703 N Union Ave · Roswell, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Completely rebuilt from the slab up, this home offers a rare opportunity to finish out the interior exactly the way you want. All major systems and structural components have already been completed and passed inspection, including new windows, roof, walls, plumbing, electrical, and HVAC. The seller has also already purchased several key items that will convey with the property, including the hot water heater, kitchen cabinets, and kitchen sink. The remaining work primarily consists of completing the interior finishes, including drywall installation, ceilings, and flooring throughout. Whether you are an investor, contractor, or buyer looking to customize your dream home, this property provid
Key facts
- New walls
- New plumbing
- New hvac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 5,750 sq ft (0.132 acres)
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story / single level
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#8 in NM, #4,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Roswell Independent Schools (town): math 11% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #16 of 29 in NM (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 88 units permitted in Chaves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.10%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $57,534
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- 73.81%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1203 N Maple St | 0.45mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 924 (+10%) | 6mo | $20,000 | $22 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,368
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $21,768
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88201
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 248
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,013 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$22 /mo · $259/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $212
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609 W 11th St Roswell, NM | 1.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $850 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1013 W 13th St Apt A Roswell, NM | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $800 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 208 W 8th St Unit 003 Roswell, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $900 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1002 W Deming St Roswell, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,050 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 602 S Woody Dr Unit A Roswell, NM | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,150 | $2.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1303 W Bonita Dr Roswell, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $875 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-12price $100,000 774-char remark
-
2026-05-04$110,000 Active 774-char remark
-
2025-06-30soldstatus
-
2025-06-09soldstatus
-
2024-03-28soldstatus
-
2007-12-03soldstatus
-
2004-12-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $259 · $22/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $800 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- +$541/yr (+$45/mo · 209.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,151
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$259
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$972
- − Management
- −$972
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $938
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$225
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,323/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roswell Independent Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3502250
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 23.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,848
- Composite
- 26.21/100
- National rank
- #7262
- State rank
- #16 of 29 in NM
Livability — Roswell
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #4339
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roswell, NM
- County
- Chaves County · 56,277 people
- City population
- 56,277
- Metro
- Roswell, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,524
- Household income
- $61,780
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 603.0
Population outlook (Chaves County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,122 people
- By 2030
- 66,351 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 66,818 · +1.1%
- By 2050
- 66,928 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 65,474 · -1.0%
- By 2100
- 58,943 · -10.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 44% Two or more races 16% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chaves
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.8% · R 71.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.7pp · 2024: -44.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+32.4 2008: R+24.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -130.52%
- Current HPI
- 149.3526
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.32%
- Metro
- Roswell, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-9.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) — NMMLS
- 2026-05-25 Pending — NMMLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $100,000 NMMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $110,000 NMMLS
- 2025-06-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-06-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-03-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-12-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-12-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $259 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…