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102 Boss Row
D- Composite 38.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.2/10.0

$199,000

102 Boss Row · Fries, VA 24330
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,808 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1900 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This two story home provides year round and seasonal views of the New River from the front and back decks. The Fries Dam is audible year round. Seller has made numerous remodels and upgrades over the last few years. Original hardwood floors. Excellent location in town, being only a five to ten minute walk to the Town Community Center (library, pool, theater), depot, New River Trailhead, and Town Park. 3 bedrooms/1 bath, with a good option for creating a second floor bathroom. Rear entry has only a few stairs to climb. Small, easy to maintain yard, partially fenced, wooded on two sides. Fencing is vinyl. Room to create on-property parking, current parking is on street. Small enclosed storage

Key facts

  • Wooded on two sides
  • Partially fenced
  • Excellent location

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSEXCELLENT LOCATIONEASY TO MAINTAIN YARDPARTIALLY FENCEDWOODED ON TWO SIDESVINYL FENCING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Property has a view; Cleared, sloped, and wooded lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating
  • Interior features: Tile, vinyl, and wood flooring; Crawl space basement (unfinished)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-339 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $139k (30.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (47.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $104k (47.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#416 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Grayson County Public School District (rural): math 68% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #27 of 131 in VA (top 21%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Fries Elementary (math 62% / reading 77%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 253 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 53% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
  • Grayson County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $104,095 (47.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.52%
Cap rate
4.25%
Cash-on-cash
-7.29%
DSCR
0.68
GRM
15.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$62,275
Equity at exit
$153,295
10-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
4.53×
Total profit
$196,564
Equity at exit
$306,323

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24330

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
15.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,041 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $414/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$-339

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,470
Max offer price $139,177
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $199,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$414 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,632 · $136/mo
Expected delta
+$1,218/yr (+$101/mo · 294.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,491
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$414
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$999
− Management
−$999
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$7,852
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,885
After-tax cash flow
$-2,179/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grayson County Public School District
NCES district ID
5101690
Math proficiency
68% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$31,429
Composite
59.22/100
National rank
#942
State rank
#27 of 131 in VA

Livability — Fries

Score
61/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#17459

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fries, VA
Population (ZIP)
2,870

Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,252 people
By 2030
13,634 · -4.3%
By 2040
12,202 · -14.4%
By 2050
10,811 · -24.1%
By 2075
8,069 · -43.4%
By 2100
5,647 · -60.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grayson

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.2) · D 18.6% · R 80.8%
2008→2024 swing
-33.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -62.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.2 2020: R+61.4 2016: R+57.7 2012: R+37.9 2008: R+28.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.16%
Current HPI
213.619
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $199,000 SWVAR

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $414 · -25.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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