55045 6th St · Astor, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- ARV discount +3.4/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a wonderful winter retreat at a wonderful price? This 3 bedroom 2 bath mobile home has been completely redone and is fully furnished! Just bring your suitcase! Brand New HVAC unit Jan 2025 with transferable warranty. The home has a metal roof, the interior is all drywall with tile and laminate flooring, spacious kitchen, and a huge living room. This home has a large screened back porch for entertaining the neighbors, a large shed for tools and equipment, and a oversized corner lot.
Key facts
- Brand new hvac unit
- Durable metal roof
- Laminate flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $457 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#613 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Umatilla Elementary School (math 59% / reading 56%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 660 students, 55% FRL); Umatilla High School (math 24% / reading 29%, grade F, #489 of 667 statewide, top 74%, 861 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 259 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 259 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.20%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $160,380
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55045 6th St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (0%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $135 | 90 |
| 24326 Maxwell St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-11%) | 2mo | $52,000 | $49 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.95% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $40,655
- Equity at exit
- $68,561
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $116,253
- Equity at exit
- $98,375
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32102
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,976 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,355/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $457
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24048 Ermine Rd Astor, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 728 | $1,450 | $1.99 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 56314 Blue Creek Rd Astor, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,500 | $2.00 | 17d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-15status Pending
-
2026-03-30status Active
-
2026-03-28historical
-
2026-03-03price $175,000
-
2025-07-28$190,000 Active
-
2025-03-06soldstatus $180,000
-
2025-03-03soldstatus $180,000 Closed 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
Looking for a wonderful winter retreat at a wonderful price? This 3 bedroom 2 bath mobile home has been completely redone and is fully furnished! Just bring your suitcase! Brand New HVAC unit Jan 2025 with transferable warranty. The home has a metal roof, the interior is all drywall with tile and laminate flooring, spacious kitchen, and a huge living room. This home has a large screened back porch for entertaining the neighbors, a large shed for tools and equipment, and a oversized corner lot.
-
2025-02-12status Pending 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
Looking for a wonderful winter retreat at a wonderful price? This 3 bedroom 2 bath mobile home has been completely redone and is fully furnished! Just bring your suitcase! Brand New HVAC unit Jan 2025 with transferable warranty. The home has a metal roof, the interior is all drywall with tile and laminate flooring, spacious kitchen, and a huge living room. This home has a large screened back porch for entertaining the neighbors, a large shed for tools and equipment, and a oversized corner lot.
-
2025-01-22$180,000 Active 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
Looking for a wonderful winter retreat at a wonderful price? This 3 bedroom 2 bath mobile home has been completely redone and is fully furnished! Just bring your suitcase! Brand New HVAC unit Jan 2025 with transferable warranty. The home has a metal roof, the interior is all drywall with tile and laminate flooring, spacious kitchen, and a huge living room. This home has a large screened back porch for entertaining the neighbors, a large shed for tools and equipment, and a oversized corner lot.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,355 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,452 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$97/yr (+$8/mo · 7.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,710
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,355
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,897
- − Management
- −$1,897
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $2,792
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$670
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,818/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Astor
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #613
- US rank
- #11822
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Astor, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,401
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Portuguese 8% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- Current HPI
- 232.7974
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-2.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-28 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-28 Listed $190,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2025-03-03 Sold (MLS) $180,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-12 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-22 Listed $180,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+11.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,355 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…