1915 Ellis St · Brunswick, GA 31520

$69,995

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,767 sqft · MultiFamily · 57 Days on market

Built 1890 Poor condition 4,356 sqft lot $40/sqft · 59% below area

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +1.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

MUCCH zoning. Needs lots of work. Down stairs has no sheetrock and a total remodel. Up stairs has 2 bedrooms, and a bath. Needs a new roof.

Key facts

• 4,356 sq ft lot
• Built 1890
• Listed 57 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $70k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $629 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
• Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 3.5% in Brunswick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#401 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
• Glynn County (other): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #47 of 174 in GA (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Burroughs-Molette Elementary School (math 21% / reading 14%, grade F, #931 of 1,228 statewide, top 76%, 593 students, 96% FRL); Risley Middle School (math 29% / reading 44%, grade F, #167 of 470 statewide, top 38%, 635 students, 61% FRL); Glynn Academy (math 45% / reading 42%, grade F, #50 of 424 statewide, top 12%, 1,823 students, 41% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 734 units permitted in Glynn County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Glynn County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $50k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $67,895 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
3. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.13% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.21%
• Cash-on-cash: 42.58%
• DSCR: 2.89
• GRM: 3.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $171,208
• List price: $69,995
• Delta: -59.12%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 9 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1915 Union St	0.05mi	3/3.0 (+1)	1,900 (+8%)	10mo	$380,000	$200	64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 37.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.63×
• Total profit: $31,966
• Equity at exit: $10,436

10-year hold

• IRR: 44.9%
• Equity multiple: 5.76×
• Total profit: $93,324
• Equity at exit: $6,052

Cash invested: $19,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31520

• Rents YoY: 5.1%
• Active inventory: 183
• Price-to-rent: 3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,493 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$367
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$87 /mo · $1,050/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$313
• Net cashflow: $629

Break-even live

Break-even rent $696

Max offer price $69,995

Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $677	-5% $653	+0% $629	+5% $605	+10% $581
Rent	-10% $511	-5% $570	+0% $629	+5% $688	+10% $747
Rate	-1.0pp $664	-0.5pp $647	base $629	+0.5pp $611	+1.0pp $592

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,499
• Closing costs: $2,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3220 Altama Ave Brunswick, GA	3.0	2.0	1300	$1,650	$1.27	45d	1	1.48mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-03-30
   listed $69,995 Active 139-char remark

   Show marketing remark (139 chars)

   MUCCH zoning. Needs lots of work. Down stairs has no sheetrock and a total remodel. Up stairs has 2 bedrooms, and a bath. Needs a new roof.

2. 2000-04-21
   soldstatus $50,000
3. 2000-03-14
   listed $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,910
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,921
• − Property taxes: −$1,050
• − Insurance: −$1,147
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,433
• − Management: −$1,433
• − Depreciation: −$2,036
• Taxable income: $6,890
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,654
• After-tax cash flow: $5,893/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Poor 30/100 Extensive rehab

This multi-family property requires extensive repairs, including a new roof and exterior painting, to become move-in ready and increase its value.

Repairs flagged

• Major roof — Exposed rafters and missing shingles
• Major exterior — Weathered siding and peeling paint
• Major interior — No interior photos to assess

Value-add opportunities

• Both New roof — Critical to safety and appearance
• Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Interior updates — Improves livability and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
roof · Exposed rafters and missing shingles	Major	$15,000–50,000
exterior · Weathered siding and peeling paint	Major	$15,000–50,000
interior · No interior photos to assess	Major	$15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items		$45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both New roof — Critical to safety and appearance ↑
• Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Interior updates — Improves livability and value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Glynn County
• NCES district ID: 1302400
• Math proficiency: 37% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $47,554
• Composite: 33.83/100
• National rank: #5359
• State rank: #47 of 174 in GA

Livability — Brunswick

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #401
• US rank: #19832

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Brunswick, GA
• County: Glynn County · 69,019 people
• City population: 51,239
• Metro: Brunswick, GA
• Population (ZIP): 22,313
• Household income: $40,071
• Rent vs Own: 54.5% rent · 45.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 1406.0

Population outlook (Glynn County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 91,404 people
• By 2030: 94,806 · +3.7%
• By 2040: 100,060 · +9.5%
• By 2050: 103,258 · +13.0%
• By 2075: 107,970 · +18.1%
• By 2100: 103,363 · +13.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 50% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Glynn

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+26.0) · D 36.8% · R 62.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.6pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -26.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+26.0 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -274.83%
• Current HPI: 180.4581
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.08%
• Metro: Brunswick, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

+40.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-30 Listed $69,995 GIAR
• 2000-04-21 Sold (MLS) $50,000 GIAR
• 2000-03-14 Listed $50,000 GIAR