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183 Island Dr
D+ Composite 47.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$259,900

183 Island Dr · Emerald Lakes, PA 18334
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1977 0.59 ac lot Est $289k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled at the corner of a generous lot, 183 Island Drive awaits like a cottage pulled from the pages of a fairy tale. This charming ranch-style retreat feels worlds away from the rush of everyday life — yet it sits just moments from major commuting routes, making it a rare portal between two worlds. Whether you seek the magic of the Pocono Mountains or the convenience of the highway, this home offers both with quiet grace. Step inside and feel the warmth of a living room where a wood-burning fireplace casts a dancing glow against walls framed by a grand picture window and two charming smaller windows — as though the forest outside has pressed its face to the glass, wishing to b

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Screened in porch
  • Eat in kitchen

Tags

WOOD BURNING FIREPLACEGRAND PICTURE WINDOWFRENCH GLASS DOORSEAT IN KITCHENSCREENED IN PORCHLARGE DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area: 1,312 (finished); Below-grade finished area: 504 (finished); Zoned R-2

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Private well for water; Septic tank for sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedrooms and other rooms combined)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Resilient flooring; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full walk-out basement with exterior entry; Fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-712/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (4.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (18.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $211k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.0% in Emerald Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#974 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $158k; list at $260k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $211,342 (18.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.98%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$288,640
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
163 Granite Rd 0.13mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,340 (+2%) 10mo $180,000 $134 77
144 Island Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,368 (+4%) 10mo $265,000 $194 67
195 Overland Dr 0.28mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,308 (-0%) 20mo $305,000 $233 62
215 Granite Rd 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+2%) 11mo $320,000 $238 62
181 Cedar Dr 0.68mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,320 (+1%) 3mo $173,000 $131 57
1493 Clover Rd 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,332 (+2%) 24mo $279,000 $209 51
300 Cedar Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,156 (-12%) 10mo $401,000 $347 46
1265 Clover Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,408 (+7%) 16mo $310,000 $220 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.95% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-22,747
Equity at exit
$63,388
10-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-2,911
Equity at exit
$67,118

Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18334

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
107
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,113 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$258 /mo · $3,093/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$-59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,189
Max offer price $249,414
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,975
Closing costs
$7,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $259,900 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $259,900 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $259,900 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $259,900 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $259,900 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $259,900 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $259,900 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $259,900 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $259,900 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $259,900 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $259,900 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $259,900 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $259,900 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $259,900 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $259,900 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-05-25
    listed $259,900 Active
  17. 2024-12-31
    historical
  18. 2024-07-16
    price $279,000
  19. 2024-07-16
    price $279,000
  20. 2024-06-14
    listed $299,900 Active
  21. 2024-06-14
    listed $299,900 Active
  22. 2022-03-03
    soldstatus $158,000
  23. 2022-03-03
    soldstatus
  24. 2022-03-03
    soldstatus $158,000
  25. 2021-10-19
    listed $145,000
  26. 2021-10-18
    listed $145,000
  27. 2021-10-18
    listed $145,000
  28. 2007-08-30
    soldstatus $210,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,093 · $258/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,600 · $300/mo
Expected delta
+$507/yr (+$42/mo · 16.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,361
− Mortgage interest
−$14,558
− Property taxes
−$3,093
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,029
− Management
−$2,029
− Depreciation
−$7,561
Taxable loss
−$5,208
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,250
After-tax cash flow
$538/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Emerald Lakes

Score
67/100
State rank
#974
US rank
#10662

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Emerald Lakes, PA
Population (ZIP)
4,907

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Black 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 17%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.95%
Current HPI
178.5307
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+23.8% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $259,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2024-12-31 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2024-07-16 Price Changed $279,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2024-07-16 Price Changed $279,000 PMAR
  • 2024-06-14 Listed $299,900 PMAR
  • 2024-06-14 Listed $299,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2022-03-03 Sold (MLS) $158,000 PMAR
  • 2022-03-03 Sold (MLS) PWMLS
  • 2022-03-03 Sold (MLS) $158,000 PWMLS
  • 2021-10-19 Listed $145,000 PMAR
  • 2021-10-18 Listed $145,000 PWMLS
  • 2021-10-18 Listed $145,000 PWMLS
  • 2007-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,093 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…