2622 Falcon St Spc 68 · White City, OR 97503

$80,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Land public records · 175 Days on market

Built 1992 $74/sqft · 70% below area ↓ 33% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Schools +3.3/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

OWNER CARRY WITH ONLY $20K DOWN! Move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide home in a family-friendly park! This home feels bright and spacious with its high vaulted ceilings and open layout. The split floor plan offers great privacy, with the primary bedroom separated from the other rooms. Enjoy beautiful luxury laminate flooring throughout (installed 2 years ago) and fresh interior paint from last year for a clean, updated feel. The kitchen offers great space for anyone who loves to cook, featuring plenty of cabinetry for storage; newer dishwasher. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and an updated bathroom. You'll also appreciate the fully fenced yard, perfect for pets or outdoor relaxing, plus a convenient laundry room. A well-cared-for home at an affordable price--come see it today!

Key facts

• Split floor plan
• Open layout
• Plenty of cabinetry

Tags

• HIGH VAULTED CEILINGS
• OPEN LAYOUT
• SPLIT FLOOR PLAN
• LUXURY LAMINATE FLOORING
• FRESH INTERIOR PAINT
• PLENTY OF CABINETRY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $874 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 3.3% in White City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#182 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
• Eagle Point SD 9 (suburban): math 26% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #134 of 183 in OR (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 904 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (212 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Jackson County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.14% ✓
• Cap rate: 19.40%
• Cash-on-cash: 46.82%
• DSCR: 3.08
• GRM: 3.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $266,715
• List price: $80,000
• Delta: -70.01%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 44.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.91×
• Total profit: $42,676
• Equity at exit: $11,928

10-year hold

• IRR: 50.1%
• Equity multiple: 5.85×
• Total profit: $108,745
• Equity at exit: $6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Oregon: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 97503

• Home prices YoY: -28.5%
• Active inventory: 104
• Price-to-rent: 3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,708 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$420
• Tax from tax record: −$23 /mo · $274/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$359
• Net cashflow: $874

Break-even live

Break-even rent $602

Max offer price $80,000

Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $919	-5% $897	+0% $874	+5% $851	+10% $829
Rent	-10% $739	-5% $806	+0% $874	+5% $941	+10% $1,009
Rate	-1.0pp $914	-0.5pp $894	base $874	+0.5pp $853	+1.0pp $832

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,000
• Closing costs: $2,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7830 Jacqueline Way White City, OR	3.0	2.5	1355	$1,700	$1.25	45d	1	0.36mi
7673 24th St Unit 7673 White City, OR	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,695	$1.41	22d	1	0.38mi
3407 Sharon Way White City, OR	2.0	2.0	922	$1,595	$1.73	22d	1	0.43mi
7925 Ajax St White City, OR	3.0	1.0	1026	$1,775	$1.73	14d	1	0.48mi
3936 Francine Ct White City, OR	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,875	$1.56	22d	1	1.05mi

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-03
   days on market $80,000 Active 175 DOM
2. 2026-06-02
   days on market $80,000 Active 174 DOM
3. 2026-06-01
   days on market $80,000 Active 173 DOM
4. 2026-05-31
   days on market $80,000 Active 172 DOM
5. 2026-05-30
   days on market $80,000 Active 171 DOM
6. 2026-05-04
   price $80,000 808-char remark

   Show marketing remark (808 chars)

   OWNER CARRY WITH ONLY $20K DOWN! Move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide home in a family-friendly park! This home feels bright and spacious with its high vaulted ceilings and open layout. The split floor plan offers great privacy, with the primary bedroom separated from the other rooms. Enjoy beautiful luxury laminate flooring throughout (installed 2 years ago) and fresh interior paint from last year for a clean, updated feel. The kitchen offers great space for anyone who loves to cook, featuring plenty of cabinetry for storage; newer dishwasher. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and an updated bathroom. You'll also appreciate the fully fenced yard, perfect for pets or outdoor relaxing, plus a convenient laundry room. A well-cared-for home at an affordable price--come see it today!

