1172 Wisteria · Wilkinson Heights, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
COZY ALL BRICK 3 BED, 1.5 BATH HOME W/ FRNT PORCH, SIDE CARPORT. FEATURES INCLUDE LG MSTR BDRM W/ HDWD FLOORS + PRIVATE 1/2 BATH, FRENCH DOORS THAT LEAD OUT ONTO WOOD DECK OVERLOOKING BACK YARD, 2 ADD'L BDRMS IN HOME /SHARED FULL BATH IN HALL. PROPERTY HAS NEW SEPTIC+ NEW PLUMBING+ NEW ROOF IN 2017. SQ FTG IS APPROXIMATE (+/-) & SHOULD BE VERIFIED BY PURCHASER IF SQUARE FOOTAGE IS IMPORTANT TO PURCHASER. AGENT DOES NOT WARRANT THE ACCURACY OF THE MEASUREMENTS.
Key facts
- 0.3 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1963
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $497 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#319 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Zoned schools: Whittaker Elementary (math 24%, 415 students, 100% FRL); Robert E. Howard Middle (math 10%, 396 students, 100% FRL); Orangeburg Wilkinson High (math 22%, 1,073 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: 226 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Orangeburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orangeburg County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $121k (64%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.86%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $172,550
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1141 Hodson Dr | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,275 (+7%) | 1mo | $38,700 | $30 | 63 |
| 1472 Middlepen Rd | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (-12%) | 14mo | $152,700 | $145 | 33 |
| 1499 1499 Joe S Jeffords Hwy Hwy | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,025 (-14%) | 14mo | $155,000 | $151 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $20,532
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 33.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.05×
- Total profit
- $58,896
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29115
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,326 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$160 /mo · $1,921/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $497
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2025-06-17soldstatus $179,900
-
2025-05-05status Pending
-
2025-04-01price $179,900
-
2025-02-26$189,900 Active
-
2024-10-14status Pending
-
2024-09-05historical
-
2019-03-06$69,000
-
2019-03-04$69,000
-
1997-04-01soldstatus $54,000
-
1992-07-01soldstatus $46,000
-
1990-02-01soldstatus $38,500
-
1974-01-01soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,921 · $160/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,921 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,912
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,921
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,273
- − Management
- −$1,273
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $5,228
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,255
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,708/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Wilkinson Heights
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #319
- US rank
- #23798
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 27,179
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,179
Population outlook (Orangeburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,698 people
- By 2030
- 78,615 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 69,308 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 60,629 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 42,678 · -48.4%
- By 2100
- 28,136 · -66.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orangeburg
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 61.8% · R 37.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 38.1pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+33.2 2016: D+37.0 2012: D+43.5 2008: D+38.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.65%
- Current HPI
- 150.823
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+799.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $179,900 Public Records
- 2025-05-05 Pending — Consolidated MLS
- 2025-04-01 Price Changed $179,900 Consolidated MLS
- 2025-02-26 Listed $189,900 Consolidated MLS
- 2024-10-14 Pending — Charleston Trident MLS
- 2024-09-05 Listing Removed — Charleston Trident MLS
- 2019-03-06 Listed $69,000 Charleston Trident MLS
- 2019-03-04 Listed $69,000 Consolidated MLS
- 1997-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 1992-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
- 1990-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,500 Public Records
- 1974-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,921 · +19.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…