5205 Horton Rd · Plant City, FL 33567

$299,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,336 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market

Built 1995 1.28 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +13.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.2/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• 1% rule +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. No HOA, NO CDD, NO NOISE! Come see this Plant City gem with plenty of room and opportunity to Settle down! You will love the tranquil mornings on your more than 1 acre plot with a classic country view as far as the eye can see! This 3-bedroom 2-bathroom block home needs your touches and updates! Then it's ready for you, the family and your guests! Schedule your time to stop by TODAY! * * * All sizes are Approximate. .. Buyer/Buyer's Agent to verify All. .. * * *

Key facts

• Classic country view
• 1.28 acre lot
• 2 garage spots

Tags

• MORE THAN 1 ACRE PLOT
• CLASSIC COUNTRY VIEW

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Homestead exempt; No lease restrictions; Furnished status negotiable
• HOA & community: No association

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage
• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer; Public utilities available
• Home design: Single family residence; One story
• Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation
• Exterior features: South-facing; Asphalt and dirt driveway/road access; 1.28-acre lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Range hood; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Ceramic tile; Block foundation
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Living room / dining room combo; Thermostat
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry area in garage

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($355/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (20.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $237k (20.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in FL, #3,587 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
• Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Pinecrest Elementary School (math 38% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,575 of 2,144 statewide, top 74%, 548 students, 63% FRL); Turkey Creek Middle School (math 33% / reading 30%, grade F, #453 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 978 students, 74% FRL); Durant High School (math 43% / reading 44%, grade F, #248 of 667 statewide, top 38%, 2,589 students, 42% FRL).
• Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $237,383 (20.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.79% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.41%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.42%
• DSCR: 1.02
• GRM: 10.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.44×
• Total profit: $-46,814
• Equity at exit: $44,716

10-year hold

• IRR: -7.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.54×
• Total profit: $-38,757
• Equity at exit: $25,930

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33567

• Home prices YoY: -13.4%
• Active inventory: 69
• Price-to-rent: 10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,374 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,573
• Tax from tax record: −$148 /mo · $1,776/yr
• Insurance: −$125
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$499
• Net cashflow: $30

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,336

Max offer price $299,900

Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $199	-5% $115	+0% $30	+5% $-55	+10% $-140
Rent	-10% $-158	-5% $-64	+0% $30	+5% $123	+10% $217
Rate	-1.0pp $181	-0.5pp $106	base $30	+0.5pp $-48	+1.0pp $-127

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $74,975
• Closing costs: $8,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-06
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-24
   listed $299,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,776 · $148/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,489 · $207/mo
• Expected delta: +$713/yr (+$59/mo · 40.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,486
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,799
• − Property taxes: −$1,776
• − Insurance: −$1,500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,279
• − Management: −$2,279
• − Depreciation: −$8,724
• Taxable loss: −$4,871
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,169
• After-tax cash flow: $1,525/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hillsborough
• NCES district ID: 1200870
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $50,622
• Composite: 41.6/100
• National rank: #3435
• State rank: #41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Plant City

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #227
• US rank: #3587

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 68,525
• Population (ZIP): 12,292

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,022 people
• By 2030: 1,733,968 · +7.9%
• By 2040: 1,979,565 · +23.2%
• By 2050: 2,203,427 · +37.1%
• By 2075: 2,667,893 · +66.0%
• By 2100: 2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
• Race & ethnicity: White 52% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 75% English-only · Spanish 20%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -56.70%
• Current HPI: 365.0108
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-06 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-24 Listed $299,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,776 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.