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402 W Johnny Lytle Ave
B Composite 74.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

402 W Johnny Lytle Ave · Springfield, OH 45506
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,149 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1886 6,550 sqft lot Est $115k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't miss out on this great investment opportunity. Priced to sell so make an offer! Highly motivated Lender. Fast responses to all inquiries.

Key facts

  • New entry door
  • Full bath reno
  • Lvp flooring

Tags

CORNER LOTROOM BY ROOM RENOVATIONSNEW ENTRY DOORLVP FLOORINGFULL BATH RENOUPDATED FURNACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Has heating (forced air, natural gas)
  • Home design: Two-story home
  • Construction: Asbestos construction material; Cellar foundation
  • Exterior features: Residential lot approximately 0.15 acres (50 x 131)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level, about 13 x 13
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on second floor, about 13 x 15; Bedroom on second floor, about 14 x 13
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Cellar (foundation)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room, about 9 x 12

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $766 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 20.5% vs local median 4.8% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Springfield City School District (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #616 of 656 in OH (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Perrin Woods Elementary School (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #1,375 of 1,584 statewide, top 87%, 379 students, 0% FRL); Hayward Middle School (math 15% / reading 14%, grade F, #630 of 654 statewide, top 97%, 339 students, 0% FRL); Springfield High School (math 17% / reading 31%, grade F, #665 of 781 statewide, top 85%, 1,516 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 75% district-wide (75 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $5k; list at $65k implies a 1198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $64,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.35%
Cap rate
20.46%
Cash-on-cash
50.61%
DSCR
3.25
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$114,900
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
536 Rosewood Ave 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,144 (-0%) 10mo $114,000 $100 77
1505 S Yellow Springs St 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,152 (+0%) 11mo $160,000 $139 69
1603 W Wittenberg Blvd 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,075 (-6%) 10mo $39,900 $37 66
610 Portage Path 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-12%) 2mo $105,000 $104 64
542 Rosewood Ave 0.22mi 3/1.0 999 (-13%) 6mo $95,000 $95 63
1551 Southgate Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-12%) 6mo $75,000 $74 63
524 Rosewood Ave 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,308 (+14%) 11mo $95,000 $73 58
329 Fair St 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,252 (+9%) 7mo $97,000 $77 56
237 Sturgeon St 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,225 (+7%) 6mo $155,000 $127 52
230 Rice St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,208 (+5%) 2mo $40,000 $33 52
1216 Innisfallen Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-13%) 8mo $119,900 $120 40
305 Catherine St 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,272 (+11%) 9mo $143,000 $112 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.4%
Equity multiple
3.11×
Total profit
$38,312
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
54.0%
Equity multiple
6.30×
Total profit
$96,285
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45506

Home prices YoY
-14.1%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,527 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $869/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$321
Net cashflow
$766

Break-even live

Break-even rent $557
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $803 -5% $785 +0% $766 +5% $748 +10% $730
Rent -10% $646 -5% $706 +0% $766 +5% $827 +10% $887
Rate -1.0pp $799 -0.5pp $783 base $766 +0.5pp $750 +1.0pp $732

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
545 W Grand Ave Springfield, OH 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,595 $1.10 5d 1 0.18mi
1452 S Wittenberg Ave Springfield, OH 2.0 1.0 937 $1,010 $1.08 3d 1 0.28mi
18 E Grand Ave Springfield, OH 4.0 2.0 1452 $1,575 $1.08 20d 1 0.51mi
1306 S Limestone St Springfield, OH 4.0 2.0 1452 $1,695 $1.17 23d 1 0.55mi
524 W Pleasant St Springfield, OH 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,645 $1.13 12d 1 0.59mi
523 W Mulberry St Springfield, OH 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,825 $1.25 12d 1 0.62mi
306 S Plum St Springfield, OH 4.0 2.0 1352 $1,700 $1.26 45d 1 0.71mi
302 S Yellow Springs St Springfield, OH 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,845 $1.27 12d 1 0.73mi
313 E Rose St Springfield, OH 3.0 1.0 828 $1,200 $1.45 25d 1 0.77mi
220 S Yellow Springs St Springfield, OH 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,645 $1.13 25d 1 0.78mi
421 Catherine St Springfield, OH 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,500 $1.00 45d 1 0.86mi
826 Grant St Springfield, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 4d 1 1.43mi
2406 Springfield Xenia Rd Springfield, OH 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,650 $1.27 4d 1 1.45mi
307 N Isabella St Unit 309 Springfield, OH 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,400 $1.08 4d 1 1.45mi
830 Oak St Unit 830 Springfield, OH 4.0 1.5 1400 $1,250 $0.89 16d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 695-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $64,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$869 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$941 · $78/mo
Expected delta
+$72/yr (+$6/mo · 8.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,322
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$869
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,466
− Management
−$1,466
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$8,673
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,082
After-tax cash flow
$7,115/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield City School District
NCES district ID
3904481
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$32,541
Composite
19.12/100
National rank
#8834
State rank
#616 of 656 in OH

Livability — Springfield

Score
56/100
State rank
#1108
US rank
#22551

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, OH
County
Clark County · 33,261 people
City population
33,261
Metro
Springfield, OH
Population (ZIP)
13,435
Household income
$42,104
Rent vs Own
42.4% rent · 57.6% own
Severe rent burden
684.0

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
130,703 people
By 2030
126,952 · -2.9%
By 2040
118,344 · -9.5%
By 2050
109,590 · -16.2%
By 2075
89,464 · -31.6%
By 2100
68,810 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 30% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
2008→2024 swing
-27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.97%
Current HPI
286.2883
Rent YoY
Metro
Springfield, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+224.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $64,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $69,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2012-12-17 Sold (MLS) $5,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2012-12-17 Sold (MLS) $5,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2012-12-17 Sold (MLS) $5,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2012-08-30 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2012-08-30 Listed $5,200 Cincy MLS
  • 2012-08-30 Listed $5,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2012-05-07 Listed $9,900 Cincy MLS
  • 1997-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 1996-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $869 · +19.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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