40423 101st St · Randall, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$425,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Unique European Style Home Offers 4 Bedrooms, 2.5 Bathrooms. Great Main Level Master Bedroom With Walk In Closet & Spacious Master Bath With Jetted Tub, Roomy Tiled Walk In Shower & Laundry Room. Beautiful Tiled Mud Room With Hooks To Hang Your Coats, Cozy Library With Book Shelves & French Doors Leading To An Enchanting Patio. 2 Fireplaces With Wood Pellet Insert Stoves To Keep You Warm On Cold Winter Nights. Generous L Shaped Kitchen With Quartz Counter Tops, Island & Wine Refrigerator. Upstairs Floors Are Original Refinished Hardwood Floors, Hall Closets Are Cedar. Upstairs Bonus Room Over Looks The Family Room. Did I Mention The View, Over Looking The Nippersink Golf Course Hole 1! The Craftsmen Ship Of This House Will Take You Back To Europe & It's Tres Chic!
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1954
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Well water; Holding tank for waste
- Home design: Two-story single-family home; Assessor/public record for year built; Lot under 1/2 acre (approximately 0.22)
- Construction: Combination of brick, brick/stone, stucco/slate and wood construction
- Exterior features: Brick, brick/stone, stucco/slate and wood exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 22 x 10); Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level (approx. 14 x 12); Second bedroom on the upper level (approx. 13 x 12); Third bedroom on the upper level (approx. 14 x 11); Fourth bedroom on the upper level (approx. 12 x 8); Bonus room on the upper level (approx. 15 x 8)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air; Natural gas heat
- Interior features: Water softener; Crawl space
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Mud room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $425k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $425k).
- Recommended offer: $419k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Wilmot Uhs School District (rural): math 32% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #138 of 342 in WI (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wilmot High (math 32% / reading 48%, grade F, #92 of 483 statewide, top 19%, 949 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 259 units permitted in Kenosha County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $119k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($419k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $315k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.35%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $461,205
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9499 402nd Ave | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 2,508 (+1%) | 2mo | $425,000 | $169 | 71 |
| 9612 401st Ave | 0.45mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,430 (-2%) | 20mo | $450,000 | $185 | 51 |
| 39910 97th St | 0.51mi | 4/3.0 | 2,705 (+8%) | 14mo | $210,000 | $78 | 48 |
| 9631 400th Ave | 0.49mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,160 (-13%) | 7mo | $450,000 | $208 | 43 |
| 9435 402nd Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,715 (+9%) | 10mo | $575,000 | $212 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $72,255
- Equity at exit
- $63,369
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $244,610
- Equity at exit
- $36,746
Cash invested: $119,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53128
- Home prices YoY
- -6.8%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,307 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,229
- Tax from tax record
- −$361 /mo · $4,329/yr
- Insurance
- −$177
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,324
- Net cashflow
- $2,216
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $106,250
- Closing costs
- $12,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40608 102nd Pl Unit 1374783P Genoa City, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1991 | $6,307 | $3.17 | 13d | 1 | 0.10mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $425,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $425,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $425,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $425,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $425,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $425,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $425,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $425,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $425,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $425,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $425,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $425,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 654-char remark
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2026-06-03days on market $425,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-22$425,000 Active
-
2020-08-17soldstatus $315,200 Sold 810-char remark
Show marketing remark (810 chars)
This Unique European Style Home Offers 4 Bedrooms, 2.5 Bathrooms. Great Main Level Master Bedroom With Walk In Closet & Spacious Master Bath With Jetted Tub, Roomy Tiled Walk In Shower & Laundry Room. Beautiful Tiled Mud Room With Hooks To Hang Your Coats, Cozy Library With Book Shelves & French Doors Leading To An Enchanting Patio. 2 Fireplaces With Wood Pellet Insert Stoves To Keep You Warm On Cold Winter Nights. Generous L Shaped Kitchen With Quartz Counter Tops, Island & Wine Refrigerator. Upstairs Floors Are Original Refinished Hardwood Floors, Hall Closets Are Cedar. Upstairs Bonus Room Over Looks The Family Room. Did I Mention The View, Over Looking The Nippersink Golf Course Hole 1! The Craftsmen Ship Of This House Will Take You Back To Europe & It's Tres Chic!
-
2020-06-28historical Contingent 810-char remark
Show marketing remark (810 chars)
This Unique European Style Home Offers 4 Bedrooms, 2.5 Bathrooms. Great Main Level Master Bedroom With Walk In Closet & Spacious Master Bath With Jetted Tub, Roomy Tiled Walk In Shower & Laundry Room. Beautiful Tiled Mud Room With Hooks To Hang Your Coats, Cozy Library With Book Shelves & French Doors Leading To An Enchanting Patio. 2 Fireplaces With Wood Pellet Insert Stoves To Keep You Warm On Cold Winter Nights. Generous L Shaped Kitchen With Quartz Counter Tops, Island & Wine Refrigerator. Upstairs Floors Are Original Refinished Hardwood Floors, Hall Closets Are Cedar. Upstairs Bonus Room Over Looks The Family Room. Did I Mention The View, Over Looking The Nippersink Golf Course Hole 1! The Craftsmen Ship Of This House Will Take You Back To Europe & It's Tres Chic!
-
2020-06-03$300,000 Active 810-char remark
Show marketing remark (810 chars)
This Unique European Style Home Offers 4 Bedrooms, 2.5 Bathrooms. Great Main Level Master Bedroom With Walk In Closet & Spacious Master Bath With Jetted Tub, Roomy Tiled Walk In Shower & Laundry Room. Beautiful Tiled Mud Room With Hooks To Hang Your Coats, Cozy Library With Book Shelves & French Doors Leading To An Enchanting Patio. 2 Fireplaces With Wood Pellet Insert Stoves To Keep You Warm On Cold Winter Nights. Generous L Shaped Kitchen With Quartz Counter Tops, Island & Wine Refrigerator. Upstairs Floors Are Original Refinished Hardwood Floors, Hall Closets Are Cedar. Upstairs Bonus Room Over Looks The Family Room. Did I Mention The View, Over Looking The Nippersink Golf Course Hole 1! The Craftsmen Ship Of This House Will Take You Back To Europe & It's Tres Chic!
-
1998-09-01soldstatus $146,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,329 · $361/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,096 · $508/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,767/yr (+$147/mo · 40.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $75,684
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,807
- − Property taxes
- −$4,329
- − Insurance
- −$2,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,055
- − Management
- −$6,055
- − Depreciation
- −$12,364
- Taxable income
- $20,950
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,028
- After-tax cash flow
- $21,563/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilmot Uhs School District
- NCES district ID
- 5516770
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,783
- Composite
- 35.65/100
- National rank
- #4881
- State rank
- #138 of 342 in WI
Livability — Randall
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Powers Lake, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,985
Population outlook (Kenosha County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,032 people
- By 2030
- 174,923 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 173,895 · -0.1%
- By 2050
- 170,102 · -2.3%
- By 2075
- 162,952 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 154,781 · -11.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kenosha
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.2) · D 46.2% · R 52.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.3pp toward R · 2008: 18.1pp · 2024: -6.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.2 2020: R+3.1 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+12.3 2008: D+18.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.26%
- Current HPI
- 307.4105
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+191.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $425,000 METROMLS
- 2020-08-17 Sold (MLS) $315,200 METROMLS
- 2020-06-28 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2020-06-03 Listed $300,000 METROMLS
- 1998-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,329 · +11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…