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3991 Tahachapi Ave
B- Composite 68.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

3991 Tahachapi Ave · Pahrump, NV 89048
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,742 sqft · Manufactured public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1998 1.20 ac lot ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CORNER 1.2 ACRE LOT. THIS HOME IS BRIGHT AND SPACIOUS, WITH ARCHED PASS-THRUS AND DOORWAYS. SEPARATE LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, AND FAMILY ROOM WITH ENTERTAINMENT CENTER. ALL APPLIANCES STAY. ALL SOLAR-SCREENED. NOTE THE FOUNDATION AND TILE-LIKE ROOF - GREAT QUALITY EXTRAS. CLOSE VEGAS ACCESS.

Key facts

  • Rv parking
  • Private well
  • Spacious lot

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTPRIVATE WELLSEPTIC ALREADY IN PLACERV PARKINGMOUNTAIN VIEWSEASY ACCESS TO HIGHWAY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking; RV potential with RV access/parking
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Photovoltaics none; Private well water; Septic system (septic tank) - septic installed
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces south; Resale property; Single family zoning
  • Construction: Tile roof; Mobile home dimensions approximately 67' x 26'
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Breakfast bar/counter; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 3 possible bedrooms; Two bedrooms listed without closets; One bedroom noted as having no closet (other rooms may also lack closets)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom located downstairs; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $689 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 3.4% in Pahrump — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#30 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Nye County School District (rural): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #16 of 17 in NV (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 1116 active listings in the ZIP.
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nye County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $54k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.05%
Cap rate
17.31%
Cash-on-cash
39.36%
DSCR
2.75
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$379,756
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3860 Sagebrush Ave 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,908 (+10%) 5mo $275,000 $144 73
3721 S Sagebrush Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-13%) 14mo $330,000 $218 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.3%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$31,332
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
42.0%
Equity multiple
4.91×
Total profit
$82,189
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
71 Landlord-Friendly
State Nevada
71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; Clark County (Vegas) had pandemic backlogs; generally landlord-friendly but courts slow.

ZIP-level market 89048

Home prices YoY
-7.2%
Rents YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
1116
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,535 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,192/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$689

Break-even live

Break-even rent $663
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $75,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-27
    listed $75,000 Active
  17. 2010-03-22
    soldstatus $54,500 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    CORNER 1.2 ACRE LOT. THIS HOME IS BRIGHT AND SPACIOUS, WITH ARCHED PASS-THRUS AND DOORWAYS. SEPARATE LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, AND FAMILY ROOM WITH ENTERTAINMENT CENTER. ALL APPLIANCES STAY. ALL SOLAR-SCREENED. NOTE THE FOUNDATION AND TILE-LIKE ROOF - GREAT QUALITY EXTRAS. CLOSE VEGAS ACCESS.

  18. 2010-03-22
    historical 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    CORNER 1.2 ACRE LOT. THIS HOME IS BRIGHT AND SPACIOUS, WITH ARCHED PASS-THRUS AND DOORWAYS. SEPARATE LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, AND FAMILY ROOM WITH ENTERTAINMENT CENTER. ALL APPLIANCES STAY. ALL SOLAR-SCREENED. NOTE THE FOUNDATION AND TILE-LIKE ROOF - GREAT QUALITY EXTRAS. CLOSE VEGAS ACCESS.

  19. 2010-03-22
    soldstatus $54,500
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    CORNER 1.2 ACRE LOT. THIS HOME IS BRIGHT AND SPACIOUS, WITH ARCHED PASS-THRUS AND DOORWAYS. SEPARATE LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, AND FAMILY ROOM WITH ENTERTAINMENT CENTER. ALL APPLIANCES STAY. ALL SOLAR-SCREENED. NOTE THE FOUNDATION AND TILE-LIKE ROOF - GREAT QUALITY EXTRAS. CLOSE VEGAS ACCESS.

  20. 2007-09-22
    listed $80,000 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    CORNER 1.2 ACRE LOT. THIS HOME IS BRIGHT AND SPACIOUS, WITH ARCHED PASS-THRUS AND DOORWAYS. SEPARATE LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, AND FAMILY ROOM WITH ENTERTAINMENT CENTER. ALL APPLIANCES STAY. ALL SOLAR-SCREENED. NOTE THE FOUNDATION AND TILE-LIKE ROOF - GREAT QUALITY EXTRAS. CLOSE VEGAS ACCESS.

  21. 2004-05-17
    soldstatus $105,000
  22. 2001-05-21
    soldstatus $78,280

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,192 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,192 · $99/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 17% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,422
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,192
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,474
− Management
−$1,474
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$7,524
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,806
After-tax cash flow
$6,461/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nye County School District
NCES district ID
3200360
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,447
Composite
22.43/100
National rank
#8110
State rank
#16 of 17 in NV

Livability — Pahrump

Score
68/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#9226

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pahrump, NV
County
Nye County · 47,491 people
City population
47,491
Metro
Pahrump, NV
Population (ZIP)
26,486
Household income
$61,367
Rent vs Own
24.7% rent · 75.3% own
Severe rent burden
939.0

Population outlook (Nye County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,727 people
By 2030
38,812 · -4.7%
By 2040
33,952 · -16.6%
By 2050
29,393 · -27.8%
By 2075
21,122 · -48.1%
By 2100
14,400 · -64.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 3% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nye

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.0% · R 70.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.4pp · 2024: -42.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -21.52%
Current HPI
277.4486
Rent YoY
▲ 2.73%
Metro
Pahrump, NV
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.08%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $75,000 GLVAR
  • 2010-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
  • 2010-03-22 Listing Removed GLVAR
  • 2010-03-22 Sold (MLS) $54,500 GLVAR
  • 2007-09-22 Listed $80,000 GLVAR
  • 2004-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2001-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $78,280 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,192 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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