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23011 Gordon Lake Rd
C- Composite 53.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$99,900

23011 Gordon Lake Rd · Gordon, WI 54527
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily · 61 Days on market
Built 1940 37 ac lot $130/sqft · 38% below area Est $161k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 23011 Gordon Lake in Glidden a Northwoods setting among the natural beauty and quiet surroundings that make Asland County so special. This property offers space, privacy, and the peaceful atmosphere of true Up-North living, with room to enjoy the outdoors, relax, and take in the surrounding woods and wildlife. Located just inside the town of Gordon, the home provides the tranquility of a rural setting while still being close to local conveniences. The area is known for its exceptional outdoor recreation, including nearby lakes, rivers, trails, and public lands perfect for fishing, boating, hunting, ATV riding, and exploring the Northwoods year-round. Whether you're looking for a primary residence, a seasonal getaway, or an investment opportunity in Wisconsin?s Northwoods, this offers the setting and lifestyle many buyers are searching for. This property is a Bank Approved short sale/foreclosure. Check all room dimensions and specs, this is "As-Is".

Key facts

  • 37 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1940

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($289/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (15.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#751 in WI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, health & safety D.
  • Chequamegon School District (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #303 of 342 in WI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
  • Ashland County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $84,246 (15.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.03%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$161,186
List price
$99,900
Delta
-38.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$11,358
Equity at exit
$42,590
10-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
2.47×
Total profit
$41,050
Equity at exit
$63,879

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54527

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$842 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $912/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$177
Net cashflow
$24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $812
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $99,900 Pending 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 44 DOM
  16. 2026-04-16
    listed $99,900 Active 984-char remark
    Show marketing remark (984 chars)

    Welcome to 23011 Gordon Lake in Glidden a Northwoods setting among the natural beauty and quiet surroundings that make Asland County so special. This property offers space, privacy, and the peaceful atmosphere of true Up-North living, with room to enjoy the outdoors, relax, and take in the surrounding woods and wildlife. Located just inside the town of Gordon, the home provides the tranquility of a rural setting while still being close to local conveniences. The area is known for its exceptional outdoor recreation, including nearby lakes, rivers, trails, and public lands perfect for fishing, boating, hunting, ATV riding, and exploring the Northwoods year-round. Whether you're looking for a primary residence, a seasonal getaway, or an investment opportunity in Wisconsin?s Northwoods, this offers the setting and lifestyle many buyers are searching for. This property is a Bank Approved short sale/foreclosure. Check all room dimensions and specs, this is "As-Is".

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$912 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,380 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$468/yr (+$39/mo · 51.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,110
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$912
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$809
− Management
−$809
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable loss
−$1,422
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$341
After-tax cash flow
$630/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chequamegon School District
NCES district ID
5500058
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,432
Composite
22.98/100
National rank
#7984
State rank
#303 of 342 in WI

Livability — Gordon

Score
57/100
State rank
#751
US rank
#21951

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing C Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,302
Population (ZIP)
958

Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,204 people
By 2030
14,639 · -3.7%
By 2040
13,198 · -13.2%
By 2050
11,841 · -22.1%
By 2075
9,755 · -35.8%
By 2100
8,675 · -42.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Romanian 6% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ashland

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 46.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-32.4pp toward R · 2008: 37.1pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+11.0 2016: D+8.9 2012: D+30.8 2008: D+37.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.58%
Current HPI
138.6273
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $99,900 SCWMLS

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $912 · -7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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