5946 Deer Ln · Port St. John, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$335,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom (optional 4th) with large primary. Featuring modern comfort, style and effortless Florida living. Thoughtfully renovated, this home boasts updated kitchen with quartz and smart technology appliances for convenience and extra lighting. A Spacious sunroom, approximately 400 sq ft (additional Sq Ft not in tax rolls) with separate A/C and insulated, stretches across the back, offering the perfect indoor-outdoor retreat. Designed for entertaining, it features a custom-built bar ideal for gathering, game days, or just relaxing evenings at home. Step outside to your private oasis-a sparkling heated pool with screen enclosure for year around enjoyment. Whether you're hosting friends or unwinding after a long day, this backyard paradise delivers resort-style living without ever leaving home. Additional parking for RV and double gates. This home is move-in ready, updates, NO HOA, and perfect for entertaining. Don't miss your chance to make it yours!
Key facts
- Kennedy space center
- Waterfront dining
- Remodeled kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 space)
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Septic tank; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Entry level on level 1; Facing east
- Construction: Fiber cement exterior
- Exterior features: Private in-ground heated pool with electric heat and pool sweep; Pool has a screen enclosure; Front porch; Glass-enclosed porch area; Patio; Fenced backyard with wood privacy fencing; Few trees; Front and rear sprinkler system; County road frontage with asphalt surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven and range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Ice maker
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 total bathrooms (1 full, 1 half)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Electric cooling; Multiple A/C units; Wall/window unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Primary bathroom has a shower (no tub); Smart thermostat; Split-bedroom floor plan
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-42/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $334k (0.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (26.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $247k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Challenger 7 Elementary School (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B, #582 of 2,144 statewide, top 28%, 501 students, 56% FRL); Space Coast Junior/Senior High School (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #237 of 667 statewide, top 36%, 1,534 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($325k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $200k; list at $335k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.04%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-55,977
- Equity at exit
- $49,950
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-55,000
- Equity at exit
- $28,965
Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32927
- Home prices YoY
- -19.4%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,474 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,757
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $742/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$520
- Net cashflow
- $-4
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $186 | -5% $91 | +0% $-4 | +5% $-98 | +10% $-193 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-199 | -5% $-101 | +0% $-4 | +5% $94 | +10% $192 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $165 | -0.5pp $82 | base $-4 | +0.5pp $-90 | +1.0pp $-179 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,750
- Closing costs
- $10,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5215 Holden Rd Cocoa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,185 | $1.48 | 20d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 5935 Acme Ave Cocoa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,990 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5960 Homestead Ave Cocoa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $2,065 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4855 Balfern St Cocoa, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $3,500 | $2.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 6655 Corto Rd Cocoa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $3,300 | $2.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5075 Hogan Pl Unit 2 Cocoa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $335,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $335,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $335,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $335,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $335,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-10statusdays on market $335,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $335,000 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $335,000 Active Under Contract 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $335,000 Active Under Contract 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $335,000 Active Under Contract 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03status $335,000 Active Under Contract 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $335,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $335,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31price $335,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $345,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $345,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$345,000 Active
-
2026-05-03historical 999-char remark
Show marketing remark (999 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom (optional 4th) with large primary. Featuring modern comfort, style and effortless Florida living. Thoughtfully renovated, this home boasts updated kitchen with quartz and smart technology appliances for convenience and extra lighting. A Spacious sunroom, approximately 400 sq ft (additional Sq Ft not in tax rolls) with separate A/C and insulated, stretches across the back, offering the perfect indoor-outdoor retreat. Designed for entertaining, it features a custom-built bar ideal for gathering, game days, or just relaxing evenings at home. Step outside to your private oasis-a sparkling heated pool with screen enclosure for year around enjoyment. Whether you're hosting friends or unwinding after a long day, this backyard paradise delivers resort-style living without ever leaving home. Additional parking for RV and double gates. This home is move-in ready, updates, NO HOA, and perfect for entertaining. Don't miss your chance to make it yours!
