512 West St · White Hall, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath property conveniently located near Taylor Elementary and White Hall Middle School. Perfect for first-time buyers or those looking for a comfortable starter home, this inviting residence offers a cozy atmosphere and a comfortable living room ideal for relaxing or entertaining. The home features a separate laundry room and a heated and cooled bonus space currently used for storage that could easily serve as a fourth bedroom, office, or hobby room if desired. With its warm feel and convenient location, this home is ready to welcome its next owners.
Key facts
- Convenient location
- 0.32 acre lot
- Built 1960
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $170 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (10.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.0% in White Hall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#20 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- White Hall School District (rural): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #86 of 238 in AR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $140k implies a 218% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.20%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,742
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -9.59%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 614 Winchester | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,498 (+0%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $80 | 75 |
| 806 Meredith St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,396 (-6%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $118 | 75 |
| 208 Turner Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+5%) | 2mo | $258,400 | $166 | 72 |
| 802 Meredith St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,628 (+9%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $107 | 70 |
| 516 White Hall | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,616 (+8%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $56 | 70 |
| 401 Cooper | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,386 (-7%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $123 | 67 |
| 22 Concord Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (+3%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $104 | 62 |
| 617 Winchester Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-10%) | 5mo | $40,000 | $30 | 59 |
| 13 Patrick Henry Pl | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,612 (+8%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $109 | 57 |
| 349 Regal Oaks Cir | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,671 (+12%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $123 | 55 |
| 613 Winchester Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,345 (-10%) | 10mo | $150,500 | $112 | 54 |
| 318 Regal Oaks | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,687 (+13%) | 6mo | $196,000 | $116 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-11,926
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $3,253
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71602
- Home prices YoY
- -7.8%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,254 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $350/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $170
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,900 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-14statusdays on market $139,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,900 Price Change 125 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Price Change 122 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Price Change 121 DOM
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2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $139,900 Price Change 120 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $147,500 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $147,500 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $147,500 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $147,500 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $147,500 Active 113 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $147,500 Active 112 DOM
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2026-04-30price $147,500 599-char remark
Show marketing remark (599 chars)
Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath property conveniently located near Taylor Elementary and White Hall Middle School. Perfect for first-time buyers or those looking for a comfortable starter home, this inviting residence offers a cozy atmosphere and a comfortable living room ideal for relaxing or entertaining. The home features a separate laundry room and a heated and cooled bonus space currently used for storage that could easily serve as a fourth bedroom, office, or hobby room if desired. With its warm feel and convenient location, this home is ready to welcome its next owners.
-
2026-02-07$150,500 New Listing 599-char remark
Show marketing remark (599 chars)
Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath property conveniently located near Taylor Elementary and White Hall Middle School. Perfect for first-time buyers or those looking for a comfortable starter home, this inviting residence offers a cozy atmosphere and a comfortable living room ideal for relaxing or entertaining. The home features a separate laundry room and a heated and cooled bonus space currently used for storage that could easily serve as a fourth bedroom, office, or hobby room if desired. With its warm feel and convenient location, this home is ready to welcome its next owners.
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2026-02-06historical
-
2025-12-12price $152,500
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2025-10-19$160,000 New Listing
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1986-09-23soldstatus $44,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $350 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $895 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$546/yr (+$45/mo · 155.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,051
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$350
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,204
- − Management
- −$1,204
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$312
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$75
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,113/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- White Hall School District
- NCES district ID
- 0514140
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,633
- Composite
- 32.16/100
- National rank
- #5788
- State rank
- #86 of 238 in AR
Livability — White Hall
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #5275
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- White Hall, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,922
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,110 people
- By 2030
- 58,519 · -7.3%
- By 2040
- 49,740 · -21.2%
- By 2050
- 42,331 · -32.9%
- By 2075
- 29,591 · -53.1%
- By 2100
- 21,047 · -66.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 32% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.2% · R 39.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: 20.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+25.3 2012: D+29.0 2008: D+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.84%
- Current HPI
- 223.9305
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+235.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $147,500 CARMLS
- 2026-02-07 Listed $150,500 CARMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2025-12-12 Price Changed $152,500 CARMLS
- 2025-10-19 Listed $160,000 CARMLS
- 1986-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $350 · -29.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…