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1181 Edgcumbe Rd #411
B- Composite 68.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

1181 Edgcumbe Rd #411 · St. Paul, MN 55105
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 644 sqft · Condo public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1978 $568/mo HOA · 30% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled in the heart of the vibrant Macalester-Groveland neighborhood, this charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo in the Wilder Park Tower offers a perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and community. Freshly painted with brand-new carpet, the interior feels bright and inviting—ideal for those seeking a move-in-ready home. As a resident, you’ll enjoy access to an impressive array of shared amenities: a resident lounge, fitness center, library, sauna, guest suite, and a sunny atrium—perfect for socializing or relaxing. The building’s 17th-floor party room offers sweeping skyline views of both St. Paul and Minneapolis, making it a standout feature for entertaining or simply unwinding. Step outside and you’re immediately adjacent to Wilder Park, a lush 5-acre green space featuring pickleball and tennis courts, ball fields, and seasonal ice skating—ideal for staying active or enjoying the outdoors. Underground parking ensures convenience and peace of mind, while nearby Grand Avenue offers a delightful mix of restaurants, shops, and Trader Joe’s just blocks away. This 55+ community is known for its active association and welcoming atmosphere. With lower property taxes and HOA dues, this condo represents exceptional value in a sought-after location.

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • Sauna
  • Library

Tags

SHARED AMENITIESRESIDENT LOUNGEFITNESS CENTERLIBRARYSAUNAGUEST SUITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $49k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Recommended offer $70,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.72%
Cap rate
14.20%
Cash-on-cash
28.22%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.15% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$18,677
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
31.3%
Equity multiple
3.90×
Total profit
$56,767
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55105

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,904 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $948/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$568
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$461

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,321
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
470 Lexington Pkwy S Saint Paul, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 1175 $2,455 $2.09 1d 19 0.34mi
695 Grand Ave Saint Paul, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1130 $1,745 $1.54 17d 10 1.10mi
740 Victoria St S Saint Paul, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1076 $2,067 $1.92 2d 39 1.14mi
150 Snelling Ave N St Paul, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 741 $1,955 $2.64 1d 8 1.30mi
1555 Selby Ave Saint Paul, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1129 $2,458 $2.18 2d 7 1.32mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$568 · $6,816/yr
Likely covers
gym
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 1302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1302 chars)

    Nestled in the heart of the vibrant Macalester-Groveland neighborhood, this charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo in the Wilder Park Tower offers a perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and community. Freshly painted with brand-new carpet, the interior feels bright and inviting—ideal for those seeking a move-in-ready home. As a resident, you’ll enjoy access to an impressive array of shared amenities: a resident lounge, fitness center, library, sauna, guest suite, and a sunny atrium—perfect for socializing or relaxing. The building’s 17th-floor party room offers sweeping skyline views of both St. Paul and Minneapolis, making it a standout feature for entertaining or simply unwinding. Step outside and you’re immediately adjacent to Wilder Park, a lush 5-acre green space featuring pickleball and tennis courts, ball fields, and seasonal ice skating—ideal for staying active or enjoying the outdoors. Underground parking ensures convenience and peace of mind, while nearby Grand Avenue offers a delightful mix of restaurants, shops, and Trader Joe’s just blocks away. This 55+ community is known for its active association and welcoming atmosphere. With lower property taxes and HOA dues, this condo represents exceptional value in a sought-after location.

  2. 2026-04-22
    listed $70,000 Active 1302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1302 chars)

    Nestled in the heart of the vibrant Macalester-Groveland neighborhood, this charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo in the Wilder Park Tower offers a perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and community. Freshly painted with brand-new carpet, the interior feels bright and inviting—ideal for those seeking a move-in-ready home. As a resident, you’ll enjoy access to an impressive array of shared amenities: a resident lounge, fitness center, library, sauna, guest suite, and a sunny atrium—perfect for socializing or relaxing. The building’s 17th-floor party room offers sweeping skyline views of both St. Paul and Minneapolis, making it a standout feature for entertaining or simply unwinding. Step outside and you’re immediately adjacent to Wilder Park, a lush 5-acre green space featuring pickleball and tennis courts, ball fields, and seasonal ice skating—ideal for staying active or enjoying the outdoors. Underground parking ensures convenience and peace of mind, while nearby Grand Avenue offers a delightful mix of restaurants, shops, and Trader Joe’s just blocks away. This 55+ community is known for its active association and welcoming atmosphere. With lower property taxes and HOA dues, this condo represents exceptional value in a sought-after location.

  3. 1997-02-06
    soldstatus $49,215
  4. 1997-02-06
    soldstatus $37,000
  5. 1997-01-24
    soldstatus $37,000
  6. 1997-01-08
    historical
  7. 1996-09-05
    listed $39,900
  8. 1996-06-30
    historical
  9. 1995-12-02
    listed $39,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$948 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$948 · $79/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,849
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$948
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,828
− Management
−$1,828
− HOA
−$6,816
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$5,122
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,229
After-tax cash flow
$4,302/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Paul Public School District
NCES district ID
2733840
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,316
Composite
23.51/100
National rank
#7868
State rank
#270 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. Paul

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Paul, MN
County
Ramsey County · 542,837 people
City population
280,599
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
28,617
Household income
$107,248
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
909.0

Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
603,431 people
By 2030
636,459 · +5.5%
By 2040
700,596 · +16.1%
By 2050
765,819 · +26.9%
By 2075
929,297 · +54.0%
By 2100
1,053,924 · +74.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 4% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 11% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey

2024 margin
Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -562.23%
Current HPI
223.6008
Rent YoY
▲ 3.15%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+75.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $70,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 1997-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $49,215 Public Records
  • 1997-01-24 Sold (MLS) $37,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-01-08 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-09-05 Listed $39,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-06-30 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1995-12-02 Listed $39,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $948 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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