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104 York Dr Lot 53
A- Composite 84.93
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$89,900

104 York Dr Lot 53 · Mountainhome, PA 18426
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured · 197 Days on market
Built 1987 Good condition 1,307 sqft lot Est $122k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Rustic Acres - Newly Remodeled with a spacious open concept living area featuring a wood burning fireplace as the focal point of the room, Eat In Kitcen and Laundry area. This property also features a Primary Suite with full bath and 2 additional bedrooms and a main bath with a walk in shower. This property featues new windows and doors including a storm door, front deck, shed for storage and a paved parking area. Owner says make me an offer!

Key facts

  • New doors
  • Primary suite
  • Walk in shower

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LIVING AREAWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEPRIMARY SUITEWALK IN SHOWERNEW WINDOWSNEW DOORS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Land is leased; Private road with road maintenance agreement; No community amenities listed

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 open parking spaces; Off-street paved parking pad on site
  • Utilities: 100 amp electric service; Propane available/connected; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected (shared septic); Cable and phone available
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; Residential single-family use; Metal roof; Frame construction with vinyl siding; Slab foundation; Faces private road in Rustic Acres subdivision
  • Construction: Built as a manufactured house; Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Back yard and front yard; Level, rectangular interior lot; Shed on property; Fuel tank(s); Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Free-standing refrigerator; Free-standing gas range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Vaulted ceilings; Track lighting; Soaking tub; Low-flow plumbing fixtures; Laminate countertops; ENERGY STAR qualified and insulated windows; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (washer/dryer listed); Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry closet; Main level laundry located in kitchen; Water heater (electric)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.4% in Mountainhome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#582 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Wallenpaupack South El Sch (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #654 of 1,518 statewide, top 47%, 255 students, 72% FRL); Wallenpaupack Area Ms (math 23% / reading 57%, grade F, #257 of 512 statewide, top 52%, 644 students, 59% FRL); Wallenpaupack Area Hs (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #48 of 437 statewide, top 11%, 990 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 44% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
  • Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 197 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 197 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
11.23%
Cash-on-cash
17.63%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$121,520
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
126 Middle Rd 0.04mi 2/1.5 (-1) 980 (0%) 1mo $75,000 $77 90
111 Middle Road Rd 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,000 (+2%) 20mo $145,000 $145 76
108 Middle Rd 0.05mi 2/2.0 (-1) 924 (-6%) 9mo $115,000 $124 76
123 Middle Rd 0.06mi 3/1.0 980 (0%) 22mo $40,000 $41 75
106 York Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,120 (+14%) 6mo $105,000 $94 71
116 Middle Rd 0.05mi 2/2.0 (-1) 924 (-6%) 24mo $117,700 $127 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$35,607
Equity at exit
$41,703
10-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
4.67×
Total profit
$92,310
Equity at exit
$65,282

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18426

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,255 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$370

Break-even live

Break-even rent $786
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $432 -5% $401 +0% $370 +5% $339 +10% $308
Rent -10% $271 -5% $320 +0% $370 +5% $419 +10% $469
Rate -1.0pp $415 -0.5pp $393 base $370 +0.5pp $347 +1.0pp $323

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $89,900 Pending 197 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 197 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 196 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 195 DOM
  5. 2025-11-17
    listed $89,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,055
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,348
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,204
− Management
−$1,204
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$3,197
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$767
After-tax cash flow
$3,671/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with no major repairs needed. It has a good exterior, interior, and landscaping. Painting the exterior and landscaping the front yard can further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the exterior siding and windows — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Rental Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can attract more renters and make the home more appealing.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting the exterior siding and windows — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Rental Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can attract more renters and make the home more appealing.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wallenpaupack Area SD
NCES district ID
4224750
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,027
Composite
41.97/100
National rank
#3345
State rank
#192 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mountainhome

Score
73/100
State rank
#582
US rank
#5598

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,426

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,548 people
By 2030
51,622 · -3.6%
By 2040
46,490 · -13.2%
By 2050
40,372 · -24.6%
By 2075
31,951 · -40.3%
By 2100
26,821 · -49.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4%
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.25%
Current HPI
236.763
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-11-17 Listed $89,900 PWMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…