11401 N Topanga Blvd #50 · Los Angeles, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- ARV discount +2.5/15.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2005 HALLMARK HOME, 2 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, PLUS A BONUS ROOM THAT COULD BE USED AS THIRTH BEDROOM, CATHEDRAL CEILINGS, MASTER BEDROOM WITH A FULL BATH W/ DUAL SINKS & OVERSIZE SHOWER, SEPARATE UTILITY FOR WASHER & DRYER HOOK UPS, PARK AMENITIES INCLUDE; SPARKLING POOL, CLUBHOUSE WITH DINING AREA & FULL KITCHEN, POOL TABLE AND MUCH MORR.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
- Built 2005
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $246k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $782 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $246k).
- Recommended offer: $224k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($119k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.63%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $221,180
- List price
- $245,995
- Delta
- 11.22%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11401 Topanga Canyon Blvd #35 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (0%) | 6mo | $224,500 | $167 | 88 |
| 11401 N Topanga #62 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,300 (-3%) | 18mo | $210,000 | $162 | 78 |
| 11401 Topanga Cyn | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (+8%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $213 | 77 |
| 11401 Topanga Cyn #23 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,464 (+9%) | 1mo | $241,000 | $165 | 76 |
| 11401 Topanga #84 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-11%) | 5mo | $195,000 | $163 | 66 |
| 11401 Topanga Canyon Blvd #120 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-11%) | 10mo | $221,807 | $185 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $11,299
- Equity at exit
- $36,679
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $79,557
- Equity at exit
- $21,269
Cash invested: $68,879 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Los Angeles
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
ZIP-level market 91311
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,142 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,290
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$307 /mo · $3,690/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$660
- Net cashflow
- $782
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,499
- Closing costs
- $7,380
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22325 Heritage Pass Pl Chatsworth, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1427 | $2,895 | $2.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 21224 Rinaldi St Chatsworth, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $4,000 | $2.88 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 21420 Chatsworth St Chatsworth, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $3,750 | $3.61 | 7d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 22210 James Alan Cir #8 Chatsworth, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1747 | $3,850 | $2.20 | 12d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 10537 Variel Ave Chatsworth, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,995 | $3.33 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 20744 Bermuda St Chatsworth, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1677 | $4,250 | $2.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 10201 Remmet Ave Chatsworth, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,395 | $2.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 10201 Remmet Ave Unit 203 Chatsworth, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,395 | $2.38 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $245,995 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $245,995 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $245,995 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $245,995 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $245,995 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $245,995 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,995 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $245,995 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $245,995 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $245,995 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $245,995 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $245,995 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $245,995 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-03-18price $259,995 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
2005 HALLMARK HOME, 2 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, PLUS A BONUS ROOM THAT COULD BE USED AS THIRTH BEDROOM, CATHEDRAL CEILINGS, MASTER BEDROOM WITH A FULL BATH W/ DUAL SINKS & OVERSIZE SHOWER, SEPARATE UTILITY FOR WASHER & DRYER HOOK UPS, PARK AMENITIES INCLUDE; SPARKLING POOL, CLUBHOUSE WITH DINING AREA & FULL KITCHEN, POOL TABLE AND MUCH MORR.
-
2026-02-26$199,950 Active 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
2005 HALLMARK HOME, 2 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, PLUS A BONUS ROOM THAT COULD BE USED AS THIRTH BEDROOM, CATHEDRAL CEILINGS, MASTER BEDROOM WITH A FULL BATH W/ DUAL SINKS & OVERSIZE SHOWER, SEPARATE UTILITY FOR WASHER & DRYER HOOK UPS, PARK AMENITIES INCLUDE; SPARKLING POOL, CLUBHOUSE WITH DINING AREA & FULL KITCHEN, POOL TABLE AND MUCH MORR.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,703
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,780
- − Property taxes
- −$3,690
- − Insurance
- −$1,230
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,016
- − Management
- −$3,016
- − Depreciation
- −$7,156
- Taxable income
- $5,815
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,396
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,990/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
The home shows average condition with some exterior wear and overgrown landscaping. Painting the exterior and trimming the landscaping would significantly improve its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Siding — Light wear and discoloration
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrown plants and debris
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Siding · Light wear and discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown plants and debris | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Los Angeles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #9237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Los Angeles, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 3,838,149
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,898
- Household income
- $119,386
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1205.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 29% Asian 18% Two or more races 15% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 8% Tagalog/Filipino 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -777.33%
- Current HPI
- 348.8389
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+30.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $259,995 CRMLS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $199,950 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…