CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1653 Mcilwraith St
C Composite 57.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.3/15.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

1653 Mcilwraith St · Muskegon, MI 49442
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 702 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 248 Days on market
Built 1000 9,932 sqft lot Est $88k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming home situated on a spacious . 288-acre lot close to Muskegon Schools! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers efficient living with modern updates throughout. Enjoy relaxing on the large covered side deck overlooking the generous yard, perfect for outdoor activities or entertaining. The home features a full unfinished basement with laundry area and plenty of room for storage or future finishing potential. With its convenient location, and great outdoor space, this property is ideal for a first-time homebuyer or investor looking for an easy-to-maintain option in Muskegon.

Key facts

  • Generous yard
  • Modern updates
  • Spacious lot

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTLARGE COVERED SIDE DECKFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTGENEROUS YARDMODERN UPDATES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Natural gas available; Electricity available; Cable connected; High-speed internet
  • Home design: Single-family residence, Cape Cod style; Living area about 850; Public water
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Year built listed as 1000 (data appears incorrect)
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Paved and unimproved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (approx. 16 x 10); Range
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (approx. 9 x 17)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Covered entrance; Full basement; 5 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.6% in Muskegon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#92 in MI, #2,096 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
  • Muskegon Public Schools Of The City Of (urban): math 4% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #534 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $100k implies a 212% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1000 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1000 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.88%
Cash-on-cash
12.80%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$87,750
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1844 Superior St 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 679 (-3%) 0mo $108,000 $159 72
764 Louis Ave Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 711 (+1%) 8mo $30,000 $42 69
530 E Larch Ave 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 752 (+7%) 16mo $140,000 $186 65
1681 Edwin St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 732 (+4%) 2mo $60,000 $82 62
1921 Jiroch St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (+3%) 5mo $89,900 $125 58
2044 Wood St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 658 (-6%) 4mo $28,500 $43 55
1861 Elwood St 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (+9%) 13mo $137,000 $178 54
613 E Holbrook Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 784 (+12%) 8mo $75,000 $96 52
891 E Forest Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 763 (+9%) 8mo $95,000 $125 50
1912 Ray St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (+9%) 11mo $54,000 $70 48
757 Louis Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 795 (+13%) 13mo $135,000 $170 41
577 E Hackley Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 740 (+5%) 17mo $35,000 $47 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$9,104
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
3.18×
Total profit
$61,022
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49442

Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
289
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,192 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $933/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$298

Break-even live

Break-even rent $814
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
121 E Holbrook Ave Apt 3 Muskegon, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $950 $1.46 21d 1 0.56mi
1126 Holt St Muskegon, MI 2.0 1.0 708 $1,095 $1.55 21d 1 0.75mi
1101 Spring St Muskegon, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 21d 1 0.79mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,900 Active 248 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 247 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 246 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 245 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 244 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,900 Active 242 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 241 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,900 Active 239 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 238 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 237 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 236 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,900 Active 233 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 232 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 231 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 230 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 229 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 228 DOM
  18. 2025-10-14
    listed $99,900 Active 586-char remark
    Show marketing remark (586 chars)

    Charming home situated on a spacious . 288-acre lot close to Muskegon Schools! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers efficient living with modern updates throughout. Enjoy relaxing on the large covered side deck overlooking the generous yard, perfect for outdoor activities or entertaining. The home features a full unfinished basement with laundry area and plenty of room for storage or future finishing potential. With its convenient location, and great outdoor space, this property is ideal for a first-time homebuyer or investor looking for an easy-to-maintain option in Muskegon.

  19. 2025-10-14
    listed $99,900 Active 586-char remark
    Show marketing remark (586 chars)

    Charming home situated on a spacious . 288-acre lot close to Muskegon Schools! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers efficient living with modern updates throughout. Enjoy relaxing on the large covered side deck overlooking the generous yard, perfect for outdoor activities or entertaining. The home features a full unfinished basement with laundry area and plenty of room for storage or future finishing potential. With its convenient location, and great outdoor space, this property is ideal for a first-time homebuyer or investor looking for an easy-to-maintain option in Muskegon.

  20. 2025-10-14
    listed $99,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (586 chars)

    Charming home situated on a spacious . 288-acre lot close to Muskegon Schools! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers efficient living with modern updates throughout. Enjoy relaxing on the large covered side deck overlooking the generous yard, perfect for outdoor activities or entertaining. The home features a full unfinished basement with laundry area and plenty of room for storage or future finishing potential. With its convenient location, and great outdoor space, this property is ideal for a first-time homebuyer or investor looking for an easy-to-maintain option in Muskegon.

  21. 2025-09-05
    historical
  22. 2025-09-04
    historical
  23. 2024-09-04
    listed $99,900 Active
  24. 2024-09-04
    listed $99,900 Active
  25. 2014-09-15
    historical
  26. 2004-12-22
    soldstatus $32,000
  27. 2000-04-30
    historical
  28. 1999-11-05
    listed $34,900
  29. 1999-11-05
    listed $34,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$933 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,236 · $103/mo
Expected delta
+$303/yr (+$25/mo · 32.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,303
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$933
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,144
− Management
−$1,144
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$2,080
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$499
After-tax cash flow
$3,081/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Muskegon Public Schools Of The City Of
NCES district ID
2624840
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$27,622
Composite
5.8/100
National rank
#10017
State rank
#534 of 540 in MI

Livability — Muskegon

Score
79/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#2096

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Muskegon, MI
County
Muskegon County · 107,917 people
City population
44,766
Metro
Muskegon, MI
Population (ZIP)
44,766
Household income
$48,563
Rent vs Own
30.6% rent · 69.4% own
Severe rent burden
1598.0

Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,032 people
By 2030
173,365 · -0.4%
By 2040
168,877 · -3.0%
By 2050
160,306 · -7.9%
By 2075
134,426 · -22.8%
By 2100
98,836 · -43.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 22% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.87%
Current HPI
287.0558
Rent YoY
▲ 8.21%
Metro
Muskegon, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+186.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-14 Listed $99,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-10-14 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-14 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-04 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-09-04 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-09-04 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-09-15 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2004-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
  • 2000-04-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1999-11-05 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 1999-11-05 Listed $34,900 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $933 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…