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703 N Union Ave
C Composite 57.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

703 N Union Ave · Roswell, NM 88201
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1945 5,750 sqft lot $119/sqft · 74% above area ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Completely rebuilt from the slab up, this home offers a rare opportunity to finish out the interior exactly the way you want. All major systems and structural components have already been completed and passed inspection, including new windows, roof, walls, plumbing, electrical, and HVAC. The seller has also already purchased several key items that will convey with the property, including the hot water heater, kitchen cabinets, and kitchen sink. The remaining work primarily consists of completing the interior finishes, including drywall installation, ceilings, and flooring throughout. Whether you are an investor, contractor, or buyer looking to customize your dream home, this property provid

Key facts

  • New walls
  • New plumbing
  • New hvac

Tags

NEW WINDOWSNEW ROOFNEW WALLSNEW PLUMBINGNEW ELECTRICALNEW HVAC

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 5,750 sq ft (0.132 acres)

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story / single level
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#8 in NM, #4,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Roswell Independent Schools (town): math 11% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #16 of 29 in NM (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 88 units permitted in Chaves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,500 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.84%
Cash-on-cash
9.10%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$57,534
List price
$100,000
Delta
73.81%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1203 N Maple St 0.45mi 1/1.0 (-1) 924 (+10%) 6mo $20,000 $22 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-1,368
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$21,768
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88201

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,013 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $259/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$213
Net cashflow
$212

Break-even live

Break-even rent $744
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
609 W 11th St Roswell, NM 1.0 1.0 971 $850 $0.88 43d 1 0.42mi
1013 W 13th St Apt A Roswell, NM 1.0 1.0 650 $800 $1.23 43d 1 0.49mi
208 W 8th St Unit 003 Roswell, NM 2.0 1.0 850 $900 $1.06 43d 1 0.62mi
1002 W Deming St Roswell, NM 2.0 1.0 792 $1,050 $1.33 43d 1 1.00mi
602 S Woody Dr Unit A Roswell, NM 1.0 1.0 550 $1,150 $2.09 43d 1 1.12mi
1303 W Bonita Dr Roswell, NM 2.0 1.0 840 $875 $1.04 43d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    price $100,000 774-char remark
  2. 2026-05-04
    listed $110,000 Active 774-char remark
  3. 2025-06-30
    soldstatus
  4. 2025-06-09
    soldstatus
  5. 2024-03-28
    soldstatus
  6. 2007-12-03
    soldstatus
  7. 2004-12-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$259 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$800 · $67/mo
Expected delta
+$541/yr (+$45/mo · 209.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,151
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$259
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$972
− Management
−$972
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$938
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$225
After-tax cash flow
$2,323/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roswell Independent Schools
NCES district ID
3502250
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 23.00%
Median HH income
$38,848
Composite
26.21/100
National rank
#7262
State rank
#16 of 29 in NM

Livability — Roswell

Score
75/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#4339

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roswell, NM
County
Chaves County · 56,277 people
City population
56,277
Metro
Roswell, NM
Population (ZIP)
27,524
Household income
$61,780
Rent vs Own
24.5% rent · 75.5% own
Severe rent burden
603.0

Population outlook (Chaves County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,122 people
By 2030
66,351 · +0.3%
By 2040
66,818 · +1.1%
By 2050
66,928 · +1.2%
By 2075
65,474 · -1.0%
By 2100
58,943 · -10.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% White 44% Two or more races 16% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chaves

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.8% · R 71.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.7pp · 2024: -44.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.8 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+32.4 2008: R+24.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -130.52%
Current HPI
149.3526
Rent YoY
▲ 4.32%
Metro
Roswell, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-9.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) NMMLS
  • 2026-05-25 Pending NMMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $100,000 NMMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $110,000 NMMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-06-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-03-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-12-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-12-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $259 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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