640 Peyton Dr · Biloxi, MS
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3/2 Home in the Heart of Biloxi. Walk to Main Street & Local Entertainment! Discover incredible potential with this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located just steps from Main Street, offering easy access to Biloxi's dining, shopping, and entertainment attractions. Whether you're looking for a primary residence, investment property, or coastal getaway, this home is full of opportunity. Inside, you'll find a comfortable layout ready for your personal touch. A little TLC will make this home truly shine. Outside, recent improvements include a brand new metal roof, providing long-lasting durability and peace of mind for years to come. A rare bonus: the 2001 Lexus RX parked in the garage is included with the sale of the home! Enjoy walkability, convenience, and a chance to customize a home in one of Biloxi's most accessible locations. Don't miss out on this unique opportunity.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Accessible locations
- 7,405 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (2.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.5% in Biloxi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#6 in MS, #2,141 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, employment D-.
- Biloxi Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #7 of 130 in MS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 164 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,854/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 329% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.47%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,283
- List price
- $189,990
- Delta
- 1.99%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 679 Chambers Cv | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,416 (-8%) | 4mo | $149,000 | $105 | 70 |
| 304 Nixon St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,531 (-0%) | 11mo | $89,500 | $58 | 67 |
| 271 Ebony Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,459 (-5%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $65 | 66 |
| 132 Dukate St | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,378 (-10%) | 2mo | $249,000 | $181 | 65 |
| 414 Shell St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,525 (-1%) | 4mo | $399,900 | $262 | 63 |
| 547 Howard Ave | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-9%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $179 | 62 |
| 258 Reynoir St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,637 (+7%) | 11mo | $95,000 | $58 | 52 |
| 410 Shell St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,525 (-1%) | 19mo | $389,000 | $255 | 50 |
| 180 Rosetti St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-1%) | 10mo | $169,000 | $112 | 50 |
| 130 Lee St | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,729 (+13%) | 11mo | $335,000 | $194 | 47 |
| 171 Lee St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,304 (-15%) | 18mo | $189,900 | $146 | 46 |
| 550 Roy St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,633 (+6%) | 21mo | $149,500 | $92 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-15,372
- Equity at exit
- $28,328
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $6,385
- Equity at exit
- $16,427
Cash invested: $53,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39530
- Active inventory
- 164
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,854 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$147 /mo · $1,760/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$389
- Net cashflow
- $242
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $350 | -5% $296 | +0% $242 | +5% $189 | +10% $135 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $96 | -5% $169 | +0% $242 | +5% $316 | +10% $389 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $338 | -0.5pp $291 | base $242 | +0.5pp $193 | +1.0pp $143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,498
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 626 Water St Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,300 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 626 Water St Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 620 Murray St Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 271 Ebony Ln Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 520 Beach Blvd Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $2,950 | $2.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 270 Bohn St Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 962 Thelma St Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,649 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 172 Hoxie St Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2117 | $1,800 | $0.85 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 309 Seal Ave Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 259 Benachi Ave Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,990 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,990 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,990 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,990 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $189,990 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,990 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,990 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,990 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,990 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,990 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,990 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,990 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,990 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,990 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $189,990 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-02-13price $189,990 901-char remark
Show marketing remark (901 chars)
Charming 3/2 Home in the Heart of Biloxi. Walk to Main Street & Local Entertainment! Discover incredible potential with this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located just steps from Main Street, offering easy access to Biloxi's dining, shopping, and entertainment attractions. Whether you're looking for a primary residence, investment property, or coastal getaway, this home is full of opportunity. Inside, you'll find a comfortable layout ready for your personal touch. A little TLC will make this home truly shine. Outside, recent improvements include a brand new metal roof, providing long-lasting durability and peace of mind for years to come. A rare bonus: the 2001 Lexus RX parked in the garage is included with the sale of the home! Enjoy walkability, convenience, and a chance to customize a home in one of Biloxi's most accessible locations. Don't miss out on this unique opportunity.
-
2025-12-11$199,990 Active 901-char remark
Show marketing remark (901 chars)
Charming 3/2 Home in the Heart of Biloxi. Walk to Main Street & Local Entertainment! Discover incredible potential with this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located just steps from Main Street, offering easy access to Biloxi's dining, shopping, and entertainment attractions. Whether you're looking for a primary residence, investment property, or coastal getaway, this home is full of opportunity. Inside, you'll find a comfortable layout ready for your personal touch. A little TLC will make this home truly shine. Outside, recent improvements include a brand new metal roof, providing long-lasting durability and peace of mind for years to come. A rare bonus: the 2001 Lexus RX parked in the garage is included with the sale of the home! Enjoy walkability, convenience, and a chance to customize a home in one of Biloxi's most accessible locations. Don't miss out on this unique opportunity.
-
2025-10-31historical
-
2025-09-10price $199,990
-
2025-09-10price $199,900
-
2024-12-11price $209,000
-
2024-10-15$219,000 Active
-
2021-10-01historical
-
2014-01-30$119,900
-
2013-07-15soldstatus
-
2013-07-11soldstatus
-
2013-04-16$59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,760 · $147/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,760 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,247
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,642
- − Property taxes
- −$1,760
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,780
- − Management
- −$1,780
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$192
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$46
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,955/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Biloxi Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2800630
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,608
- Composite
- 45.26/100
- National rank
- #2657
- State rank
- #7 of 130 in MS
Livability — Biloxi
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2141
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Biloxi, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 63,281
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,701
- Household income
- $41,117
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 329.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 14% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.19%
- Current HPI
- 181.0603
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+217.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $189,990 MLSU
- 2025-12-11 Listed $199,990 MLSU
- 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $199,990 MLSU
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $199,900 MLSU
- 2024-12-11 Price Changed $209,000 MLSU
- 2024-10-15 Listed $219,000 MLSU
- 2021-10-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2014-01-30 Listed $119,900 MLSU
- 2013-07-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-07-11 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2013-04-16 Listed $59,900 MLSU
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,760 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…