15035 Shenandoah Ave · Shenandoah, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR SPECIAL: Ready to add finishing touches. Exterior has been painted along with new fencing and yard cleared out. Half of house has new flooring and paint from previous owner and exact product details can be provided to finish out remaining home. Price includes already purchased liner and labor for install. Just a few doors down from Southern Oaks Club.
Key facts
- New fencing
- Yard cleared out
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community clubhouse; Playground; Tennis courts; Sidewalks; Additional community feature(s)
Exterior
- Parking: 4 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family detached residence
- Construction: Wood siding and brick exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard with full privacy fencing; In-ground private pool with liner
Interior
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; One fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($633/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (11.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $222k (11.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.3% in Shenandoah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#16 in LA, #3,778 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Shenandoah Elementary School (math 52% / reading 55%, grade C, #100 of 646 statewide, top 16%, 703 students, 58% FRL); Woodlawn Middle School (math 20% / reading 39%, grade F, #116 of 218 statewide, top 53%, 887 students, 69% FRL); Woodlawn High School (math 25% / reading 30%, grade F, #133 of 265 statewide, top 51%, 1,527 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 361 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.90%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $394,128
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5801 N Snowden Dr | 0.24mi | 4/3.5 | 2,448 (0%) | 1mo | $379,000 | $155 | 82 |
| 5029 Herridge Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,476 (+1%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $115 | 63 |
| 15682 Malvern Hill Ave | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 | 2,347 (-4%) | 4mo | $389,900 | $166 | 63 |
| 15841 Chickamauga Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 | 2,393 (-2%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $115 | 60 |
| 5542 N Snowden Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 2,155 (-12%) | 3mo | $345,900 | $161 | 58 |
| 15429 Chickamauga Ave | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 2,130 (-13%) | 3mo | $257,000 | $121 | 57 |
| 13645 Ridgeview Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 | 2,528 (+3%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $119 | 56 |
| 15926 Hogenville Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 | 2,364 (-3%) | 3mo | $258,000 | $109 | 56 |
| 5942 Shakespeare Dr | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 2,147 (-12%) | 1mo | $345,000 | $161 | 56 |
| 15402 Green Trails Blvd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,104 (-14%) | 3mo | $394,900 | $188 | 53 |
| 16025 Parkside Ct | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,550 (+4%) | 3mo | $465,000 | $182 | 52 |
| 15749 Parkside Ct | 0.53mi | 4/3.0 | 2,721 (+11%) | 2mo | $549,900 | $202 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-39,223
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-38,228
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70817
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 361
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,223 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$289 /mo · $3,469/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$467
- Net cashflow
- $53
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $194 | -5% $123 | +0% $53 | +5% $-18 | +10% $-89 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-123 | -5% $-35 | +0% $53 | +5% $141 | +10% $228 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $179 | -0.5pp $116 | base $53 | +0.5pp $-12 | +1.0pp $-78 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5714 Ardmore Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,700 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 7004 Spring Gardens Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1630 | $2,000 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6407 Tiger Pointe Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2033 | $2,450 | $1.21 | 16d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 6708 Tiger Pointe Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2367 | $2,500 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6714 Tiger Pointe Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2082 | $2,400 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 6410 Roux Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1827 | $2,125 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5113 Sandy Ridge Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $1,695 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 7441 Quorum Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1861 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 14142 Watercrest Ln Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1875 | $2,300 | $1.23 | 16d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5324 Antioch Blvd Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2048 | $2,000 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4719 Mendocino Way Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 16d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 16545 Antioch Ct Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2050 | $2,200 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 16545 Antioch Ct Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2050 | $2,200 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 15616 Council Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2163 | $2,200 | $1.02 | 16d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4644 Grenache Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2159 | $2,250 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5050 Stumberg Ln Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1591 | $1,950 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4941 Pinehill Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2028 | $2,350 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 15513 Fields Creek Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1595 | $2,295 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 16523 Batavia Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,725 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $249,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $249,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $249,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$249,900 Active 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL: Ready to add finishing touches. Exterior has been painted along with new fencing and yard cleared out. Half of house has new flooring and paint from previous owner and exact product details can be provided to finish out remaining home. Price includes already purchased liner and labor for install. Just a few doors down from Southern Oaks Club.
-
2026-05-28$249,900 Active
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL: Ready to add finishing touches. Exterior has been painted along with new fencing and yard cleared out. Half of house has new flooring and paint from previous owner and exact product details can be provided to finish out remaining home. Price includes already purchased liner and labor for install. Just a few doors down from Southern Oaks Club.
-
2007-06-18soldstatus $232,000
-
2007-06-14soldstatus
-
2007-05-23$242,000
-
2007-05-23$242,000
-
2007-03-27soldstatus
-
2007-03-20soldstatus $157,000
-
2006-08-25$164,900
-
2006-08-25$164,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,469 · $289/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,469 · $289/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,680
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$3,469
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,134
- − Management
- −$2,134
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$3,575
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$858
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,491/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shenandoah
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #3778
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shenandoah, LA
- County
- East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,482
- Household income
- $102,639
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 755.0
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 21% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 13% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -149.27%
- Current HPI
- 170.6826
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+51.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $249,900 GBRMLS
- 2026-05-28 Listed $249,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2007-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $232,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-14 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2007-05-23 Listed $242,000 GBRMLS
- 2007-05-23 Listed $242,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2007-03-27 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2007-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
- 2006-08-25 Listed $164,900 GBRMLS
- 2006-08-25 Listed $164,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,469 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…