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1407 NE Madison Ave
C+ Composite 60.61
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

1407 NE Madison Ave · Peoria, IL 61603
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 928 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1925 8,712 sqft lot Est $35k · 42% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property is Occupied: NO VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Any attempts to access the property or disturbance of the occupant may be considered trespassing. Price is reflective of occupancy. "As is" cash only sale with no physical access, including no contingencies or inspections. Buyer assumes all responsibility and liability for any occupancy, and assumes all responsibility, liability and cost of taking possession. Neither seller or listing agent have seen the interior - all measurements estimated or taken from public record. Per RMLS rules this listing has to be placed in a non-active status until access can be granted

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Updated electrical
  • New plumbing

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHBRIGHT INTERIORUPDATED ELECTRICALNEW PLUMBINGNEWER DOORSALL NEW KITCHEN CABINETS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1925; Total living area approximately 948
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Full, unfinished basement
  • Exterior features: Level, wooded lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with laminate flooring (approx. 13' x 11')
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (main level: two bedrooms listed; one is 13' x 10', the other is 12' x 9')
  • Flooring: Carpet in most living areas and bedrooms; Laminate in the kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas water heater
  • Interior features: Cable available; Ceiling fans

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Manual High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #659 of 693 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $50k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $50,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.02%
Cap rate
17.52%
Cash-on-cash
40.10%
DSCR
2.78
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$35,264
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
502 Caroline St 0.07mi 2/1.0 912 (-2%) 9mo $14,000 $15 86
803 Caroline St 0.27mi 2/1.0 910 (-2%) 4mo $49,000 $54 81
1305 NE Monroe St 0.12mi 2/1.0 1,042 (+12%) 1mo $50,000 $48 74
1622 NE Jefferson St 0.23mi 2/1.5 837 (-10%) 7mo $26,000 $31 65
716 E Kansas St 0.71mi 2/1.0 896 (-3%) 2mo $26,666 $30 60
1220 NE Bond St 0.31mi 2/1.0 1,024 (+10%) 12mo $62,000 $61 58
223 NE Rock Island Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 984 (+6%) 0mo $25,000 $25 56
2204 N Atlantic Ave 0.73mi 1/1.0 (-1) 912 (-2%) 12mo $35,000 $38 48
1918 N Indiana Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 970 (+4%) 21mo $27,100 $28 41
701 E Kansas Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,025 (+10%) 15mo $50,000 $49 30
2306 NE Perry Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 794 (-14%) 24mo $38,000 $48 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.49% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.0%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$22,198
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
43.9%
Equity multiple
5.27×
Total profit
$59,790
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61603

Home prices YoY
-31.8%
Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
104
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,009 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $558/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$212
Net cashflow
$468

Break-even live

Break-even rent $417
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
506 Caroline St Unit B Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 13d 1 0.08mi
901 NE Glen Oak Ave Unit 2 Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 21d 1 0.57mi
2121 N Prospect Rd Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 946 $802 $0.85 13d 1 0.65mi
2302 NE Monroe St Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $875 $0.80 13d 1 0.73mi
1505 N Peoria Ave Peoria, IL 1.0 1.0 525 $1,006 $1.92 13d 4 0.87mi
123 SW Jefferson Ave Unit E6W Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 868 $1,495 $1.72 21d 1 1.14mi
123 SW Jefferson Ave Unit E15SW Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 13d 1 1.14mi
737 E Gift Ave Unit 737 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,125 $1.41 44d 1 1.16mi
416 W Main St Unit A Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1050 $950 $0.90 44d 1 1.30mi
511 W Elizabeth St Unit A Peoria, IL 1.0 1.0 850 $800 $0.94 44d 1 1.34mi
311 SW Water St Unit 301 Peoria, IL 1.0 1.0 635 $1,300 $2.05 44d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-30
    statusdays on market $50,000 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-05-26
    listed $50,000 Active
  3. 2022-02-28
    soldstatus $18,500 679-char remark
    Show marketing remark (679 chars)

    This property is Occupied: NO VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Any attempts to access the property or disturbance of the occupant may be considered trespassing. Price is reflective of occupancy. "As is" cash only sale with no physical access, including no contingencies or inspections. Buyer assumes all responsibility and liability for any occupancy, and assumes all responsibility, liability and cost of taking possession. Neither seller or listing agent have seen the interior - all measurements estimated or taken from public record. Per RMLS rules this listing has to be placed in a non-active status until access can be granted

  4. 2021-12-13
    listed $18,900 679-char remark
    Show marketing remark (679 chars)

    This property is Occupied: NO VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Any attempts to access the property or disturbance of the occupant may be considered trespassing. Price is reflective of occupancy. "As is" cash only sale with no physical access, including no contingencies or inspections. Buyer assumes all responsibility and liability for any occupancy, and assumes all responsibility, liability and cost of taking possession. Neither seller or listing agent have seen the interior - all measurements estimated or taken from public record. Per RMLS rules this listing has to be placed in a non-active status until access can be granted

  5. 2021-10-14
    soldstatus $14,500 678-char remark
    Show marketing remark (678 chars)

    Asset is being sold in an upcoming auction (occupied). All initial offers must be submitted via PropOffers.com by the Selling Agent ONLY. All offers must be submitted on PropOffers.com. "Subject property is being sold occupied with any and all occupants in AS IS/WHERE IS condition. Neither the seller nor the listing broker can verify the existence of any lease agreement, either written or verbal, nor any rental amount being paid, due or owing. Please DO NOT disturb the occupants. Access for inspections or other purposes is NOT guaranteed - contact listing broker to confirm if accessible. Buyer is assuming ALL responsibility for any necessary eviction action."

  6. 2021-08-17
    listed $32,000 678-char remark
    Show marketing remark (678 chars)

    Asset is being sold in an upcoming auction (occupied). All initial offers must be submitted via PropOffers.com by the Selling Agent ONLY. All offers must be submitted on PropOffers.com. "Subject property is being sold occupied with any and all occupants in AS IS/WHERE IS condition. Neither the seller nor the listing broker can verify the existence of any lease agreement, either written or verbal, nor any rental amount being paid, due or owing. Please DO NOT disturb the occupants. Access for inspections or other purposes is NOT guaranteed - contact listing broker to confirm if accessible. Buyer is assuming ALL responsibility for any necessary eviction action."

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$558 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$847 · $71/mo
Expected delta
+$288/yr (+$24/mo · 51.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,112
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$558
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$969
− Management
−$969
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$5,110
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,227
After-tax cash flow
$4,387/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peoria SD 150
NCES district ID
1731230
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,951
Composite
10.92/100
National rank
#9751
State rank
#554 of 620 in IL

Livability — Peoria

Score
73/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#5096

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peoria, IL
County
Peoria County · 120,495 people
City population
114,670
Metro
Peoria, IL
Population (ZIP)
15,356
Household income
$41,618
Rent vs Own
47.1% rent · 52.9% own
Severe rent burden
849.0

Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
183,007 people
By 2030
179,643 · -1.8%
By 2040
171,782 · -6.1%
By 2050
163,508 · -10.7%
By 2075
140,178 · -23.4%
By 2100
114,493 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 43% White 36% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Peoria

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.98%
Current HPI
141.5343
Rent YoY
▲ 3.49%
Metro
Peoria, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+56.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $50,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-28 Sold (MLS) $18,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-13 Listed $18,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-14 Sold (MLS) $14,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-17 Listed $32,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $558 · -27.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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