4250 Castille Ave · Pea Ridge, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- ARV discount +6.7/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT FOR FIRST TIME HOME BUYER OR RETIREE.
Key facts
- Stainless dishwasher
- Extra storage
- Covered patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building area about 1,298 square feet; Lot roughly 70 x 100 (0.16 acres); Directions: From Hwy 90 turn left into Santa Villa, go to 2nd stop sign and turn left, then right onto Castille Avenue — house on the left
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking; Driveway
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Cable available; Electric service with circuit breakers and copper wiring
- Home design: Single-story (one level); Resale property; Not attached to another property; Slab foundation; Frame construction; Shingle roof
- Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Rain gutters; Yard building (additional structure); Interior lot; Paved, county-maintained road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate counters; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 16 x 12); Second bedroom on the first floor (approx. 11.4 x 10.2); Third bedroom on the first floor (approx. 13.2 x 10.4)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans; Heat pump (energy efficient)
- Interior features: Baseboards; Vaulted ceilings; Double pane windows; Window blinds; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry with washer/dryer hookups; Tankless water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-78 ($-930/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (6.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (27.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $163k (27.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.5% in Pea Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#459 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Santa Rosa (suburban): math 63% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 73 in FL (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 665 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,983 units permitted in Santa Rosa County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Rosa County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $86k; list at $225k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.48%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $220,772
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4373 Cecelia Ct | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,067 (-6%) | 4mo | $207,000 | $194 | 76 |
| 4233 W Avenida De Golf | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+14%) | 1mo | $181,500 | $140 | 72 |
| 5538 Rowell Rd | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,213 (+7%) | 11mo | $215,100 | $177 | 65 |
| 4290 Castille Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,276 (+12%) | 14mo | $250,000 | $196 | 63 |
| 4523 Struth Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+5%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $200 | 62 |
| 4341 W Avenida De Golf | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (+4%) | 12mo | $244,000 | $207 | 61 |
| 4381 Santa Villa Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-9%) | 8mo | $200,000 | $192 | 60 |
| 5341 Delona Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (+6%) | 7mo | $264,000 | $219 | 54 |
| 5621 Kingery Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,196 (+5%) | 9mo | $219,000 | $183 | 53 |
| 4285 W Avenida De Golf | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+14%) | 12mo | $226,000 | $174 | 53 |
| 5615 Kingery Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,243 (+9%) | 14mo | $249,900 | $201 | 41 |
| 4531 Sunrise Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-11%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $119 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-41,931
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-45,113
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32571
- Home prices YoY
- -17.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 665
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,627 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,079/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $-78
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5385 E Avenida de Golf Milton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,200 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 4933 Bell Ridge Ln Milton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $1,437 | $1.66 | 14d | 8 | 0.97mi |
| 4355 Park Ct Trlr Park , FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4389 Park Ct Trlr Park , FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3864 Oakus Dr Unit 5B Milton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4413 Oak Vista Ln Milton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 992 | $2,354 | $2.37 | 14d | 18 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $224,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $224,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $224,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $224,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $224,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $224,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$224,900 Active
-
2024-03-30historical
-
2023-11-03status Active
-
2023-10-18historical
-
2023-10-13price $224,900
-
2023-09-28$229,900 Active
-
2004-11-30soldstatus $86,500
-
2004-11-24soldstatus $86,500 43-char remark
Show marketing remark (43 chars)
GREAT FOR FIRST TIME HOME BUYER OR RETIREE.
-
2004-08-26$86,500 43-char remark
Show marketing remark (43 chars)
GREAT FOR FIRST TIME HOME BUYER OR RETIREE.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,079 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,867 · $156/mo
- Expected delta
- +$788/yr (+$66/mo · 73.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,526
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$1,079
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,562
- − Management
- −$1,562
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$4,942
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,186
- After-tax cash flow
- $256/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Rosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201650
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,161
- Composite
- 53.12/100
- National rank
- #1511
- State rank
- #8 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pea Ridge
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #459
- US rank
- #8316
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pea Ridge, FL
- County
- Santa Rosa County · 194,764 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,171
- Household income
- $87,617
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 301.0
Population outlook (Santa Rosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 195,978 people
- By 2030
- 209,782 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 235,293 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 256,408 · +30.8%
- By 2075
- 298,074 · +52.1%
- By 2100
- 303,216 · +54.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Rosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.1% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.6 2008: R+47.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.39%
- Current HPI
- 290.2953
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.72%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+160.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $224,900 PARMLS
- 2024-03-30 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2023-11-03 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2023-10-18 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2023-10-13 Price Changed $224,900 PARMLS
- 2023-09-28 Listed $229,900 PARMLS
- 2004-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $86,500 Public Records
- 2004-11-24 Sold (MLS) $86,500 PARMLS
- 2004-08-26 Listed $86,500 PARMLS
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,079 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…