16 Larboard Ln #6 · Kennebunk, ME 04043

$775,000

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,872 sqft · Condo · 135 Days on market

Built 1987 Fair condition $414/sqft · 8% below area Est $839k · 8% under $520/mo HOA · 4% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +10.9/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +8.0/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

A rare opportunity in a truly special setting. Tucked away in a prime, private location yet just minutes from Kennebunkport Village and Kennebunk Beach, this end-unit condominium overlooks Upper Gooch's Creek and its picturesque estuary. Units in this small, peaceful community seldom come to market. While the home is ready for complete updating, the setting, views, privacy, and highly sought-after location make it an exceptional chance to create something truly special.

Key facts

• Peaceful location
• $520 HOA
• 2 garage spots

Tags

• PEACEFUL LOCATION

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $775k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($40k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $775k).
• Recommended offer: $682k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.2% in Kennebunk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#20 in ME, #2,049 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
• RSU 21 (rural): math 91% / reading 94% proficiency, ranked #13 of 112 in ME (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $217k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($682k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $682,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.50% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.42%
• Cash-on-cash: 18.31%
• DSCR: 1.81
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $839,005
• List price: $775,000
• Delta: -7.63%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 10.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.40×
• Total profit: $85,745
• Equity at exit: $115,555

10-year hold

• IRR: 19.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.60×
• Total profit: $348,157
• Equity at exit: $67,008

Cash invested: $217,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Maine: 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 04043

• Home prices YoY: -21.4%
• Active inventory: 132
• Price-to-rent: 5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $11,628 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$4,064
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$969 /mo · $11,625/yr
• Insurance: −$323
• HOA: −$520
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$2,442
• Net cashflow: $3,310

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,438

Max offer price $775,000

Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $3,846	-5% $3,578	+0% $3,310	+5% $3,042	+10% $2,775
Rent	-10% $2,392	-5% $2,851	+0% $3,310	+5% $3,770	+10% $4,229
Rate	-1.0pp $3,701	-0.5pp $3,507	base $3,310	+0.5pp $3,109	+1.0pp $2,905

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $193,750
• Closing costs: $23,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
18 Seagrass Ln Unit 1532196P Kennebunk, ME	4.0	3.5	2174	$11,628	$5.35	22d	1	0.80mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $520 · $6,240/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $775,000 Active 135 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $775,000 Active 134 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $775,000 Active 133 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $775,000 Active 132 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $775,000 Active 130 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $775,000 Active 127 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $775,000 Active 126 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $775,000 Active 125 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $775,000 Active 124 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $775,000 Active 121 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $775,000 Active 120 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $775,000 Active 119 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $775,000 Active 118 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $775,000 Active 117 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $775,000 Active 116 DOM
16. 2026-02-03
    listed $775,000 Active 474-char remark

    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    A rare opportunity in a truly special setting. Tucked away in a prime, private location yet just minutes from Kennebunkport Village and Kennebunk Beach, this end-unit condominium overlooks Upper Gooch's Creek and its picturesque estuary. Units in this small, peaceful community seldom come to market. While the home is ready for complete updating, the setting, views, privacy, and highly sought-after location make it an exceptional chance to create something truly special.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 12% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $139,536
• − Mortgage interest: −$43,412
• − Property taxes: −$11,625
• − Insurance: −$3,875
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$11,163
• − Management: −$11,163
• − HOA: −$6,240
• − Depreciation: −$22,545
• Taxable income: $29,513
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$7,083
• After-tax cash flow: $32,640/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This end-unit condominium requires significant exterior and roof repairs due to snow and potential ice dam. Immediate snow removal and roof inspection are critical. Updates to the interior, including painting and kitchen/bathroom renovations, would significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

• Major roof — Snow and potential ice dam
• Major exterior — Snow and potential ice dam

Value-add opportunities

• Both Snow removal and roof inspection — Improves safety and appearance
• Both Exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizes and increases value
• Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
roof · Snow and potential ice dam	Major	$15,000–50,000
exterior · Snow and potential ice dam	Major	$15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items		$30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Snow removal and roof inspection — Improves safety and appearance ↑
• Both Exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizes and increases value ↑
• Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: RSU 21
• NCES district ID: 2314773
• Math proficiency: 91% ▲ 34.00%
• Reading proficiency: 94% ▲ 20.00%
• Median HH income: $68,462
• Composite: 79.78/100
• National rank: #55
• State rank: #13 of 112 in ME

Livability — Kennebunk

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #20
• US rank: #2049

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 11,692

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 209,961 people
• By 2030: 212,816 · +1.4%
• By 2040: 214,360 · +2.1%
• By 2050: 210,350 · +0.2%
• By 2075: 201,686 · -3.9%
• By 2100: 183,392 · -12.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (94%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 8% Slovak 5% Serbian 3%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

• 2024 margin: D (+10.5) · D 54.3% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.1pp toward R · 2008: 20.5pp · 2024: 10.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+10.5 2020: D+12.6 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+20.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -108.54%
• Current HPI: 398.495
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-02-03 Listed $775,000 MREIS