31-41 Linden Pl · New York, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$2,180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 6 units. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
-
Key facts
- 2,500 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1986
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Tax year 2024
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; 2 parking spaces total; No carport
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Triplex; 1,200 total building area (per appraiser)
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: No waterfront
Interior
- Flooring: Ceramic tile flooring
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Other heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Finished walk-out basement; Other interior features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $2.18M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($399/yr) — positive. Per door: $6/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.83M (15.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.83M (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 661 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $18,323/mo this rent would consume 333% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 4119% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $15k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $65k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 361 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.92M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $883k; list at $2.18M implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 361 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.90%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-355,289
- Equity at exit
- $325,045
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-323,619
- Equity at exit
- $188,487
Cash invested: $610,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11354
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 661
- Price-to-rent
- 59.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $18,323 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$11,432
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,675 /mo · $20,099/yr
- Insurance
- −$908
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,848
- Net cashflow
- $33
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,267 | -5% $650 | +0% $33 | +5% $-584 | +10% $-1,201 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,414 | -5% $-691 | +0% $33 | +5% $757 | +10% $1,481 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,131 | -0.5pp $588 | base $33 | +0.5pp $-532 | +1.0pp $-1,106 |
6-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6× units | 2 | — | $18,324 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $3,054 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $3,054 |
| #3 | 2 | — | $3,054 |
| #4 | 2 | — | $3,054 |
| #5 | 2 | — | $3,054 |
| #6 | 2 | — | $3,054 |
| Total (6 units) | $18,323 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $545,000
- Closing costs
- $65,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14618 23rd Ave Whitestone, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 3556 | $3,400 | $0.96 | 8d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $2,180,000 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $2,180,000 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $2,180,000 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $2,180,000 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $2,180,000 Active 352 DOM
-
2025-06-13$2,180,000 Active
-
2013-08-11historical
-
2013-04-11$1,120,000
-
2012-10-04historical
-
2012-05-04$1,120,000
-
2005-09-23soldstatus $883,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $20,099 · $1,675/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $28,470 · $2,373/mo
- Expected delta
- +$8,372/yr (+$698/mo · 41.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $219,876
- − Mortgage interest
- −$122,114
- − Property taxes
- −$20,099
- − Insurance
- −$16,018
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$17,590
- − Management
- −$17,590
- − Depreciation
- −$63,418
- Taxable loss
- −$36,953
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8,869
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,268/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,028
- Household income
- $66,010
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4119.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Asian (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 64% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 66% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 22% English-only · Chinese 43% Spanish 14% Korean 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.64%
- Current HPI
- 257.0828
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+146.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-13 Listed $2,180,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-08-11 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-11 Listed $1,120,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-04 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-05-04 Listed $1,120,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $883,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $20,099 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…