2114 Eagle Point Rd · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +13.4/15.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$234,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this recently renovated Indian Shores charmer !! Hurry, It won't last long !!!
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1974
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $234k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (1.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $227k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Huffman ISD (rural): math 32% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #500 of 826 in TX (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 1172 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.71%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $270,000
- List price
- $234,500
- Delta
- -13.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 Eagle Point Rd | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,902 (+5%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $171 | 82 |
| 2126 Eagle Point Rd | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,623 (-10%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $163 | 80 |
| 1819 Black Bear Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,935 (+7%) | 5mo | $335,000 | $173 | 78 |
| 1819 Papoose Trl | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,734 (-4%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $141 | 77 |
| 2202 Papoose Trl | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,600 (-12%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $156 | 72 |
| 21019 Lost Pine Trl | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,638 (-10%) | 8mo | $189,900 | $116 | 72 |
| 2122 Papoose Trl | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,580 (-13%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $76 | 72 |
| 1806 White Feather Trl | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 | 1,866 (+3%) | 9mo | $349,000 | $187 | 68 |
| 2006 White Feather Trl | 0.31mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,004 (+11%) | 6mo | $322,500 | $161 | 54 |
| 2002 Indian Shores Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,975 (+9%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $177 | 54 |
| 20535 Appaloosa Trl | 0.59mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,656 (-8%) | 4mo | $259,900 | $157 | 48 |
| 1910 Indian Shores Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,613 (-11%) | 4mo | $216,000 | $134 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-35,409
- Equity at exit
- $34,965
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-36,601
- Equity at exit
- $20,275
Cash invested: $65,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77532
- Home prices YoY
- -28.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 1172
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,317 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,230
- Tax from tax record
- −$406 /mo · $4,876/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$3
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$487
- Net cashflow
- $94
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,625
- Closing costs
- $7,035
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1823 Black Bear Dr Crosby, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2564 | $2,395 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 20119 Iron Winds St Crosby, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $1,875 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 20034 White Dove Dr Crosby, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,850 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 22423 Woodlake Rd Huffman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1673 | $1,935 | $1.16 | 5d | 1 | 1.27mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $3 · $36/yr
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-04-06$234,500 Active 87-char remark
Show marketing remark (87 chars)
Come see this recently renovated Indian Shores charmer !! Hurry, It won't last long !!!
-
2026-04-06historical
Show marketing remark (87 chars)
Come see this recently renovated Indian Shores charmer !! Hurry, It won't last long !!!
-
2026-03-18$239,000 Active
-
2026-03-18historical
-
2026-02-18$249,500 Active
-
2026-02-18historical
-
2026-02-04$259,500 Active
-
2025-08-01historical
-
2025-07-24$154,500 Active
-
2025-06-17soldstatus
-
2025-06-13soldstatus Sold
-
2025-06-02status Pending
-
2025-05-14price $190,000
-
2025-04-22$199,000 Active
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,876 · $406/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,876 · $406/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,806
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,136
- − Property taxes
- −$4,876
- − Insurance
- −$1,172
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,224
- − Management
- −$2,224
- − HOA
- −$36
- − Depreciation
- −$6,822
- Taxable loss
- −$2,684
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$644
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,770/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Huffman ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823820
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,848
- Composite
- 30.61/100
- National rank
- #6195
- State rank
- #500 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,780
- Household income
- $92,201
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 382.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 16% Black 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 21%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.63%
- Current HPI
- 264.0126
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.48%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+17.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $234,500 HARMLS
- 2026-03-18 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $239,000 HARMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $249,500 HARMLS
- 2026-02-04 Listed $259,500 HARMLS
- 2025-08-01 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-07-24 Listed $154,500 HARMLS
- 2025-06-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-06-13 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2025-06-02 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-05-14 Price Changed $190,000 HARMLS
- 2025-04-22 Listed $199,000 HARMLS
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,876 · +11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…