030
80,356 · -3.1%
By 2040
74,745 · -9.9%
By 2050
69,012 · -16.8%
By 2075
55,689 · -32.8%
By 2100
41,428 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Chemung

2024 margin
R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.33%
Current HPI
220.688
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-08 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-24 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $165,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,294 · -44.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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