Duplex
4817 Prosperity Pl · Cincinnati, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Experience the charm of this 1936 brick 2-family residence at 4817 Prosperity Pl, Cincinnati, OH. Offering nearly 2,000 sq ft, this home features historic original wood trim, classic doors, and a versatile layout perfect for multi-generational living or a turnkey investment. The upper unit is bright and airy with a functional kitchen overlooking the massive, deep backyard. Sitting on a 0.235-acre lot, the property boasts one of the largest yards in West Price Hill, complete with a sprawling multi-level deckideal for outdoor entertaining. Recent maintenance includes a clean basement with dual HVAC systems, updated mechanicals, and a 1-car attached garage. Located in the Cincinnati City Schoo
Key facts
- Versatile layout
- Clean basement
- Dual hvac systems
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.235 acres
- Financial info: Two rental units with listed rent of $940 for 1‑bedroom units
- HOA & community: Information not provided
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Driveway; Two open parking spaces
- Security: Information not provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Duplex; One and one-half stories; Second floor area present
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Block and brick construction; Windows: Other
Interior
- Kitchen: Information not provided
- Bedrooms: Two 1-bedroom units
- Flooring: Information not provided
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Information not provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $138/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $188k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $107k; list at $200k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.90%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $233,298
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4817 Prosperity Pl | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,994 (0%) | 0mo | $190,000 | $95 | 91 |
| 1686 Kellywood Ave | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,048 (+3%) | 13mo | $262,500 | $128 | 72 |
| 4846 Prosperity Pl | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,824 (-8%) | 16mo | $195,000 | $107 | 69 |
| 2901 W Tower Ave | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,046 (+3%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $117 | 61 |
| 2957 Veazey Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,826 (-8%) | 9mo | $215,000 | $118 | 47 |
| 4945 Shirley Pl | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,731 (-13%) | 20mo | $180,000 | $104 | 41 |
| 1515 Hilsun Pl | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,724 (-14%) | 18mo | $269,990 | $157 | 40 |
| 5214 Sidney Rd | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,214 (+11%) | 16mo | $205,000 | $93 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-10,672
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $31,155
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45238
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 15.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,158 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$298 /mo · $3,577/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$453
- Net cashflow
- $275
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $388 | -5% $332 | +0% $275 | +5% $219 | +10% $162 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $105 | -5% $190 | +0% $275 | +5% $360 | +10% $446 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $376 | -0.5pp $326 | base $275 | +0.5pp $223 | +1.0pp $171 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,158 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,079 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,079 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,158 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1723 Tuxworth Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1587 | $1,800 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2706 E Tower Dr Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 951 | $1,520 | $1.60 | 2d | 61 | 0.58mi |
| 5256 Ponce Ln Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,866 | $1.47 | 2d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2621 Gehrum Ln Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1373 | $1,850 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1024 Edgetree Ln Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1949 | $2,250 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1031 Schiff Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2142 | $1,300 | $0.61 | 22d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1240 Rosemont Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,100 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1233 Dewey Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1411 | $1,375 | $0.97 | 5d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1214 Gilsey Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1214 Gilsey Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4227 W 8th St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1832 | $2,050 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1311 Manss Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1409 | $1,295 | $0.92 | 5d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1740 Minion Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,200 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1620 Minion Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1845 | $1,550 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 905 Suire Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1699 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5408 Style Ln Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1824 | $2,625 | $1.44 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4284 Foley Rd Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $2,800 | $2.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 862 Academy Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1627 | $1,450 | $0.89 | 17d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 543 Virgil Rd Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $1,795 | $1.43 | 22d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 3666 Glenway Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1339 | $1,250 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 3283 Pickbury Dr Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $2,400 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-04-03$199,900 Active
-
2017-10-04soldstatus $106,667
-
2016-03-09soldstatus $51,000
-
2011-12-22historical
-
2011-09-23$29,000
-
2002-06-24historical
-
1999-09-03soldstatus $82,500
-
1999-08-27soldstatus $82,500
-
1999-07-11$84,900
-
1999-05-13$84,900
-
1997-12-01soldstatus $61,000
-
1997-11-24soldstatus $67,500
-
1997-06-10$64,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,577 · $298/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,577 · $298/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,896
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$3,577
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,072
- − Management
- −$2,072
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $163
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$39
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,262/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cincinnati Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904375
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,743
- Composite
- 25.21/100
- National rank
- #7508
- State rank
- #581 of 656 in OH
Livability — Cincinnati
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #1856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cincinnati, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- City population
- 505,555
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,351
- Household income
- $66,277
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2012.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 28% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -197.57%
- Current HPI
- 213.5097
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.87%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+208.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Listed $199,900 Cincy MLS
- 2017-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $106,667 Public Records
- 2016-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 2011-12-22 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2011-09-23 Listed $29,000 Cincy MLS
- 2002-06-24 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 1999-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
- 1999-08-27 Sold (MLS) $82,500 Cincy MLS
- 1999-07-11 Listed $84,900 Cincy MLS
- 1999-05-13 Listed $84,900 Cincy MLS
- 1997-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
- 1997-11-24 Sold (MLS) $67,500 Cincy MLS
- 1997-06-10 Listed $64,900 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+18.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,577 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…