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12278 Longview St
B- Composite 69.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$47,000

12278 Longview St · Detroit, MI 48213
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1947 6,098 sqft lot $45/sqft · at area comps Est $49k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor's Special "“ Endless Potential in a Convenient Detroit Location! Opportunity awaits with this classic red brick bungalow full of character and ready for your vision. This property offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms with a traditional layout that provides a strong foundation for your next renovation or investment project. Inside, you'll find original hardwood floors that could be beautifully restored, along with a full basement offering plenty of storage and space for future improvements or added living area. With the right updates and repairs, this home has the potential to truly shine. Situated in a residential neighborhood near major freeways, the location offers excellent accessibility and strong rental or resale potential. This property is being sold as-is and will require TLC, updates, and repairs-perfect for investors, rehabbers, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. Bring your ideas and unlock the potential. (One or more photos have been artificially enhanced)

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Built 1947
  • Listed 71 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $47k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $727 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $47k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,301/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $325 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $44,180 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.77%
Cap rate
24.85%
Cash-on-cash
66.26%
DSCR
3.95
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$48,860
List price
$47,000
Delta
-3.81%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8801 E Outer Dr 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,047 (+1%) 1mo $40,000 $38 79
12561 Maiden St 0.22mi 3/1.0 963 (-7%) 1mo $69,690 $72 76
8750 E Outer Dr 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,070 (+3%) 7mo $102,000 $95 75
12104 Elmdale St 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,117 (+7%) 13mo $40,000 $36 70
12541 Camden St 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,014 (-2%) 9mo $29,525 $29 69
12578 Camden St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,123 (+8%) 9mo $47,000 $42 63
12798 Corbett St 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,124 (+8%) 6mo $75,000 $67 63
13001 Promenade St 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,124 (+8%) 6mo $73,800 $66 60
12780 Evanston St 0.51mi 3/2.5 1,074 (+3%) 9mo $17,500 $16 57
11151 Rosemary St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-4%) 10mo $29,900 $30 53
13136 Maiden St 0.56mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,144 (+10%) 1mo $10,000 $9 52
12527 Glenfield St 0.53mi 3/1.0 935 (-10%) 16mo $22,000 $24 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
65.5%
Equity multiple
3.94×
Total profit
$38,672
Equity at exit
$7,008
10-year hold
IRR
69.8%
Equity multiple
8.09×
Total profit
$93,292
Equity at exit
$4,064

Cash invested: $13,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48213

Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,301 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$246
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $419/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$727

Break-even live

Break-even rent $381
Max offer price $47,000
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,750
Closing costs
$1,410
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12210 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,100 $1.08 43d 1 0.06mi
12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,250 $1.02 17d 1 0.23mi
13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,400 $1.26 24d 1 0.54mi
12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,350 $1.19 18d 1 0.55mi
11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 990 $3,102 $3.13 14d 1 0.64mi
13400 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 0.65mi
12740 August St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 5d 1 0.88mi
12110 Christy St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,200 $1.26 17d 1 0.88mi
12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 43d 1 0.88mi
5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1366 $1,500 $1.10 24d 1 0.93mi
9190 Hayes St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 15d 1 1.02mi
11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 17d 1 1.12mi
11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,450 $1.07 3d 1 1.14mi
14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,250 $0.96 43d 1 1.19mi
11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,175 $1.18 43d 1 1.20mi
9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,300 $1.02 20d 1 1.28mi
9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,400 $0.93 3d 1 1.29mi
9516 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 17d 1 1.30mi
9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,150 $0.88 5d 1 1.35mi
5045 Fairview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1303 $1,200 $0.92 43d 1 1.36mi
10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 3.0 1425 $1,550 $1.09 18d 1 1.39mi
15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $970 $0.85 17d 1 1.41mi
10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,350 $0.97 17d 1 1.42mi
10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 1.44mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 43d 1 1.45mi
5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,473 $1.12 43d 1 1.47mi
11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 43d 1 1.49mi
13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,195 $1.03 18d 1 1.50mi
17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,450 $1.10 17d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $47,000 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $47,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $47,000 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $47,000 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $47,000 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $47,000 Active 62 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $47,000 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $47,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $47,000 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $47,000 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $47,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    price $47,000 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-04-08
    listed $55,000 Active 1005-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1005 chars)

    Investor's Special "“ Endless Potential in a Convenient Detroit Location! Opportunity awaits with this classic red brick bungalow full of character and ready for your vision. This property offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms with a traditional layout that provides a strong foundation for your next renovation or investment project. Inside, you'll find original hardwood floors that could be beautifully restored, along with a full basement offering plenty of storage and space for future improvements or added living area. With the right updates and repairs, this home has the potential to truly shine. Situated in a residential neighborhood near major freeways, the location offers excellent accessibility and strong rental or resale potential. This property is being sold as-is and will require TLC, updates, and repairs-perfect for investors, rehabbers, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. Bring your ideas and unlock the potential. (One or more photos have been artificially enhanced)

  16. 2026-04-07
    listed $55,000 Active 1017-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1017 chars)

    Investor’s Special – Endless Potential in a Convenient Detroit Location! Opportunity awaits with this classic red brick bungalow full of character and ready for your vision. This property offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms with a traditional layout that provides a strong foundation for your next renovation or investment project. Inside, you’ll find original hardwood floors that could be beautifully restored, along with a full basement offering plenty of storage and space for future improvements or added living area. With the right updates and repairs, this home has the potential to truly shine. Situated in a residential neighborhood near major freeways, the location offers excellent accessibility and strong rental or resale potential. This property is being sold as-is and will require TLC, updates, and repairs—perfect for investors, rehabbers, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. Bring your ideas and unlock the potential. (One or more photos have been artificially enhanced)

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$419 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$571 · $48/mo
Expected delta
+$152/yr (+$13/mo · 36.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,610
− Mortgage interest
−$2,633
− Property taxes
−$419
− Insurance
−$235
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,249
− Management
−$1,249
− Depreciation
−$1,367
Taxable income
$8,458
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,030
After-tax cash flow
$6,690/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,075
Household income
$34,003
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1202.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (92%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.86%
Current HPI
217.2037
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-9.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $419 · -52.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…