153 W Gogebic St · Ironwood, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2-story Overlooking Long Year Park, and 3-blocks from downtown, and bicycle trails. fenced in yard Steel siding with 1& quot; Foil fase, under it. Dubeled seiling valts to R-30 Vented drop to R-46. Fenced in yard, Sun porch, All new Double pain windows and Doors. New: Furnace, New: Water heater, New: Roof, 5& quot; Aloy gutters and 1-K In pavers Cash price 65K, 85K Contract, at 10% PLUS! Taxes are Insurance. And 25% Down minnamum ! CASH HIGHLY PREFERRED! Con. Later in season Only !. please serious Inqwierys Only. No dreamers please ?? & quot; But bad garage/Basement wall & quot; So selling for hafe price. striping first floor plaster. For new electric and
Key facts
- New furnace
- Double pain windows
- Sun porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $675 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 5.5% in Ironwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#325 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Ironwood Area Schools Of Gogebic County (town): math 23% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #361 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Gogebic County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gogebic County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.51%
- DSCR
- 2.98
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $91,872
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 328 W Norrie St | 0.24mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,036 (-2%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $164 | 66 |
| 244 E Michigan Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,044 (-1%) | 10mo | $66,000 | $63 | 65 |
| 230 W Frederick St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,083 (+3%) | 12mo | $139,000 | $128 | 62 |
| 237 E Ridge St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (-4%) | 10mo | $111,000 | $109 | 60 |
| 334 W Ayer St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+6%) | 6mo | $20,000 | $18 | 60 |
| 504 N 1st Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (+10%) | 1mo | $134,700 | $116 | 59 |
| 122 N Curry St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-2%) | 12mo | $90,000 | $87 | 54 |
| 102 N Mansfield St | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (+4%) | 9mo | $39,900 | $36 | 53 |
| 224 E Harding Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-11%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $80 | 48 |
| 167 E Harding Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (+11%) | 12mo | $84,000 | $71 | 47 |
| 146 E Midland Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (-12%) | 7mo | $127,000 | $137 | 33 |
| 602 Lake Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 914 (-13%) | 9mo | $47,000 | $51 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $32,462
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 47.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.60×
- Total profit
- $83,630
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49938
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,380 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $565/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $675
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $712 | -5% $693 | +0% $675 | +5% $657 | +10% $638 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $566 | -5% $621 | +0% $675 | +5% $730 | +10% $784 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $708 | -0.5pp $692 | base $675 | +0.5pp $658 | +1.0pp $641 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $565 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $783 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$218/yr (+$18/mo · 38.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,559
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$565
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,325
- − Management
- −$1,325
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $7,487
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,797
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,304/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ironwood Area Schools Of Gogebic County
- NCES district ID
- 2619470
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,313
- Composite
- 25.78/100
- National rank
- #7369
- State rank
- #361 of 540 in MI
Livability — Ironwood
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #325
- US rank
- #8024
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ironwood, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,424
Population outlook (Gogebic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,951 people
- By 2030
- 13,191 · -5.4%
- By 2040
- 11,739 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 10,580 · -24.2%
- By 2075
- 8,530 · -38.9%
- By 2100
- 6,903 · -50.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Gogebic
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.1) · D 40.8% · R 57.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.4pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -17.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.1 2020: R+12.5 2016: R+15.0 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.86%
- Current HPI
- 204.0924
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $65,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
-14.6%/yrLatest (2024): $565 · -27.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…