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3426 Garrett Ln
D- Composite 38.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,900

3426 Garrett Ln · Texarkana, TX 75503
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,445 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 2012 0.27 ac lot $194/sqft · 37% above area Est $204k · 37% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PGISD: Three bedrooms, two baths in a split arrangement with an open floor plan. The kitchen has nice granite counter tops with matching black appliances including a gas stove and a pantry. Dining has views of the private backyard and the living area is large with high ceilings and front views. The master suite is a jewel, wrapped in a beautiful shade of blue with fine trim work. The bath has gleaming granite, glass walk in shower and jetted tub. The other bedrooms have high ceilings & pretty hall bath.

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Pgisd subdivision
  • Large fenced yard

Tags

PGISD SUBDIVISIONOUTSIDE CITY LIMITSFUNCTIONAL KITCHENLARGE FENCED YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: The Grove at University; Directions: From I-30 take University exit; University turns into Pleasant Grove Rd and Garrett Lane is on left

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered spaces; Attached garage (garage faces front); 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level / single story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as a residential single-family home
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Privacy fencing; Cul-de-sac lot; Concrete road frontage; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas range; Microwave; Water heater
  • Bedrooms: Walk-in closet(s) in bedroom(s)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Smart thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Double-pane windows

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $88 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (9.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $253k (9.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.3% in Texarkana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#93 in TX, #3,241 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, schools D, crime D.
  • Pleasant Grove ISD (urban): math 63% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #30 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $174k; list at $280k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $253,484 (9.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.67%
Cash-on-cash
1.35%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$204,477
List price
$279,900
Delta
36.89%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
8 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-39,716
Equity at exit
$41,734
10-year hold
IRR
-5.3%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-27,250
Equity at exit
$24,201

Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75503

Home prices YoY
-21.0%
Active inventory
298
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,535 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$330 /mo · $3,959/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$532
Net cashflow
$88

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,423
Max offer price $279,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $247 -5% $167 +0% $88 +5% $9 +10% $-70
Rent -10% $-112 -5% $-12 +0% $88 +5% $188 +10% $288
Rate -1.0pp $229 -0.5pp $159 base $88 +0.5pp $16 +1.0pp $-58

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,975
Closing costs
$8,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6503 Chaparral St Texarkana, TX 3.0 2.0 1427 $4,500 $3.15 44d 1 0.48mi
3681 Cooper Ridge Dr Texarkana, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,398 $1.60 44d 3 0.65mi
5911 Richmond Rd Texarkana, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1049 $2,000 $1.91 44d 14 0.99mi
3515 Arista Blvd Texarkana, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1130 $1,600 $1.42 44d 27 1.14mi
3478 Brooke Pl Unit 3427 Texarkana, TX 3.0 2.5 1440 $1,600 $1.11 44d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $279,900 Pending 34 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,900 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $279,900 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-04-27
    listed $279,900 Active 1119-char remark
  5. 2020-11-24
    soldstatus
  6. 2020-11-20
    soldstatus $174,000 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1043 chars)

    Stylish and well appointed PGISD home fresh and ready for your private tour! Three bedrooms, two baths in a split arrangement with an open floor plan in between. The kitchen has nice granite counter tops with matching black appliances including a gas stove and a pantry. The dining has views of the private backyard and the living area is large with high ceilings and front views. The master suite is a jewel! Its wrapped in a beautiful shade of blue with fine trim work. The bath has gleaming granite, glass walk in shower, jetted tub and a huge walk in closet. The secondary bedrooms are across the home, one in front and one to the rear, both with nice closets. The hall bath is sized well and contains the same beautiful white cabinetry as the rest of the home. A laundry room with upper cabinets makes for nice storage and the garage has attic storage above. Back yard is fully privacy fenced and a covered patio is ready for you to enjoy. You'll love this cul de sac street with a country feel, but close to schools, shopping and dining.

  7. 2020-11-20
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (1043 chars)

    Stylish and well appointed PGISD home fresh and ready for your private tour! Three bedrooms, two baths in a split arrangement with an open floor plan in between. The kitchen has nice granite counter tops with matching black appliances including a gas stove and a pantry. The dining has views of the private backyard and the living area is large with high ceilings and front views. The master suite is a jewel! Its wrapped in a beautiful shade of blue with fine trim work. The bath has gleaming granite, glass walk in shower, jetted tub and a huge walk in closet. The secondary bedrooms are across the home, one in front and one to the rear, both with nice closets. The hall bath is sized well and contains the same beautiful white cabinetry as the rest of the home. A laundry room with upper cabinets makes for nice storage and the garage has attic storage above. Back yard is fully privacy fenced and a covered patio is ready for you to enjoy. You'll love this cul de sac street with a country feel, but close to schools, shopping and dining.

  8. 2020-10-15
    listed $174,900 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    PGISD: Three bedrooms, two baths in a split arrangement with an open floor plan. The kitchen has nice granite counter tops with matching black appliances including a gas stove and a pantry. Dining has views of the private backyard and the living area is large with high ceilings and front views. The master suite is a jewel, wrapped in a beautiful shade of blue with fine trim work. The bath has gleaming granite, glass walk in shower and jetted tub. The other bedrooms have high ceilings & pretty hall bath.

  9. 2020-10-14
    listed $174,900
    Show marketing remark (1043 chars)

    Stylish and well appointed PGISD home fresh and ready for your private tour! Three bedrooms, two baths in a split arrangement with an open floor plan in between. The kitchen has nice granite counter tops with matching black appliances including a gas stove and a pantry. The dining has views of the private backyard and the living area is large with high ceilings and front views. The master suite is a jewel! Its wrapped in a beautiful shade of blue with fine trim work. The bath has gleaming granite, glass walk in shower, jetted tub and a huge walk in closet. The secondary bedrooms are across the home, one in front and one to the rear, both with nice closets. The hall bath is sized well and contains the same beautiful white cabinetry as the rest of the home. A laundry room with upper cabinets makes for nice storage and the garage has attic storage above. Back yard is fully privacy fenced and a covered patio is ready for you to enjoy. You'll love this cul de sac street with a country feel, but close to schools, shopping and dining.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,959 · $330/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,122 · $427/mo
Expected delta
+$1,163/yr (+$97/mo · 29.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,418
− Mortgage interest
−$15,679
− Property taxes
−$3,959
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,433
− Management
−$2,433
− Depreciation
−$8,143
Taxable loss
−$3,629
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$871
After-tax cash flow
$1,929/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pleasant Grove ISD
NCES district ID
4835130
Math proficiency
63% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$69,316
Composite
56.24/100
National rank
#1175
State rank
#30 of 826 in TX

Livability — Texarkana

Score
77/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#3241

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bowie County · 61,238 people
City population
61,238
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
Population (ZIP)
26,372
Household income
$72,159
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
773.0

Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,699 people
By 2030
94,824 · +0.1%
By 2040
94,870 · +0.2%
By 2050
93,686 · -1.1%
By 2075
90,082 · -4.9%
By 2100
76,579 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bowie

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.09%
Current HPI
181.3052
Rent YoY
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Pending TBOR
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $279,900 TBOR
  • 2020-11-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-11-20 Sold (MLS) TBOR
  • 2020-11-20 Sold (MLS) $174,000 CARMLS
  • 2020-10-15 Listed $174,900 CARMLS
  • 2020-10-14 Listed $174,900 TBOR

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,959 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…