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4209 Leland College Dr
C- Composite 51.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,000

4209 Leland College Dr · Dallas, TX 75241
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,108 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1966 7,667 sqft lot $176/sqft · 16% below area Est $232k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Motivated Seller. If you are looking for the perfect home, great curb appeal, and lots of parking. Stop looking because this is the home for you. Home offers 3 bedroom, one and a half bath. Laminate floors, fresh paint and good size rooms. Master has his and hers closets. Perfect home for entertaining, downsizing or the perfect stater and forever home. Large backyard perfect if you need additional parking, love to do projects, or perfect for family gatherings. Walking distance from the park. Easy access to shopping, freeways, schools, close to downtown. Come see it today.. Seller is offering 5k to the Buyers for upgrades or towards closing cost but will not do any repairs.

Key facts

  • Laminate floors
  • Fresh paint
  • Lots of parking

Tags

LOTS OF PARKINGLAMINATE FLOORSFRESH PAINTLARGE BACKYARDWALKING DISTANCE FROM THE PARKEASY ACCESS TO SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $78 ($940/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (0.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $193k (0.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.8%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $195k implies a 877% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $193,191 (0.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
6.78%
Cash-on-cash
1.72%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$232,026
List price
$195,000
Delta
-15.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4209 Leland College Dr 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,108 (0%) 1mo $195,000 $176 99
6347 Racer Summit Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,175 (+6%) 1mo $294,900 $251 80
6331 Crosswood Ln 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,175 (+6%) 1mo $295,900 $252 78
4270 Rust College Dr 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,048 (-5%) 6mo $199,000 $190 76
6334 Racer Summit Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,175 (+6%) 8mo $291,900 $248 73
4079 Lava Forest Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,175 (+6%) 5mo $291,900 $248 72
4139 Silverhill Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,175 (+6%) 4mo $288,900 $246 71
4215 Sweet Fennel Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,175 (+6%) 8mo $268,900 $229 68
4250 Mehalia Dr 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,044 (-6%) 7mo $185,000 $177 64
3707 Stateoak Dr 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,221 (+10%) 5mo $194,000 $159 46
3832 Stateoak Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,250 (+13%) 7mo $199,000 $159 43
5952 Golden Gate Dr 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,272 (+15%) 6mo $239,000 $188 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-32,178
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-43,104
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75241

Home prices YoY
-16.9%
Rents YoY
-2.8%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,932 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$344 /mo · $4,128/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$406
Net cashflow
$78

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,833
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4140 Wilshire Blvd Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,795 $1.60 17d 1 0.18mi
6347 Racer Summit Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1175 $1,965 $1.67 24d 1 0.21mi
6319 Crosswood Ln Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1316 $2,060 $1.57 20d 1 0.25mi
6445 Baraboo Dr Dallas, TX 4.0 1.5 1218 $1,650 $1.35 43d 1 0.32mi
4281 Lava Forest Dr Dallas, TX 3.0–5.0 2.0–2.5 1840 $2,050 $1.11 1d 1 0.35mi
3623 Softcloud Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1477 $1,910 $1.29 43d 1 0.81mi
3440 Simpson Stuart Rd Dallas, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 942 $2,103 $2.23 1d 9 0.93mi
3806 Castle Hills Dr Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1422 $1,900 $1.34 16d 1 1.00mi
3522 Tioga St Dallas, TX 4.0 3.0 1438 $2,095 $1.46 4d 1 1.02mi
3835 Basswood Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,625 $1.62 24d 1 1.04mi
6654 Cool Morn Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1446 $2,300 $1.59 43d 1 1.04mi
5850 Highland Hills Dr Dallas, TX 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 910 $1,083 $1.19 2d 9 1.12mi
5821 Bonnie View Rd Dallas, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 820 $1,101 $1.34 7d 7 1.13mi
6436 Moonhill Dr Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1200 $1,961 $1.63 2d 1 1.15mi
3528 Keyridge Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1362 $1,795 $1.32 20d 1 1.22mi
6327 Hidden Trail Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1187 $1,795 $1.51 43d 1 1.24mi
6520 Warm Moon Ln Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1237 $1,995 $1.61 4d 1 1.25mi
5761 Highland Hills Dr Dallas, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1040 $1,749 $1.68 3d 7 1.27mi
3131 Simpson Stuart Rd Dallas, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1024 $1,694 $1.65 3d 33 1.28mi
3210 Little River Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1202 $1,950 $1.62 4d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-03
    status Pending 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Motivated Seller. If you are looking for the perfect home, great curb appeal, and lots of parking. Stop looking because this is the home for you. Home offers 3 bedroom, one and a half bath. Laminate floors, fresh paint and good size rooms. Master has his and hers closets. Perfect home for entertaining, downsizing or the perfect stater and forever home. Large backyard perfect if you need additional parking, love to do projects, or perfect for family gatherings. Walking distance from the park. Easy access to shopping, freeways, schools, close to downtown. Come see it today.. Seller is offering 5k to the Buyers for upgrades or towards closing cost but will not do any repairs.

  2. 2026-05-02
    historical Active Option Contract 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Motivated Seller. If you are looking for the perfect home, great curb appeal, and lots of parking. Stop looking because this is the home for you. Home offers 3 bedroom, one and a half bath. Laminate floors, fresh paint and good size rooms. Master has his and hers closets. Perfect home for entertaining, downsizing or the perfect stater and forever home. Large backyard perfect if you need additional parking, love to do projects, or perfect for family gatherings. Walking distance from the park. Easy access to shopping, freeways, schools, close to downtown. Come see it today.. Seller is offering 5k to the Buyers for upgrades or towards closing cost but will not do any repairs.

  3. 2026-04-21
    listed $195,000 Active 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Motivated Seller. If you are looking for the perfect home, great curb appeal, and lots of parking. Stop looking because this is the home for you. Home offers 3 bedroom, one and a half bath. Laminate floors, fresh paint and good size rooms. Master has his and hers closets. Perfect home for entertaining, downsizing or the perfect stater and forever home. Large backyard perfect if you need additional parking, love to do projects, or perfect for family gatherings. Walking distance from the park. Easy access to shopping, freeways, schools, close to downtown. Come see it today.. Seller is offering 5k to the Buyers for upgrades or towards closing cost but will not do any repairs.

  4. 2026-04-15
    historical
  5. 2025-10-15
    listed $209,000 Active
  6. 1997-10-13
    soldstatus
  7. 1997-09-16
    soldstatus $19,950
  8. 1997-09-10
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,128 · $344/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,128 · $344/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,183
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$4,128
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,855
− Management
−$1,855
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$2,225
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$534
After-tax cash flow
$1,474/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas ISD
NCES district ID
4816230
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,881
Composite
28.41/100
National rank
#6763
State rank
#559 of 826 in TX

Livability — Dallas

Score
81/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#1380

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
1,168,437
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
33,840
Household income
$53,998
Rent vs Own
32.5% rent · 67.5% own
Severe rent burden
1076.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 8% White 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 25%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.36%
Current HPI
356.2348
Rent YoY
▼ -2.75%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+877.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-02 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $195,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-15 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $209,000 NTREIS
  • 1997-10-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $19,950 Public Records
  • 1997-09-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+10.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,128 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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