183 Island Dr · Emerald Lakes, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- Appreciation +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled at the corner of a generous lot, 183 Island Drive awaits like a cottage pulled from the pages of a fairy tale. This charming ranch-style retreat feels worlds away from the rush of everyday life — yet it sits just moments from major commuting routes, making it a rare portal between two worlds. Whether you seek the magic of the Pocono Mountains or the convenience of the highway, this home offers both with quiet grace. Step inside and feel the warmth of a living room where a wood-burning fireplace casts a dancing glow against walls framed by a grand picture window and two charming smaller windows — as though the forest outside has pressed its face to the glass, wishing to b
Key facts
- Large deck
- Screened in porch
- Eat in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area: 1,312 (finished); Below-grade finished area: 504 (finished); Zoned R-2
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Private well for water; Septic tank for sewer
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedrooms and other rooms combined)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Resilient flooring; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full walk-out basement with exterior entry; Fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-712/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (4.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (18.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $211k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.0% in Emerald Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#974 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $158k; list at $260k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.98%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $288,640
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163 Granite Rd | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,340 (+2%) | 10mo | $180,000 | $134 | 77 |
| 144 Island Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (+4%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $194 | 67 |
| 195 Overland Dr | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,308 (-0%) | 20mo | $305,000 | $233 | 62 |
| 215 Granite Rd | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+2%) | 11mo | $320,000 | $238 | 62 |
| 181 Cedar Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,320 (+1%) | 3mo | $173,000 | $131 | 57 |
| 1493 Clover Rd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,332 (+2%) | 24mo | $279,000 | $209 | 51 |
| 300 Cedar Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,156 (-12%) | 10mo | $401,000 | $347 | 46 |
| 1265 Clover Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,408 (+7%) | 16mo | $310,000 | $220 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.95% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-22,747
- Equity at exit
- $63,388
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,911
- Equity at exit
- $67,118
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18334
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,113 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$258 /mo · $3,093/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $-59
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $259,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $259,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $259,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $259,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-25$259,900 Active
-
2024-12-31historical
-
2024-07-16price $279,000
-
2024-07-16price $279,000
-
2024-06-14$299,900 Active
-
2024-06-14$299,900 Active
-
2022-03-03soldstatus $158,000
-
2022-03-03soldstatus
-
2022-03-03soldstatus $158,000
-
2021-10-19$145,000
-
2021-10-18$145,000
-
2021-10-18$145,000
-
2007-08-30soldstatus $210,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,093 · $258/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,600 · $300/mo
- Expected delta
- +$507/yr (+$42/mo · 16.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,361
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$3,093
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,029
- − Management
- −$2,029
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$5,208
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,250
- After-tax cash flow
- $538/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Emerald Lakes
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #974
- US rank
- #10662
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Emerald Lakes, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,907
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Black 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.95%
- Current HPI
- 178.5307
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+23.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $259,900 GLVRMLS
- 2024-12-31 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2024-07-16 Price Changed $279,000 GLVRMLS
- 2024-07-16 Price Changed $279,000 PMAR
- 2024-06-14 Listed $299,900 PMAR
- 2024-06-14 Listed $299,900 GLVRMLS
- 2022-03-03 Sold (MLS) $158,000 PMAR
- 2022-03-03 Sold (MLS) — PWMLS
- 2022-03-03 Sold (MLS) $158,000 PWMLS
- 2021-10-19 Listed $145,000 PMAR
- 2021-10-18 Listed $145,000 PWMLS
- 2021-10-18 Listed $145,000 PWMLS
- 2007-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.5%/yrLatest (2026): $3,093 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…