6414 PARK Ave #14 · West New York, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Why rent when you can own? Welcome Home to this bright, move in ready 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, condo located in the desirable town of West New York. Bus to NYC a few steps from the building. This apartment offers a great layout featuring a welcoming foyer, spacious hallway, and two generously sized bedrooms filled with natural sun light. The living room provides a bright space to relax or entertain and the kitchen is complete with stainless steel appliances: gas stove, refrigerator, dishwasher, refrigerator, microwave plus granite counter tops & beautiful wooden cabinets. Laundry, security system and super on site. 4th floor walkup. Quiet corner unit. Street parking with township discount:
Key facts
- Security system
- Laundry on site
- Granite counter tops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $205k).
- Recommended offer: $199k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 1.5% in West New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#119 in NJ, #3,034 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, cost of living F.
- West New York Board Of Education (suburban): math 10% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #420 of 472 in NJ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,310 units permitted in Hudson County in 2024 (4,154 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,042/mo this rent would consume 83% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 5546% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hudson County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.71%
- DSCR
- 3.08
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $107,891
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- 49.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.74×
- Total profit
- $272,332
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 07093
- Home prices YoY
- -7.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 259
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,042 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,429/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$386
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,059
- Net cashflow
- $2,234
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Ave At Port Imperial West New York, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 794 | $7,500 | $9.45 | 7d | 4 | 0.39mi |
| 213 48th St Unit 4A Union City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 360 | $1,825 | $5.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 240 W 73rd St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 660 | $9,059 | $13.72 | 24d | 4 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- gassecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-04-18status Under Contract
-
2026-04-03status Active
-
2026-03-26status Under Contract
-
2026-02-18$205,000 Active
-
2026-02-18historical
-
2025-12-08$215,000 Active
-
2025-09-03historical
-
2025-06-03$219,000 Active
-
2019-04-22soldstatus $190,000
-
2019-03-08price $198,000
-
2019-03-08price $190,000
-
2019-03-08soldstatus $190,000 Sold
-
2019-03-08soldstatus $190,000 Sold
-
2019-02-05historical Under Contract
-
2019-02-05historical
-
2019-01-05$198,000 Active
-
2019-01-05$198,000 Active
-
2015-08-27price $162,000
-
2008-10-16soldstatus $165,000
-
2008-08-27soldstatus $165,000
-
2008-07-25historical
-
2008-07-01$165,000
-
2005-10-01soldstatus $145,000
-
2005-06-14soldstatus $145,000
-
2005-02-10$154,000
-
2003-05-12soldstatus $58,000
-
1988-09-16soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,429 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,767 · $314/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,338/yr (+$111/mo · 55.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $60,502
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$2,429
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,840
- − Management
- −$4,840
- − HOA
- −$4,632
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable income
- $25,289
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,069
- After-tax cash flow
- $20,741/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West New York Board Of Education
- NCES district ID
- 3417580
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,745
- Composite
- 19.16/100
- National rank
- #8824
- State rank
- #420 of 472 in NJ
Livability — West New York
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #119
- US rank
- #3034
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West New York, NJ
- County
- Hudson County · 718,323 people
- City population
- 63,758
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,758
- Household income
- $73,174
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5546.0
Population outlook (Hudson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 771,834 people
- By 2030
- 818,028 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 907,866 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 994,480 · +28.8%
- By 2075
- 1,163,301 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,254,703 · +62.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 75% Two or more races 27% White 15% Asian 7% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 12% Dominican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 58% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 22% English-only · Spanish 67% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hudson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.1) · D 62.6% · R 34.6% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: 46.7pp · 2024: 28.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.1 2020: D+46.2 2016: D+51.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+46.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.80%
- Current HPI
- 364.4128
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.71%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
||
Price history
+310.0% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Pending — HCMLS
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — HCMLS
- 2026-03-26 Pending — HCMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $205,000 HCMLS
- 2025-12-08 Listed $215,000 HCMLS
- 2025-09-03 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2025-06-03 Listed $219,000 HCMLS
- 2019-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2019-03-08 Price Changed $198,000 NJMLS
- 2019-03-08 Price Changed $190,000 NJMLS
- 2019-03-08 Sold (MLS) $190,000 HCMLS
- 2019-03-08 Sold (MLS) $190,000 NJMLS
- 2019-02-05 Contingent — NJMLS
- 2019-02-05 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2019-01-05 Listed $198,000 NJMLS
- 2019-01-05 Listed $198,000 HCMLS
- 2015-08-27 Price Changed $162,000 HCMLS
- 2008-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2008-08-27 Sold (MLS) $165,000 HCMLS
- 2008-07-25 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2008-07-01 Listed $165,000 HCMLS
- 2005-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2005-06-14 Sold (MLS) $145,000 HCMLS
- 2005-02-10 Listed $154,000 HCMLS
- 2003-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 1988-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,429 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…