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4236 W Aldine Ave Duplex
B Composite 70.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$100,000

4236 W Aldine Ave · St. Louis, MO 63113
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,924 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1926 3,685 sqft lot $52/sqft · 76% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Welcome to 4236 W Aldine Ave! Great opportunity in the heart of the city! This duplex feature two spacious units, each offering a comfortable living room, kitchen, full bathroom, and 2 bedrooms. Perfect for an owner-occupant looking to live in one unit while generating rental income from the other, or for an investor seeking to add a solid income-producing property to their portfolio. Conveniently located near public transportation, major highways, shopping, and everyday amenities, making it attractive for both homeowners and tenants alike. A smart investment with excellent potential!

Key facts

  • 3,685 sq ft lot
  • Built 1926
  • Listed 40 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential income; Property subtype: 2–4 units; Unit mix: two 2-bedroom units (total unit count: 1 unit type listed with 2 units)

Exterior

  • Parking: No driveway; No garage; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Residential income property (2–4 units); Above-grade finished area reported as 3,683 (public records); Living area reported as 1,924 (public records)
  • Construction: Brick veneer exterior
  • Exterior features: Brick veneer construction; Frontage approximately 128 x 29; Lot about 0.0846 acre; Private ownership

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (unit count: 2)
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Ceiling fan(s); Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Basement present (other type)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $826/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.1% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Nahed Chapman New American Aca (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 335 students, 99% FRL); Gateway Middle (math 0% / reading 8%, grade F, #389 of 391 statewide, top 100%, 506 students, 99% FRL); Sumner High (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #520 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 264 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $100k implies a 456% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $97,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.96%
Cap rate
26.11%
Cash-on-cash
70.77%
DSCR
4.15
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$56,944
List price
$100,000
Delta
75.61%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
71.1%
Equity multiple
4.31×
Total profit
$92,634
Equity at exit
$18,765
10-year hold
IRR
74.4%
Equity multiple
8.84×
Total profit
$219,477
Equity at exit
$15,414

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63113

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,965 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$623
Net cashflow
$1,651

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,720 -5% $1,686 +0% $1,651 +5% $1,617 +10% $1,582
Rent -10% $1,417 -5% $1,534 +0% $1,651 +5% $1,768 +10% $1,886
Rate -1.0pp $1,702 -0.5pp $1,677 base $1,651 +0.5pp $1,625 +1.0pp $1,599

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,965

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4247 Maffitt Ave St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1700 $1,000 $0.59 6d 1 0.46mi
4400 Delmar Blvd St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,600 $1.10 45d 1 0.73mi
404 N Sarah St Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.5 1772 $2,600 $1.47 45d 1 1.01mi
4390 McPherson Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,800 $1.20 0d 1 1.01mi
4256 Maryland Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 12d 1 1.10mi
4256 Maryland Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,900 $1.36 45d 1 1.10mi
3906 Lindell Blvd St. Louis, MO 2.0–3.0 1.0 1072 $1,650 $1.54 0d 15 1.19mi
3906 Lindell Blvd St. Louis, MO 2.0–3.0 1.0 1072 $1,725 $1.61 45d 10 1.19mi
3717-3721 Westminster Pl St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–3.0 1343 $2,735 $2.04 17d 4 1.19mi
401 N Euclid Ave St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,875 $1.83 0d 4 1.20mi
4065 W Pine Blvd Saint Louis, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1075 $2,550 $2.37 45d 8 1.21mi
3701 Lindell Blvd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–3.0 1073 $2,500 $2.33 17d 81 1.24mi
3701 Lindell Blvd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–3.0 1073 $2,500 $2.33 0d 128 1.24mi
4400 Lindell Blvd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–3.0 1100 $2,879 $2.62 0d 16 1.25mi
3681 Lindell Blvd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–2.5 1292 $3,579 $2.77 0d 60 1.26mi
5096 Minerva Ave Unit C St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1800 $1,395 $0.78 45d 1 1.39mi
4567 W Pine Blvd Saint Louis, MO 2.0–3.0 2.0 1326 $4,350 $3.28 0d 6 1.45mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $100,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    listed $100,000 Active 592-char remark
  16. 2026-05-12
    historical $100,000 592-char remark
  17. 2008-09-29
    soldstatus $18,000
  18. 1995-04-19
    soldstatus
  19. 1995-03-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,580
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,846
− Management
−$2,846
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$19,377
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,650
After-tax cash flow
$15,165/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
City population
283,259
Population (ZIP)
11,610

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% White 6% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.14%
Current HPI
107.1335
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+455.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Coming Soon $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
  • 1995-04-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-03-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-2.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $147 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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