Multi-family
74 Van Ness St · Newburgh, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$310,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
In need of complete rehab!!! Brownstone in Newburgh, NY, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. This handyman special needs a complete rehab, making it the perfect canvas to bring your vision to life. Located near the waterfront and downtown shops, it offers a prime location with great amenities nearby. Don’t miss this opportunity to restore and transform a classic brownstone into something truly special. Being Sold as is!
Key facts
- Great amenities
- Complete rehab
- Prime location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 8-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($60/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $283k (8.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $273k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.4% in Newburgh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#878 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing B+, cost of living B; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
- Newburgh City School District (suburban): math 33% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #500 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 384 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 255 days — a 12% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $310k implies a 716% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 255 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.07%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $535,950
- List price
- $310,000
- Delta
- -42.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 Carpenter Ave | 0.09mi | 8/4.0 | 3,000 (-1%) | 9mo | $435,000 | $145 | 83 |
| 57 Carpenter Ave | 0.08mi | 7/3.0 (-1) | 3,000 (-1%) | 8mo | $460,000 | $153 | 83 |
| 47 Carpenter Ave | 0.07mi | 8/3.0 | 3,234 (+7%) | 23mo | $460,000 | $142 | 66 |
| 27 Clark St | 0.29mi | 8/3.0 | 2,724 (-10%) | 20mo | $410,000 | $151 | 54 |
| 163 Chambers St | 0.51mi | 9/4.0 (+1) | 2,880 (-5%) | 7mo | $585,920 | $203 | 53 |
| 87 Overlook Pl | 0.65mi | 8/3.0 | 3,159 (+4%) | 11mo | $510,000 | $161 | 53 |
| 11 Liberty St | 0.61mi | 7/3.0 (-1) | 3,024 (0%) | 17mo | $525,000 | $174 | 52 |
| 189 Liberty St | 0.44mi | 7/5.0 (-1) | 2,927 (-3%) | 16mo | $565,000 | $193 | 48 |
| 105 Renwick St | 0.62mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 3,132 (+4%) | 16mo | $435,000 | $139 | 47 |
| 103 Overlook Pl | 0.63mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 3,185 (+5%) | 12mo | $580,000 | $182 | 47 |
| 67 William St | 0.34mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 2,640 (-13%) | 19mo | $420,000 | $159 | 42 |
| 120 Renwick St | 0.58mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 3,384 (+12%) | 15mo | $465,000 | $137 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-56,404
- Equity at exit
- $46,222
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-74,082
- Equity at exit
- $26,803
Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12550
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 384
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,826 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax from tax record
- −$473 /mo · $5,672/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$593
- Net cashflow
- $5
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $180 | -5% $93 | +0% $5 | +5% $-83 | +10% $-171 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-218 | -5% $-107 | +0% $5 | +5% $117 | +10% $228 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $161 | -0.5pp $84 | base $5 | +0.5pp $-75 | +1.0pp $-157 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,500
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $310,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $310,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $310,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $310,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $310,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $310,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $310,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $310,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $310,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $310,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $310,000 Active 241 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $310,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $310,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $310,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $310,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $310,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-04-10status Active 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
In need of complete rehab!!! Brownstone in Newburgh, NY, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. This handyman special needs a complete rehab, making it the perfect canvas to bring your vision to life. Located near the waterfront and downtown shops, it offers a prime location with great amenities nearby. Don’t miss this opportunity to restore and transform a classic brownstone into something truly special. Being Sold as is!
-
2026-04-09historical 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
In need of complete rehab!!! Brownstone in Newburgh, NY, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. This handyman special needs a complete rehab, making it the perfect canvas to bring your vision to life. Located near the waterfront and downtown shops, it offers a prime location with great amenities nearby. Don’t miss this opportunity to restore and transform a classic brownstone into something truly special. Being Sold as is!
-
2026-02-18price $310,000 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
In need of complete rehab!!! Brownstone in Newburgh, NY, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. This handyman special needs a complete rehab, making it the perfect canvas to bring your vision to life. Located near the waterfront and downtown shops, it offers a prime location with great amenities nearby. Don’t miss this opportunity to restore and transform a classic brownstone into something truly special. Being Sold as is!
-
2025-10-08$325,000 Active 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
In need of complete rehab!!! Brownstone in Newburgh, NY, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. This handyman special needs a complete rehab, making it the perfect canvas to bring your vision to life. Located near the waterfront and downtown shops, it offers a prime location with great amenities nearby. Don’t miss this opportunity to restore and transform a classic brownstone into something truly special. Being Sold as is!
-
2025-06-29historical
-
2025-01-08$350,000 Active
-
2017-06-21soldstatus $38,000 Sold
-
2017-05-01historical Pending
-
2017-05-01status Active
-
2017-04-13historical Pending
-
2017-03-23$39,600 Active
-
2006-04-06soldstatus $264,948
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2001-10-29soldstatus $57,500
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2001-10-17soldstatus $57,500
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2001-08-10historical
-
2001-08-10price $72,500
-
2000-09-10$57,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,672 · $473/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,672 · $473/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,911
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$5,672
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,713
- − Management
- −$2,713
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable loss
- −$5,120
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,229
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,288/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newburgh City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620700
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,387
- Composite
- 35.46/100
- National rank
- #4927
- State rank
- #500 of 590 in NY
Livability — Newburgh
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #878
- US rank
- #17021
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newburgh, NY
- County
- Orange County · 267,004 people
- City population
- 55,152
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,152
- Household income
- $85,697
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2412.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 379,830 people
- By 2030
- 378,955 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 375,444 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 369,311 · -2.8%
- By 2075
- 354,233 · -6.7%
- By 2100
- 318,150 · -16.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 39% White 36% Black 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 30% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.4) · D 45.8% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.4 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+6.5 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+4.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.93%
- Current HPI
- 304.1046
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.63%
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+439.1% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $310,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-08 Listed $325,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-29 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-08 Listed $350,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-21 Sold (MLS) $38,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-01 Contingent — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-01 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-13 Contingent — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-23 Listed $39,600 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $264,948 Public Records
- 2001-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
- 2001-10-17 Sold (MLS) $57,500 HGMLS
- 2001-08-10 Price Changed $72,500 HGMLS
- 2001-08-10 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2000-09-10 Listed $57,500 HGMLS
Property tax history
+10.6%/yrLatest (2025): $5,672 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…