903 Brackenridge Ave · Brackenridge, PA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$39,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BEAUTIFUL WELL KEPT LOTS OF ORIGINAL WOODWORK MOTHER IN LAW APARTMENT NEWER FURNACE ENTRY DOOR A MUST SEE
Key facts
- Large dining room
- Brick house
- Sizable backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Public transportation nearby
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: 3 stories; Resale property
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Public sewer
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating
- Interior features: Masonry fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $802 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#510 in PA, #4,660 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, commute A; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
- Highlands SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #376 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($270 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 94.25%
- DSCR
- 5.19
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $159,104
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 473 E 7th | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,417 (+1%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $81 | 69 |
| 1040 8th Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,368 (-3%) | 11mo | $65,000 | $48 | 65 |
| 811 Cleveland Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,460 (+4%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $86 | 62 |
| 524 Roup St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+2%) | 2mo | $183,000 | $127 | 61 |
| 721 Morgan St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,560 (+11%) | 2mo | $44,900 | $29 | 60 |
| 1066 Roup Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,515 (+8%) | 3mo | $148,000 | $98 | 59 |
| 1239 9th Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,456 (+3%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $141 | 56 |
| 1138 Union Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,392 (-1%) | 10mo | $183,000 | $131 | 51 |
| 240 Reed St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,398 (-1%) | 11mo | $240,000 | $172 | 50 |
| 952 Roup Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,566 (+11%) | 8mo | $169,900 | $108 | 50 |
| 1126 Highland St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,440 (+2%) | 7mo | $206,500 | $143 | 50 |
| 805 Kentucky St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,216 (-14%) | 0mo | $138,000 | $113 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 97.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.63×
- Total profit
- $72,384
- Equity at exit
- $35,134
- IRR
- 92.6%
- Equity multiple
- 16.85×
- Total profit
- $173,095
- Equity at exit
- $75,768
Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15014
- Home prices YoY
- 10.8%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,427 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$205
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$49 /mo · $585/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $802
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,750
- Closing costs
- $1,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 875 1st Ave Brackenridge, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,399 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1067 Cleveland Ave Brackenridge, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1067 Cleveland Ave Brackenridge, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 1d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1210 Minnesota Ave Natrona Heights, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,980 | $1.62 | 1d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 300 Craigdell Rd New Kensington, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,130 | $0.87 | 1d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 424 W 7th Ave Unit 2 Tarentum, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,250 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 630-char remark
-
2026-06-18$39,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,122
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,185
- − Property taxes
- −$585
- − Insurance
- −$861
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,370
- − Management
- −$1,370
- − Depreciation
- −$1,135
- Taxable income
- $9,617
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,308
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,318/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highlands SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211880
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,730
- Composite
- 32.58/100
- National rank
- #5679
- State rank
- #376 of 539 in PA
Livability — Brackenridge
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #510
- US rank
- #4660
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brackenridge, PA
- City population
- 3,109
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,109
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Slovak 4% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.92%
- Current HPI
- 224.4654
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-7.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $39,000 West Penn MLS
- 2001-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
- 2001-06-05 Sold (MLS) $64,500 West Penn MLS
- 2000-12-31 Listed $65,000 West Penn MLS
- 1989-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2026): $2,516 · +45.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…