13687 N Castleton St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.3/15.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NICE 2 BEDROOM BUNGALOW WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A 3RD BEDROOM IN LARGE UNFINISHED ATTIC.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1941
- Listed 225 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.81%
- DSCR
- 2.77
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $53,668
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- 11.61%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13731 Wadsworth St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,345 (+7%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $33 | 74 |
| 12096 Meyers Rd | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-1%) | 0mo | $30,000 | $24 | 64 |
| 12667 Sorrento St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,309 (+4%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $50 | 64 |
| 10039 Mark Twain St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,334 (+6%) | 7mo | $73,000 | $55 | 56 |
| 11431 Marlowe St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,172 (-7%) | 6mo | $48,000 | $41 | 54 |
| 11366 Terry St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,209 (-4%) | 7mo | $89,000 | $74 | 52 |
| 12027 Manor St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,340 (+6%) | 3mo | $86,750 | $65 | 52 |
| 9982 Littlefield St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-9%) | 8mo | $47,000 | $41 | 50 |
| 9576 Hubbell St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,270 (+1%) | 6mo | $134,900 | $106 | 50 |
| 12026 Manor Arc | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-5%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $54 | 49 |
| 12697 Robson St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+3%) | 8mo | $58,000 | $45 | 49 |
| 12667 Lauder St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-5%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $54 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $29,138
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 46.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.11×
- Total profit
- $85,725
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48227
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 385
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,260 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $556
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12039 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 11431 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 16d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 12014 Terry St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1361 | $1,200 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 12778 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1597 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 5d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 12775 Plymouth Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $825 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 12754 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 16d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 11634 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,326 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 9590 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,430 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 10015 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 10002 Manor Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 13331 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 16d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 9340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,364 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 16d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 9355 Ward St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,327 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 14740 W Chicago Unit B Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $845 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 9501 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 11393 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 16d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 13279 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,373 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12650 Griggs St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,375 | $0.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 2d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 12144 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 10359 Violetlawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $985 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 963 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 10303 Morley St #1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $950 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 14284 Cruse St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1327 | $1,350 | $1.02 | 5d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 9209 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1589 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 13965 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,294 | $1.06 | 17d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 11641 Mansfield St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1449 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 14264 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 14375 Terry St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,425 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,195 | $1.00 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 13620 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 5d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $59,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 113-char remark
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $59,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $63,900 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
NICE 2 BEDROOM BUNGALOW WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A 3RD BEDROOM IN LARGE UNFINISHED ATTIC.
-
2026-04-14price $63,900 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
NICE 2 BEDROOM BUNGALOW WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A 3RD BEDROOM IN LARGE UNFINISHED ATTIC.
-
2025-11-05$79,900 Active 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
NICE 2 BEDROOM BUNGALOW WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A 3RD BEDROOM IN LARGE UNFINISHED ATTIC.
-
2025-11-05$79,900 Active 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
NICE 2 BEDROOM BUNGALOW WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A 3RD BEDROOM IN LARGE UNFINISHED ATTIC.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,198 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,198 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,120
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,210
- − Management
- −$1,210
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $6,105
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,465
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,212/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,302
- Household income
- $36,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2371.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.00%
- Current HPI
- 186.4158
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-20.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $63,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $63,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-05 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-05 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,198 · -53.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…