2607 Elmbrooke Way · Edgewater, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$305,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Short Sale. Short Sale Opportunity — Bank approval required. This home is being offered as a short sale, and the listed price has not yet been approved by the lender. All offers are subject to seller's lender approval, and final terms, timelines, and closing are contingent upon the bank's review and acceptance. This popular DR Horton Cali model offers an open-concept layout designed for everyday living. Enjoy access to the community pool, perfect for relaxing and entertaining. The property also features solar panels with an existing loan that is assumable by the buyer (buyer to verify loan terms, transfer requirements, and any associated costs). Ideal for buyers who can allow extra time for the short sale process and want a value-driven purchase with potential energy savings. Minutes from I-95 and a short drive to the beach. Private Remarks: Solar Panels are assumable.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Minutes from i-95
- Solar panels
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $305k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-424 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $230k (24.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (24.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $230k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#329 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Edgewater Public School (math 67% / reading 52%, grade B-, #690 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 504 students, 64% FRL); New Smyrna Beach Middle School (math 43% / reading 43%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 1,037 students, 53% FRL); New Smyrna Beach High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 1,810 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 441 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 88d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.96%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $343,000
- List price
- $305,000
- Delta
- -11.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1913 Glenbrooke Rd | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 1,846 (0%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $181 | 97 |
| 2232 Woodland Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,741 (-6%) | 2mo | $440,000 | $253 | 61 |
| 2513 Queen Palm Dr | 0.99mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,871 (+1%) | 1mo | $379,000 | $203 | 57 |
| 2129 Lime Tree Dr | 0.96mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,800 (-2%) | 0mo | $294,900 | $164 | 56 |
| 2603 Tamarind Dr | 0.86mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,790 (-3%) | 1mo | $362,000 | $202 | 54 |
| 2012 Mango Tree Dr | 0.82mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,776 (-4%) | 0mo | $330,000 | $186 | 53 |
| 1622 Travelers Palm Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,016 (+9%) | 1mo | $336,000 | $167 | 48 |
| 2713 Victory Palm Dr | 1.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,630 (-12%) | 0mo | $325,000 | $199 | 40 |
| 1712 Sabal Palm Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,546 (-16%) | 1mo | $354,900 | $230 | 39 |
| 2213 Pine Tree Dr | 0.77mi | 4/3.0 | 2,180 (+18%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $161 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-76,297
- Equity at exit
- $45,476
- IRR
- -23.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.18×
- Total profit
- $-100,703
- Equity at exit
- $26,371
Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 43 active · 23 under contract
- Months of supply
- 21.5 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $377,090 ($205/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 279 d
- This list price
- 19% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -9.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32141
- Home prices YoY
- -19.2%
- Active inventory
- 441
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,312 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,599
- Tax from tax record
- −$449 /mo · $5,390/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$75
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$486
- Net cashflow
- $-424
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-251 | -5% $-338 | +0% $-424 | +5% $-510 | +10% $-597 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-607 | -5% $-515 | +0% $-424 | +5% $-333 | +10% $-241 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-270 | -0.5pp $-346 | base $-424 | +0.5pp $-503 | +1.0pp $-583 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,250
- Closing costs
- $9,150
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2725 Silver Canoe Dr Edgewater, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1840 | $1,900 | $1.03 | 88d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2733 Silver Canoe Dr Edgewater, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1840 | $2,000 | $1.09 | 6d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2808 Silver Canoe Dr Edgewater, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1671 | $1,980 | $1.18 | 78d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2219 Umbrella Tree Dr Edgewater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $2,300 | $1.59 | 119d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1822 Royal Palm Dr Edgewater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,620 | $1.16 | 110d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1828 Kumquat Dr Edgewater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1982 | $2,000 | $1.01 | 62d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2114 Gentle Rain Dr Edgewater, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1671 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 62d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2027 Guava Dr Unit 2029 Edgewater, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $2,000 | $1.14 | 6d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2421 India Palm Dr Edgewater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1358 | $2,150 | $1.58 | 114d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2809 Orange Tree Dr Edgewater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $3,100 | $2.20 | 6d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 308 Wildwood Dr Edgewater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $2,195 | $1.48 | 114d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2621 India Palm Dr Edgewater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $2,400 | $1.89 | 119d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1822 Banyan Tree Dr Edgewater, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2304 | $3,300 | $1.43 | 62d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2515 Fern Palm Dr Edgewater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,200 | $1.57 | 107d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1008 Beulah Dr Edgewater, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1251 | $1,825 | $1.46 | 88d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail $75/mo · $900/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $305,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $305,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $305,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $305,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $305,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $305,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $305,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $305,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $305,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $305,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $305,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $305,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $305,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $305,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $305,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $305,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $305,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $305,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $305,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $305,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $305,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $305,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $305,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $305,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $305,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $305,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $305,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $305,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $305,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $305,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $305,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $305,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $305,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $305,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $305,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $305,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $305,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $305,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $305,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $305,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $305,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $305,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $305,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $305,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $305,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $305,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $305,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $305,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $305,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $305,000 Active 185 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,390 · $449/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,390 · $449/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,749
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,085
- − Property taxes
- −$5,390
- − Insurance
- −$1,525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,220
- − Management
- −$2,220
- − HOA
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$8,873
- Taxable loss
- −$10,463
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,511
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,575/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in good condition with modern updates and a good curb appeal. It is a great opportunity for a buyer looking for a move-in ready home.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Resale Replace countertops — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Improves convenience and adds value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Volusia
- NCES district ID
- 1201920
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,946
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4019
- State rank
- #47 of 73 in FL
Livability — Edgewater
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #329
- US rank
- #5753
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edgewater, FL
- County
- Volusia County · 572,749 people
- City population
- 18,726
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,726
- Household income
- $63,936
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 26% of renters
Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 572,749 people
- By 2030
- 598,695 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 644,880 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 681,451 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 759,957 · +32.7%
- By 2100
- 778,902 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Volusia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.12%
- Current HPI
- 337.8301
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-7.3% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $305,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $305,000 Daytona MLS
- 2026-01-19 Listed $323,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Listed $323,000 Daytona MLS
- 2024-08-17 Listing Removed — Daytona MLS
- 2024-06-20 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-20 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-14 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-23 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-22 Contingent — Daytona MLS
- 2024-04-09 Listed $385,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-01 Price Changed $385,000 Daytona MLS
- 2024-03-12 Price Changed $388,500 Daytona MLS
- 2024-02-17 Listed $390,000 Daytona MLS
- 2022-06-24 Sold (MLS) $375,000 NSBMLS
- 2022-06-24 Sold (MLS) $375,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-01 Listing Removed — Daytona MLS
- 2022-02-01 Pending — Daytona MLS
- 2022-02-01 Contingent — NSBMLS
- 2022-01-26 Price Changed $333,990 Daytona MLS
- 2022-01-26 Price Changed $333,990 NSBMLS
- 2022-01-21 Listed $328,990 NSBMLS
- 2022-01-21 Listed $333,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-21 Listed $328,990 Daytona MLS
Property tax history
+153.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,390 · +13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…