7. 2026-02-17
   price $84,000 808-char remark

   Show marketing remark (808 chars)

   OWNER CARRY WITH ONLY $20K DOWN! Move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide home in a family-friendly park! This home feels bright and spacious with its high vaulted ceilings and open layout. The split floor plan offers great privacy, with the primary bedroom separated from the other rooms. Enjoy beautiful luxury laminate flooring throughout (installed 2 years ago) and fresh interior paint from last year for a clean, updated feel. The kitchen offers great space for anyone who loves to cook, featuring plenty of cabinetry for storage; newer dishwasher. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and an updated bathroom. You'll also appreciate the fully fenced yard, perfect for pets or outdoor relaxing, plus a convenient laundry room. A well-cared-for home at an affordable price--come see it today!

8. 2026-01-08
   price $89,000 808-char remark

   Show marketing remark (808 chars)

   OWNER CARRY WITH ONLY $20K DOWN! Move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide home in a family-friendly park! This home feels bright and spacious with its high vaulted ceilings and open layout. The split floor plan offers great privacy, with the primary bedroom separated from the other rooms. Enjoy beautiful luxury laminate flooring throughout (installed 2 years ago) and fresh interior paint from last year for a clean, updated feel. The kitchen offers great space for anyone who loves to cook, featuring plenty of cabinetry for storage; newer dishwasher. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and an updated bathroom. You'll also appreciate the fully fenced yard, perfect for pets or outdoor relaxing, plus a convenient laundry room. A well-cared-for home at an affordable price--come see it today!

9. 2025-12-10
   listed $94,000 Active 808-char remark

   Show marketing remark (808 chars)

   OWNER CARRY WITH ONLY $20K DOWN! Move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide home in a family-friendly park! This home feels bright and spacious with its high vaulted ceilings and open layout. The split floor plan offers great privacy, with the primary bedroom separated from the other rooms. Enjoy beautiful luxury laminate flooring throughout (installed 2 years ago) and fresh interior paint from last year for a clean, updated feel. The kitchen offers great space for anyone who loves to cook, featuring plenty of cabinetry for storage; newer dishwasher. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and an updated bathroom. You'll also appreciate the fully fenced yard, perfect for pets or outdoor relaxing, plus a convenient laundry room. A well-cared-for home at an affordable price--come see it today!

10. 2024-06-10
    historical
11. 2024-05-14
    price $110,000
12. 2024-03-20
    listed $120,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $274 · $23/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $776 · $65/mo
• Expected delta: +$502/yr (+$42/mo · 183.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,501
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,481
• − Property taxes: −$274
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,640
• − Management: −$1,640
• − Depreciation: −$2,327
• Taxable income: $9,738
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,337
• After-tax cash flow: $8,150/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Eagle Point SD 9
• NCES district ID: 4104500
• Math proficiency: 26% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $47,834
• Composite: 33.13/100
• National rank: #10630
• State rank: #134 of 183 in OR

Livability — White City

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #182
• US rank: #11152

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: White City, OR
• Population (ZIP): 14,119

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 234,433 people
• By 2030: 243,834 · +4.0%
• By 2040: 259,717 · +10.8%
• By 2050: 273,269 · +16.6%
• By 2075: 300,624 · +28.2%
• By 2100: 305,256 · +30.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (58%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 58% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 11% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 34%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 4% Italian 3% Portuguese 2%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada
• Languages at home: 77% English-only · Spanish 22% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+6.4) · D 45.5% · R 51.9% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.5pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -6.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+6.4 2020: R+3.5 2016: R+9.2 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+0.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -106.87%
• Current HPI: 268.6998
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.05%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Consumer Goods	1	$51B

Price history

-33.3% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-04 Price Changed $80,000 MLSCO
• 2026-02-17 Price Changed $84,000 MLSCO
• 2026-01-08 Price Changed $89,000 MLSCO
• 2025-12-10 Listed $94,000 MLSCO
• 2024-06-10 Listing Removed — MLSCO
• 2024-05-14 Price Changed $110,000 MLSCO
• 2024-03-20 Listed $120,000 MLSCO

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2022): $274 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.