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153 W Gogebic St
B+ Composite 76.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

153 W Gogebic St · Ironwood, MI 49938
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1928 Est $92k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2-story Overlooking Long Year Park, and 3-blocks from downtown, and bicycle trails. fenced in yard Steel siding with 1& quot; Foil fase, under it. Dubeled seiling valts to R-30 Vented drop to R-46. Fenced in yard, Sun porch, All new Double pain windows and Doors. New: Furnace, New: Water heater, New: Roof, 5& quot; Aloy gutters and 1-K In pavers Cash price 65K, 85K Contract, at 10% PLUS! Taxes are Insurance. And 25% Down minnamum ! CASH HIGHLY PREFERRED! Con. Later in season Only !. please serious Inqwierys Only. No dreamers please ?? & quot; But bad garage/Basement wall & quot; So selling for hafe price. striping first floor plaster. For new electric and

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Double pain windows
  • Sun porch

Tags

FENCED IN YARDSUN PORCHDOUBLE PAIN WINDOWSNEW FURNACENEW WATER HEATERNEW ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $675 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 5.5% in Ironwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#325 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Ironwood Area Schools Of Gogebic County (town): math 23% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #361 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Gogebic County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gogebic County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $63,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.12%
Cap rate
18.76%
Cash-on-cash
44.51%
DSCR
2.98
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$91,872
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
328 W Norrie St 0.24mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,036 (-2%) 10mo $170,000 $164 66
244 E Michigan Ave 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,044 (-1%) 10mo $66,000 $63 65
230 W Frederick St 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,083 (+3%) 12mo $139,000 $128 62
237 E Ridge St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,014 (-4%) 10mo $111,000 $109 60
334 W Ayer St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+6%) 6mo $20,000 $18 60
504 N 1st Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,160 (+10%) 1mo $134,700 $116 59
122 N Curry St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,040 (-2%) 12mo $90,000 $87 54
102 N Mansfield St 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,100 (+4%) 9mo $39,900 $36 53
224 E Harding Ave 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-11%) 1mo $75,000 $80 48
167 E Harding Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,176 (+11%) 12mo $84,000 $71 47
146 E Midland Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (-12%) 7mo $127,000 $137 33
602 Lake Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 914 (-13%) 9mo $47,000 $51 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.5%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$32,462
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
47.7%
Equity multiple
5.60×
Total profit
$83,630
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49938

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,380 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $565/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$675

Break-even live

Break-even rent $525
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $712 -5% $693 +0% $675 +5% $657 +10% $638
Rent -10% $566 -5% $621 +0% $675 +5% $730 +10% $784
Rate -1.0pp $708 -0.5pp $692 base $675 +0.5pp $658 +1.0pp $641

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
  17. 2026-05-21
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$565 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$783 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$218/yr (+$18/mo · 38.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,559
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$565
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,325
− Management
−$1,325
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$7,487
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,797
After-tax cash flow
$6,304/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ironwood Area Schools Of Gogebic County
NCES district ID
2619470
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$33,313
Composite
25.78/100
National rank
#7369
State rank
#361 of 540 in MI

Livability — Ironwood

Score
70/100
State rank
#325
US rank
#8024

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ironwood, MI
Population (ZIP)
7,424

Population outlook (Gogebic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,951 people
By 2030
13,191 · -5.4%
By 2040
11,739 · -15.9%
By 2050
10,580 · -24.2%
By 2075
8,530 · -38.9%
By 2100
6,903 · -50.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Gogebic

2024 margin
R (+17.1) · D 40.8% · R 57.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-34.4pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -17.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.1 2020: R+12.5 2016: R+15.0 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -61.86%
Current HPI
204.0924
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $65,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

-14.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $565 · -27.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…