-
2025-10-31$349,999 Active 999-char remark
Show marketing remark (999 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom (optional 4th) with large primary. Featuring modern comfort, style and effortless Florida living. Thoughtfully renovated, this home boasts updated kitchen with quartz and smart technology appliances for convenience and extra lighting. A Spacious sunroom, approximately 400 sq ft (additional Sq Ft not in tax rolls) with separate A/C and insulated, stretches across the back, offering the perfect indoor-outdoor retreat. Designed for entertaining, it features a custom-built bar ideal for gathering, game days, or just relaxing evenings at home. Step outside to your private oasis-a sparkling heated pool with screen enclosure for year around enjoyment. Whether you're hosting friends or unwinding after a long day, this backyard paradise delivers resort-style living without ever leaving home. Additional parking for RV and double gates. This home is move-in ready, updates, NO HOA, and perfect for entertaining. Don't miss your chance to make it yours!
-
2019-12-30soldstatus $200,000 1078-char remark
Show marketing remark (1078 chars)
Don't miss this charming home with all the bells and whistles. Watch the rockets launch from the upstairs master bedroom window. Plus, the 400 sq. ft. attached all-seasons room overlooks the heated screened in pool with shade sails, paver BBQ patio w/ BBQ grill for those endless days of entertaining. Poolside shower, pool cleaner, child safety barrier and deck space overlook the spacious fenced in yard. Beautifully maintained exterior with large garden shed with front and rear doors. Whole house surge protector, upgraded windows and doors, skylights, this home has it all. New roof installation under contract! Covered carport area keeps the sun off your vehicles. Lovely galley style kitchen with new stainless fridge and inside laundry make this home a must see. One year home warranty is included, and transferable termite bond in place. Sewer recently pumped. Pride of ownership shines throughout this home inside and out. Landscaped with beautiful plants and a fairytale exterior. Newer HVAC and hot water heater plus a Culligan reverse osmosis drinking water system.
-
2019-12-30soldstatus $200,000
Show marketing remark (1078 chars)
Don't miss this charming home with all the bells and whistles. Watch the rockets launch from the upstairs master bedroom window. Plus, the 400 sq. ft. attached all-seasons room overlooks the heated screened in pool with shade sails, paver BBQ patio w/ BBQ grill for those endless days of entertaining. Poolside shower, pool cleaner, child safety barrier and deck space overlook the spacious fenced in yard. Beautifully maintained exterior with large garden shed with front and rear doors. Whole house surge protector, upgraded windows and doors, skylights, this home has it all. New roof installation under contract! Covered carport area keeps the sun off your vehicles. Lovely galley style kitchen with new stainless fridge and inside laundry make this home a must see. One year home warranty is included, and transferable termite bond in place. Sewer recently pumped. Pride of ownership shines throughout this home inside and out. Landscaped with beautiful plants and a fairytale exterior. Newer HVAC and hot water heater plus a Culligan reverse osmosis drinking water system.
-
2019-06-20$210,000 1078-char remark
Show marketing remark (1078 chars)
Don't miss this charming home with all the bells and whistles. Watch the rockets launch from the upstairs master bedroom window. Plus, the 400 sq. ft. attached all-seasons room overlooks the heated screened in pool with shade sails, paver BBQ patio w/ BBQ grill for those endless days of entertaining. Poolside shower, pool cleaner, child safety barrier and deck space overlook the spacious fenced in yard. Beautifully maintained exterior with large garden shed with front and rear doors. Whole house surge protector, upgraded windows and doors, skylights, this home has it all. New roof installation under contract! Covered carport area keeps the sun off your vehicles. Lovely galley style kitchen with new stainless fridge and inside laundry make this home a must see. One year home warranty is included, and transferable termite bond in place. Sewer recently pumped. Pride of ownership shines throughout this home inside and out. Landscaped with beautiful plants and a fairytale exterior. Newer HVAC and hot water heater plus a Culligan reverse osmosis drinking water system.
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1990-10-01soldstatus $58,000
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1984-11-01soldstatus $54,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $742 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,780 · $232/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,039/yr (+$170/mo · 274.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,691
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,765
- − Property taxes
- −$742
- − Insurance
- −$1,675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,375
- − Management
- −$2,375
- − Depreciation
- −$9,745
- Taxable loss
- −$5,987
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,437
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,395/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port St. John
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port St. John, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- City population
- 28,493
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,219
- Household income
- $86,075
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 192.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.36%
- Current HPI
- 330.5099
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+530.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $345,000 SCMLS
- 2026-05-03 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2025-10-31 Listed $349,999 SCMLS
- 2019-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 2019-12-30 Sold (MLS) $200,000 SCMLS
- 2019-06-20 Listed $210,000 SCMLS
- 1990-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 1984-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $54,700 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $742 · +17.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…