121 E College Ave · Rapid City, SD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,342 – $2,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Built 1951
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Nowlin & Wood
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Utilities: Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Metal siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing around front and back yard; Rolling slope lot; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric oven; Oven; Dishwasher
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Refrigerator; Electric oven; Oven; Dishwasher; Washer; Dryer
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $232 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.5% in Rapid City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#34 in SD, #4,720 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Rapid City Area School District 51-4 (urban): math 34% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #50 of 59 in SD (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: General Beadle Elementary - 01 (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #241 of 253 statewide, top 96%, 444 students, 100% FRL); North Middle School - 35 (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #135 of 143 statewide, top 96%, 513 students, 100% FRL); Central High School - 41 (math 35% / reading 61%, grade D, #106 of 151 statewide, top 71%, 1,768 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 36% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Rapid City Area School District 51-4 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,181 units permitted in Pennington County in 2024 (715 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pennington County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $83k; list at $140k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.11%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $250,062
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 E Madison St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,156 (-2%) | 10mo | $250,500 | $217 | 73 |
| 513 E Waterloo St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (-4%) | 4mo | $236,000 | $209 | 73 |
| 1004 Racine St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,073 (-9%) | 4mo | $246,000 | $229 | 64 |
| 316 Curtis St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,121 (-4%) | 1mo | $198,500 | $177 | 60 |
| 914 Farlow Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,108 (-6%) | 2mo | $181,000 | $163 | 58 |
| 230 Adams St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,030 (-12%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $78 | 58 |
| 8 Monroe St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,298 (+11%) | 12mo | $280,000 | $216 | 57 |
| 821 Wood Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-3%) | 13mo | $230,000 | $202 | 56 |
| 1314 Downing St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,298 (+11%) | 12mo | $277,000 | $213 | 55 |
| 222 E Monroe St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,057 (-10%) | 12mo | $235,000 | $222 | 55 |
| 1515 Brentwood St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-14%) | 13mo | $267,000 | $265 | 48 |
| 812 Wood Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (-11%) | 13mo | $218,500 | $208 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-9,783
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,967
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57701
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 217
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,480 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$144 /mo · $1,728/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $232
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $312 | -5% $272 | +0% $232 | +5% $193 | +10% $153 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $115 | -5% $174 | +0% $232 | +5% $291 | +10% $349 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $303 | -0.5pp $268 | base $232 | +0.5pp $196 | +1.0pp $159 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 927 Blaine Ave Rapid City, SD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 22d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 761 E Anamosa St Rapid City, SD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 882 | $1,542 | $1.75 | 22d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1314 Atlas St Rapid City, SD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,080 | $1.39 | 22d | 13 | 0.67mi |
| 118 Waterloo St Apt 110 Rapid City, SD | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 810 | $1,180 | $1.46 | 22d | 7 | 0.83mi |
| 100 Saint Joseph St Rapid City, SD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 744 | $1,750 | $2.35 | 22d | 4 | 1.17mi |
| 965 E Omaha St Unit 100 Rapid City, SD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 858 | $1,263 | $1.47 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 612 6th St Rapid City, SD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 772 | $2,945 | $3.81 | 22d | 19 | 1.32mi |
| 1230 Estes Park Ct Rapid City, SD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 956 | $1,035 | $1.08 | 22d | 9 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $140,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17$140,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,728 · $144/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,834 · $153/mo
- Expected delta
- +$106/yr (+$9/mo · 6.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,754
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,728
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,420
- − Management
- −$1,420
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $571
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$137
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,651/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rapid City Area School District 51-4
- NCES district ID
- 4659820
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,145
- Composite
- 34.47/100
- National rank
- #5189
- State rank
- #50 of 59 in SD
Livability — Rapid City
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #34
- US rank
- #4720
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rapid City, SD
- County
- Pennington County · 99,403 people
- City population
- 99,403
- Metro
- Rapid City, SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,795
- Household income
- $56,461
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1646.0
Population outlook (Pennington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 125,504 people
- By 2030
- 133,370 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 147,505 · +17.5%
- By 2050
- 160,507 · +27.9%
- By 2075
- 197,585 · +57.4%
- By 2100
- 241,736 · +92.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Native American 11% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pennington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.4) · D 35.4% · R 61.9% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.3pp toward R · 2008: -21.2pp · 2024: -26.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.4 2020: R+25.1 2016: R+33.0 2012: R+29.5 2008: R+21.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -189.12%
- Current HPI
- 222.9041
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.71%
- Metro
- Rapid City, SD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
||
Price history
+412.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $140,000 BHMLS
- 2026-03-06 Pending — MRAOR
- 2026-03-02 Relisted — MRAOR
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $190,000 MRAOR
- 2026-01-07 Listed $217,000 MRAOR
- 2025-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 2023-04-21 Price Changed $140,000 BHMLS
- 2023-03-15 Relisted — BHMLS
- 2023-03-06 Contingent — BHMLS
- 2022-10-11 Listed $150,000 BHMLS
- 2022-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2014-06-19 Sold (MLS) $26,500 MRAOR
- 2014-03-18 Listed $27,300 MRAOR
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,728 · -2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…