2001 5th St · Altoona, PA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOVE IN READY! New siding, beautiful tiled bathroom, new floors, new paint, and many more upgrades. Come check out this 3 bedroom house on a corner lot. Open concept with appliances included.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Side yard
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($989 rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.8% in Altoona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#237 in PA, #2,060 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.84%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $112,812
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2109 9th St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+8%) | 5mo | $122,500 | $102 | 74 |
| 323 Wopsononock Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,176 (+6%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $162 | 74 |
| 207 Spruce Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,108 (+0%) | 7mo | $78,000 | $70 | 72 |
| 908 26th Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,194 (+8%) | 3mo | $162,000 | $136 | 68 |
| 118 23rd Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-4%) | 11mo | $97,900 | $93 | 68 |
| 117 E 25th Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,008 (-9%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $144 | 59 |
| 303 Cherry Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (+11%) | 11mo | $64,995 | $53 | 57 |
| 1013 16th Ave | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 995 (-10%) | 6mo | $18,000 | $18 | 56 |
| 100 Maple Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,251 (+13%) | 11mo | $30,000 | $24 | 52 |
| 260 E Fairview Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (+6%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $153 | 52 |
| 502 27th Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-13%) | 11mo | $85,000 | $89 | 52 |
| 1220-1224 28th Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 986 (-11%) | 9mo | $129,900 | $132 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-5,735
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $7,440
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16601
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $989 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,104/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $152
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1102 17th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $899 | $0.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 100 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $975 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 200 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $975 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 212 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $975 | $1.03 | 43d | 2 | 0.52mi |
| 300 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $975 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 400 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $975 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1489 Washington Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $850 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2708 Wehnwood Rd Altoona, PA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 960 | $967 | $1.01 | 43d | 5 | 1.01mi |
| 315 10th St Unit Rear- 1st Fl Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 201 2nd Ave Unit 2nd Fl Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1244 | $790 | $0.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-03-04soldstatus $89,350
-
2026-01-31status Pending
-
2025-12-02price $95,000
-
2025-11-03price $99,000
-
2025-10-06price $110,000
-
2025-10-02$119,900 Active
-
2020-11-09soldstatus $63,000
-
2020-11-05soldstatus $63,000 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
MOVE IN READY! New siding, beautiful tiled bathroom, new floors, new paint, and many more upgrades. Come check out this 3 bedroom house on a corner lot. Open concept with appliances included.
-
2020-09-14$65,000 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
MOVE IN READY! New siding, beautiful tiled bathroom, new floors, new paint, and many more upgrades. Come check out this 3 bedroom house on a corner lot. Open concept with appliances included.
-
2010-04-05soldstatus $34,900
-
2010-04-05soldstatus $31,383
-
2009-08-24$34,900
-
2006-03-03soldstatus $25,000
-
2006-03-03soldstatus $25,000
-
2006-03-03soldstatus $25,000
-
2005-12-12$27,900
-
2003-02-25soldstatus $23,000
-
2003-02-25soldstatus $23,000
-
2002-07-05$25,900
-
2001-11-26$33,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,104 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,302 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$199/yr (+$17/mo · 18.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,870
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,104
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$950
- − Management
- −$950
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $307
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$74
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,747/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Altoona Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202340
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,465
- Composite
- 30.85/100
- National rank
- #6130
- State rank
- #406 of 539 in PA
Livability — Altoona
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #2060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Altoona, PA
- County
- Blair County · 59,867 people
- City population
- 59,867
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,515
- Household income
- $58,070
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 715.0
Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,571 people
- By 2030
- 117,966 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 109,174 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 99,542 · -18.1%
- By 2075
- 76,775 · -36.8%
- By 2100
- 54,326 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Blair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.97%
- Current HPI
- 183.9907
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+163.6% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $89,350 Public Records
- 2026-01-31 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $95,000 AHARMLS
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $99,000 AHARMLS
- 2025-10-06 Price Changed $110,000 AHARMLS
- 2025-10-02 Listed $119,900 AHARMLS
- 2020-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2020-11-05 Sold (MLS) $63,000 AHARMLS
- 2020-09-14 Listed $65,000 AHARMLS
- 2010-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $31,383 Public Records
- 2010-04-05 Sold (MLS) $34,900 AHARMLS
- 2009-08-24 Listed $34,900 AHARMLS
- 2006-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2006-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2006-03-03 Sold (MLS) $25,000 AHARMLS
- 2005-12-12 Listed $27,900 AHARMLS
- 2003-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
- 2003-02-25 Sold (MLS) $23,000 AHARMLS
- 2002-07-05 Listed $25,900 AHARMLS
- 2001-11-26 Listed $33,900 AHARMLS
Property tax history
-7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,104 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…