275 1st St · Buchanan, VA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Under contract, but seller is still allowing showings and accepting back-up offers! INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY! Three tax parcels located on a corner lot in the Town of Buchanan, conveniently near the James River, the Swinging Bridge, and other local amenities. The property features an older home being sold as-is.
Key facts
- Local amenities
- Older home
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $725 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#244 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, schools A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Botetourt County Public School District (rural): math 76% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #6 of 131 in VA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Botetourt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Botetourt County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.76%
- DSCR
- 3.75
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $209,659
- List price
- $54,950
- Delta
- -73.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20459 Main St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (-8%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $57 | 63 |
| 322 2nd St | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,786 (-11%) | 11mo | $265,000 | $148 | 61 |
| 496 Boyd St | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,244 (+12%) | 10mo | $293,000 | $131 | 54 |
| 493 Culpepper Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,824 (-9%) | 0mo | $181,000 | $99 | 52 |
| 363 Lowe St | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,920 (-5%) | 19mo | $268,000 | $140 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.43×
- Total profit
- $37,337
- Equity at exit
- $8,193
- IRR
- 60.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.99×
- Total profit
- $92,173
- Equity at exit
- $4,751
Cash invested: $15,386 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24066
- Home prices YoY
- -21.8%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,442 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $435/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $725
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,738
- Closing costs
- $1,648
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,950 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,950 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,950 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,950 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $54,950 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,950 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $54,950 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,950 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,950 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,950 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricestatus $54,950 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Pending 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Under contract, but seller is still allowing showings and accepting back-up offers! INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY! Three tax parcels located on a corner lot in the Town of Buchanan, conveniently near the James River, the Swinging Bridge, and other local amenities. The property features an older home being sold as-is.
-
2026-05-05status Active 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Under contract, but seller is still allowing showings and accepting back-up offers! INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY! Three tax parcels located on a corner lot in the Town of Buchanan, conveniently near the James River, the Swinging Bridge, and other local amenities. The property features an older home being sold as-is.
-
2026-03-10status Pending 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Under contract, but seller is still allowing showings and accepting back-up offers! INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY! Three tax parcels located on a corner lot in the Town of Buchanan, conveniently near the James River, the Swinging Bridge, and other local amenities. The property features an older home being sold as-is.
-
2026-01-21$69,950 Active 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Under contract, but seller is still allowing showings and accepting back-up offers! INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY! Three tax parcels located on a corner lot in the Town of Buchanan, conveniently near the James River, the Swinging Bridge, and other local amenities. The property features an older home being sold as-is.
-
2022-09-13soldstatus $40,000 Closed 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
2 Tax Parcels in Town of Buchanan at corner of Bridge St and 1st St, 1 Block from the James River and Swinging Bridge-Walk to Coffee shop, Dining and adventure! Older home with no recent improvements being sold ''as-is'', no repairs made by seller. Potential for new multi-family use. Home is not in flood zone.
-
2022-08-27status Pending 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
2 Tax Parcels in Town of Buchanan at corner of Bridge St and 1st St, 1 Block from the James River and Swinging Bridge-Walk to Coffee shop, Dining and adventure! Older home with no recent improvements being sold ''as-is'', no repairs made by seller. Potential for new multi-family use. Home is not in flood zone.
-
2022-08-02$58,000 Active 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
2 Tax Parcels in Town of Buchanan at corner of Bridge St and 1st St, 1 Block from the James River and Swinging Bridge-Walk to Coffee shop, Dining and adventure! Older home with no recent improvements being sold ''as-is'', no repairs made by seller. Potential for new multi-family use. Home is not in flood zone.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $435 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $451 · $38/mo
- Expected delta
- +$15/yr (+$1/mo · 3.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,304
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,078
- − Property taxes
- −$435
- − Insurance
- −$1,072
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,384
- − Management
- −$1,384
- − Depreciation
- −$1,599
- Taxable income
- $8,351
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,004
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,700/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Botetourt County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100420
- Math proficiency
- 76% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,125
- Composite
- 68.07/100
- National rank
- #355
- State rank
- #6 of 131 in VA
Livability — Buchanan
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #244
- US rank
- #8227
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buchanan, VA
- City population
- 5,234
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,234
Population outlook (Botetourt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,273 people
- By 2030
- 34,457 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 34,051 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 32,841 · -4.2%
- By 2075
- 30,720 · -10.4%
- By 2100
- 26,395 · -23.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Botetourt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+44.5 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+33.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.35%
- Current HPI
- 155.1053
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+20.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MLSRV
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — MLSRV
- 2026-03-10 Pending — MLSRV
- 2026-01-21 Listed $69,950 MLSRV
- 2022-09-13 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MLSRV
- 2022-08-27 Pending — MLSRV
- 2022-08-02 Listed $58,000 MLSRV
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $435 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…