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212 Capri Pl #212 🌊 Lakefront
D Composite 41.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.4/30.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$235,000

212 Capri Pl #212 · Ocean Springs, MS 39564
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,182 sqft · Townhouse · 16 Days on market
Built 2007 Good condition 1.61 ac lot $108/sqft · 13% below area Est $270k · 13% under $205/mo HOA · 11% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity is knocking at Lakeview Townhomes on Capri Place in Ocean Springs! Units 212, 312, and 314 are available for purchase individually, in any combination of two, or as a complete three-unit package, offering exceptional flexibility for investors or owner-occupants. All three units are currently leased, providing immediate income potential, and each features a newly installed roof for added value and peace of mind. Ideally located just minutes from I-10, shopping, restaurants, Ocean Springs Hospital, and the growing medical corridor along Highway 57, these approximately 2,182-square-foot lakefront townhomes offer an outstanding combination of convenience, quality, and affordability. Each unit features a spacious floor plan with a dramatic great room boasting 18-foot ceilings and beautiful lake views, a well-appointed kitchen with abundant cabinetry, Baltic Brown granite countertops, and custom finishes, plus a first-floor primary suite with a walk-in closet, private porch access, jetted tub, double vanity, and separate water closet. Upstairs are two oversized bedrooms, including one with a versatile bonus space ideal for an office, hobby room, or media area, along with an open loft overlooking the great room below. Additional features include brick and stucco construction, attached garages with high ceilings, covered front and rear porches, crown molding, custom lighting and fans, separate laundry rooms, walk-in closets, off-street parking, excellent drainage, and a desirable no-flood-zone location. These well-maintained lakefront properties offer a rare opportunity to purchase one, two, or all three units in one of Ocean Springs' most convenient and sought-after locations.

Key facts

  • $205 HOA
  • Garage
  • Built 2007

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $235k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-304 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (18.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (17.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $191k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#2 in MS, #420 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Ocean Springs School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #1 of 130 in MS (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 718 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($231k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $191,013 (18.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
4.74%
Cash-on-cash
-5.54%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$269,560
List price
$235,000
Delta
155.97%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
214 Capri Pl 0.01mi 3/2.5 2,150 (-2%) 2mo $235,000 $109 95
313 Capri Pl 0.03mi 3/2.5 2,150 (-2%) 23mo $225,000 $105 77

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.9%
Equity multiple
0.08×
Total profit
$-60,514
Equity at exit
$35,039
10-year hold
IRR
-35.3%
Equity multiple
-0.36×
Total profit
$-89,800
Equity at exit
$20,319

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39564

Home prices YoY
-26.8%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
718
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,930 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax est. 1.5%
$294 /mo · $3,525/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$205
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$405
Net cashflow
$-304

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,315
Max offer price $191,013
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-142 -5% $-223 +0% $-304 +5% $-385 +10% $-466
Rent -10% $-456 -5% $-380 +0% $-304 +5% $-228 +10% $-151
Rate -1.0pp $-186 -0.5pp $-244 base $-304 +0.5pp $-365 +1.0pp $-427

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,750
Closing costs
$7,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
132 Gettysburg Cir Ocean Springs, MS 4.0 3.0 1689 $2,195 $1.30 22d 1 1.08mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$205 · $2,460/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $235,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $235,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $235,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $235,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $235,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $235,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $235,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $235,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $235,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $235,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on marketlisting id $235,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $690,000 Active 96 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $690,000 Active 95 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $690,000 Active 94 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $690,000 Active 93 DOM
  16. 2026-02-26
    listed $690,000 Active 2756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1711 chars)

    Opportunity is knocking at Lakeview Townhomes on Capri Place in Ocean Springs! Units 212, 312, and 314 are available for purchase individually, in any combination of two, or as a complete three-unit package, offering exceptional flexibility for investors or owner-occupants. All three units are currently leased, providing immediate income potential, and each features a newly installed roof for added value and peace of mind. Ideally located just minutes from I-10, shopping, restaurants, Ocean Springs Hospital, and the growing medical corridor along Highway 57, these approximately 2,182-square-foot lakefront townhomes offer an outstanding combination of convenience, quality, and affordability. Each unit features a spacious floor plan with a dramatic great room boasting 18-foot ceilings and beautiful lake views, a well-appointed kitchen with abundant cabinetry, Baltic Brown granite countertops, and custom finishes, plus a first-floor primary suite with a walk-in closet, private porch access, jetted tub, double vanity, and separate water closet. Upstairs are two oversized bedrooms, including one with a versatile bonus space ideal for an office, hobby room, or media area, along with an open loft overlooking the great room below. Additional features include brick and stucco construction, attached garages with high ceilings, covered front and rear porches, crown molding, custom lighting and fans, separate laundry rooms, walk-in closets, off-street parking, excellent drainage, and a desirable no-flood-zone location. These well-maintained lakefront properties offer a rare opportunity to purchase one, two, or all three units in one of Ocean Springs' most convenient and sought-after locations.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,165
− Mortgage interest
−$13,164
− Property taxes
−$3,525
− Insurance
−$1,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,853
− Management
−$1,853
− HOA
−$2,460
− Depreciation
−$6,836
Taxable loss
−$7,701
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,848
After-tax cash flow
$-1,800/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained townhome is in good condition with no major repairs needed. It offers a good balance of interior and exterior features, making it a solid investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Rental Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase the home's rental value by making it more appealing to tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Rental Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase the home's rental value by making it more appealing to tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ocean Springs School District
NCES district ID
2803360
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$60,485
Composite
53.35/100
National rank
#1477
State rank
#1 of 130 in MS

Livability — Ocean Springs

Score
86/100
State rank
#2
US rank
#420

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocean Springs, MS
County
Jackson County · 82,196 people
City population
43,240
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
43,240
Household income
$78,596
Rent vs Own
27.8% rent · 72.2% own
Severe rent burden
734.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
146,926 people
By 2030
148,442 · +1.0%
By 2040
149,631 · +1.8%
By 2050
148,723 · +1.2%
By 2075
147,845 · +0.6%
By 2100
144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.77%
Current HPI
204.2244
Rent YoY
▲ 1.31%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-65.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $235,000 MLSU
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $690,000 MLSU

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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