1684 SE Green Acres Cir · Port St. Lucie, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
One story villa end unit in a four unit building
Key facts
- Four unit building
- One story villa
- End unit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 8-bed/8.0-bath other listed at $230k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $327 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $230k).
- Recommended offer: $223k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,426/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 1759% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.10%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-18,991
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- -0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-14
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34952
- Home prices YoY
- -29.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 639
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,426 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$288 /mo · $3,450/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$510
- Net cashflow
- $327
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $486 | -5% $407 | +0% $327 | +5% $248 | +10% $168 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $136 | -5% $232 | +0% $327 | +5% $423 | +10% $519 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $443 | -0.5pp $386 | base $327 | +0.5pp $268 | +1.0pp $207 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $230,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $230,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $230,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $230,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $230,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $230,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $230,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $230,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $230,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $230,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $230,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $230,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $230,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $230,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $230,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-19$230,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,117
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$3,450
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,329
- − Management
- −$2,329
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable income
- $284
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$68
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,860/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This property requires extensive renovations and repairs across all systems and areas, making it a significant investment opportunity for a thorough renovation.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen renovation — No photos, but given the poor condition, a full renovation is likely needed.
- Major Bathroom renovation — No photos, but given the poor condition, a full renovation is likely needed.
- Major Roof replacement — No photos, but given the poor condition, a full replacement is likely needed.
- Major Exterior siding repair — No photos, but given the poor condition, a full repair or replacement is likely needed.
- Major Flooring replacement — No photos, but given the poor condition, a full replacement is likely needed.
- Major Interior wall and paint repair — No photos, but given the poor condition, a full repair is likely needed.
- Major Window replacement — No photos, but given the poor condition, a full replacement is likely needed.
- Major HVAC/mechanical replacement — No photos, but given the poor condition, a full replacement is likely needed.
- Major Landscaping and curb appeal improvement — No photos, but given the poor condition, a full improvement is likely needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Kitchen renovation — A modern kitchen can significantly increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Bathroom renovation — Upgraded bathrooms are a major selling point for both buyers and renters.
- Both Roof replacement — A new roof is a critical safety and aesthetic improvement that boosts both resale and rental value.
- Both Exterior siding repair — Aesthetic improvements to the exterior can enhance curb appeal and property value.
- Both Flooring replacement — Fresh flooring can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value.
- Both Interior wall and paint repair — A fresh coat of paint and repairs can make the interior look new and increase value.
- Both Window replacement — New windows can improve energy efficiency and increase the home's curb appeal.
- Both HVAC/mechanical replacement — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, boosting both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvement — A well-maintained yard and landscaping can significantly enhance the home's curb appeal and value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen renovation · No photos, but given the poor condition, a full renovation is likely needed. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom renovation · No photos, but given the poor condition, a full renovation is likely needed. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Roof replacement · No photos, but given the poor condition, a full replacement is likely needed. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior siding repair · No photos, but given the poor condition, a full repair or replacement is likely needed. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring replacement · No photos, but given the poor condition, a full replacement is likely needed. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior wall and paint repair · No photos, but given the poor condition, a full repair is likely needed. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Window replacement · No photos, but given the poor condition, a full replacement is likely needed. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanical replacement · No photos, but given the poor condition, a full replacement is likely needed. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping and curb appeal improvement · No photos, but given the poor condition, a full improvement is likely needed. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 9 items | $135,000–450,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Kitchen renovation — A modern kitchen can significantly increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Bathroom renovation — Upgraded bathrooms are a major selling point for both buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Roof replacement — A new roof is a critical safety and aesthetic improvement that boosts both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Exterior siding repair — Aesthetic improvements to the exterior can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Flooring replacement — Fresh flooring can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both Interior wall and paint repair — A fresh coat of paint and repairs can make the interior look new and increase value. ↑
- Both Window replacement — New windows can improve energy efficiency and increase the home's curb appeal. ↑
- Both HVAC/mechanical replacement — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, boosting both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvement — A well-maintained yard and landscaping can significantly enhance the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port St. Lucie
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- City population
- 221,051
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,655
- Household income
- $61,628
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1759.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.80%
- Current HPI
- 371.0573
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.92%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $230,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…