502b N Short St · Florence, AL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful remodeled townhouse , 2 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 luxury modern bathrooms . (No carpet!!!!) Beautiful new floors throughout . .Stainless steel new appliances , NEW ROOF , Privacy fence , etc . Lots of detail has been added to this home, its definitely a must see. . And in this price range it won't last long!!
Key facts
- 0.95 acre lot
- Built 1977
- Listed 74 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-235/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (2.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (8.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.6% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#4 in AL, #1,140 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Florence City (urban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #44 of 129 in AL (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Forest Hills School (math 39% / reading 65%, grade C-, #102 of 627 statewide, top 17%, 831 students, 45% FRL); Florence Middle School (math 22% / reading 44%, grade F, #101 of 257 statewide, top 40%, 689 students, 51% FRL); Florence High School (math 28% / reading 34%, grade F, #66 of 305 statewide, top 21%, 1,034 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 164 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $86k; list at $135k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.49%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $142,219
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -5.08%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 Normandy Dr | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,125 (-4%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $120 | 78 |
| 221 N Fulton St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,144 (-3%) | 4mo | $149,900 | $131 | 68 |
| 415 N Eclipse St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,124 (-5%) | 7mo | $90,000 | $80 | 64 |
| 205 N Orleans St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,044 (-11%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $129 | 58 |
| 33 S Crown St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-7%) | 0mo | $215,000 | $195 | 58 |
| 231 N Main St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,168 (-1%) | 2mo | $169,000 | $145 | 57 |
| 216 N Eclipse St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 1,013 (-14%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $123 | 55 |
| 32 S Fulton St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-7%) | 4mo | $219,900 | $200 | 54 |
| 29 S Crown St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+7%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $190 | 51 |
| 214 S Kirkman St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-5%) | 1mo | $124,900 | $112 | 50 |
| 422 N Fulton St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,312 (+11%) | 5mo | $238,000 | $181 | 44 |
| 4110 Eastwood Dr | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,056 (-10%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $109 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-18,972
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $50
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35630
- Home prices YoY
- -33.7%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,240 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $-20
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $74 | -5% $27 | +0% $-20 | +5% $-66 | +10% $-113 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-118 | -5% $-69 | +0% $-20 | +5% $29 | +10% $78 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $48 | -0.5pp $15 | base $-20 | +0.5pp $-55 | +1.0pp $-90 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 N Broadway St Florence, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,450 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 200 Foxfield Pl Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,120 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 211 N Patton St Unit 1510 Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $825 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3504 Cole Ave Unit B Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1846 Darby Dr Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,125 | $0.94 | 45d | 5 | 0.84mi |
| 1825 Darby Dr Apt G6 Florence, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $675 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1975 Darby Dr Florence, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 997 | $815 | $0.82 | 45d | 2 | 1.04mi |
| 2021 Cloyd Blvd Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $895 | $0.81 | 45d | 4 | 1.22mi |
| 1610 Mockingbird Ct Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $895 | $0.81 | 45d | 6 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $135,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $135,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $135,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $144,000 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Beautiful remodeled townhouse , 2 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 luxury modern bathrooms . (No carpet!!!!) Beautiful new floors throughout . .Stainless steel new appliances , NEW ROOF , Privacy fence , etc . Lots of detail has been added to this home, its definitely a must see. . And in this price range it won't last long!!
-
2026-04-08$149,900 Active 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Beautiful remodeled townhouse , 2 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 luxury modern bathrooms . (No carpet!!!!) Beautiful new floors throughout . .Stainless steel new appliances , NEW ROOF , Privacy fence , etc . Lots of detail has been added to this home, its definitely a must see. . And in this price range it won't last long!!
-
2025-12-04soldstatus $86,500 Sold 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Don't miss this townhome- Two bedroom and 1.5 bath is waiting for you. Conveniently located to shopping and dining and only four miles from UNA! Property is being sold AS IS.
-
2025-10-17status Pending 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Don't miss this townhome- Two bedroom and 1.5 bath is waiting for you. Conveniently located to shopping and dining and only four miles from UNA! Property is being sold AS IS.
-
2025-10-13price $99,500 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Don't miss this townhome- Two bedroom and 1.5 bath is waiting for you. Conveniently located to shopping and dining and only four miles from UNA! Property is being sold AS IS.
-
2025-09-19price $99,900 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Don't miss this townhome- Two bedroom and 1.5 bath is waiting for you. Conveniently located to shopping and dining and only four miles from UNA! Property is being sold AS IS.
-
2025-09-07price $102,500 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Don't miss this townhome- Two bedroom and 1.5 bath is waiting for you. Conveniently located to shopping and dining and only four miles from UNA! Property is being sold AS IS.
-
2025-08-10$105,000 Active 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Don't miss this townhome- Two bedroom and 1.5 bath is waiting for you. Conveniently located to shopping and dining and only four miles from UNA! Property is being sold AS IS.
-
2016-11-04soldstatus $63,000
-
2016-07-22$69,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,883
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$1,472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,191
- − Management
- −$1,191
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$2,485
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$596
- After-tax cash flow
- $361/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This remodeled townhouse is in excellent condition with new finishes throughout, making it move-in ready and ideal for both buyers and renters.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Reorganizing and decluttering interior spaces — Improves flow and makes the home more inviting for potential buyers/tenants.
- Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and adds value for both buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Reorganizing and decluttering interior spaces — Improves flow and makes the home more inviting for potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and adds value for both buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Florence City
- NCES district ID
- 0101530
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,997
- Composite
- 29.69/100
- National rank
- #6456
- State rank
- #44 of 129 in AL
Livability — Florence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1140
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florence, AL
- County
- Lauderdale County · 47,988 people
- City population
- 34,028
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,028
- Household income
- $46,304
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1516.0
Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,386 people
- By 2030
- 93,634 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 93,114 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 91,586 · -1.9%
- By 2075
- 88,667 · -5.1%
- By 2100
- 81,098 · -13.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.8% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -51.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.7 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+30.9 2008: R+28.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.78%
- Current HPI
- 206.1364
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.18%
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+106.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $144,000 SAARMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $149,900 SAARMLS
- 2025-12-04 Sold (MLS) $86,500 VMLS
- 2025-10-17 Pending — VMLS
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $99,500 VMLS
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $99,900 VMLS
- 2025-09-07 Price Changed $102,500 VMLS
- 2025-08-10 Listed $105,000 VMLS
- 2016-11-04 Sold (MLS) $63,000 SAARMLS
- 2016-07-22 Listed $69,900 SAARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…