321 Iris Ln · DeFuniak Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$223,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The BIRCH features an open living/kitchen/dining area. In the kitchen you will find granite counter tops, shaker style cabinet doors, walk in pantry, appliance package featuring stainless steel range, dishwasher and microwave and breakfast bar. The master suite features a large walk in closet and master bath includes fiberglass tub/shower combo, single vanity with granite countertops. The additional bath include granite counter tops and tub/shower combo. This home also includes programmable thermostat, security system and Taexx pest control system. PHOTOS NOT ACTUAL HOME. COLORS/SELECTIONS VARY
Key facts
- Brand new condition
- Privacy fence
- Built 2025
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $224k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-135 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (8.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (20.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $179k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#694 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime D.
- Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 422 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($221k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.58%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $214,740
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224 E Iris Ln | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,165 (-2%) | 1mo | $209,000 | $179 | 91 |
| 344 Marigold Ave | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+1%) | 10mo | $229,000 | $191 | 89 |
| 390 E Iris Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,114 (-7%) | 9mo | $199,990 | $180 | 78 |
| 135 E Tiger Lily Ln | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,114 (-7%) | 2mo | $179,888 | $161 | 73 |
| 470 E Marigold East Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,363 (+14%) | 2mo | $251,000 | $184 | 70 |
| 624 Tiger Lily Ln | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,114 (-7%) | 9mo | $199,990 | $180 | 70 |
| 969 Walden Rd | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-3%) | 8mo | $200,990 | $174 | 59 |
| 111 Girl Scout Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,114 (-7%) | 2mo | $199,990 | $180 | 58 |
| 1623 Trout Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,114 (-7%) | 1mo | $179,888 | $161 | 54 |
| 94 W Oleander Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,363 (+14%) | 6mo | $274,900 | $202 | 49 |
| 43 E Crocus Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,363 (+14%) | 2mo | $262,000 | $192 | 49 |
| 114 W May Lilly Ct | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,028 (-14%) | 5mo | $169,000 | $164 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $113,429
- Equity at exit
- $201,796
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.43×
- Total profit
- $340,842
- Equity at exit
- $435,181
Cash invested: $62,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32433
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,789 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,175
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$280 /mo · $3,360/yr
- Insurance
- −$93
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $-135
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,000
- Closing costs
- $6,720
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 Tiger Lily Ln Defuniak Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,795 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 71 Lafavre Ln Defuniak Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,650 | $2.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 150 Hibiscus Ave Defuniak Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,950 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $223,999 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $223,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $223,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $223,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $223,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $223,999 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $223,999 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $223,999 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $223,999 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $223,999 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $223,999 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $223,999 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $223,999 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $223,999 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $223,999 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $223,999 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$223,999 Active
-
2025-08-14soldstatus $220,500 Sold 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
The BIRCH features an open living/kitchen/dining area. In the kitchen you will find granite counter tops, shaker style cabinet doors, walk in pantry, appliance package featuring stainless steel range, dishwasher and microwave and breakfast bar. The master suite features a large walk in closet and master bath includes fiberglass tub/shower combo, single vanity with granite countertops. The additional bath include granite counter tops and tub/shower combo. This home also includes programmable thermostat, security system and Taexx pest control system. PHOTOS NOT ACTUAL HOME. COLORS/SELECTIONS VARY
-
2025-08-05status Pending 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
The BIRCH features an open living/kitchen/dining area. In the kitchen you will find granite counter tops, shaker style cabinet doors, walk in pantry, appliance package featuring stainless steel range, dishwasher and microwave and breakfast bar. The master suite features a large walk in closet and master bath includes fiberglass tub/shower combo, single vanity with granite countertops. The additional bath include granite counter tops and tub/shower combo. This home also includes programmable thermostat, security system and Taexx pest control system. PHOTOS NOT ACTUAL HOME. COLORS/SELECTIONS VARY
-
2025-05-29status Active 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
The BIRCH features an open living/kitchen/dining area. In the kitchen you will find granite counter tops, shaker style cabinet doors, walk in pantry, appliance package featuring stainless steel range, dishwasher and microwave and breakfast bar. The master suite features a large walk in closet and master bath includes fiberglass tub/shower combo, single vanity with granite countertops. The additional bath include granite counter tops and tub/shower combo. This home also includes programmable thermostat, security system and Taexx pest control system. PHOTOS NOT ACTUAL HOME. COLORS/SELECTIONS VARY
-
2025-05-15price $219,000 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
The BIRCH features an open living/kitchen/dining area. In the kitchen you will find granite counter tops, shaker style cabinet doors, walk in pantry, appliance package featuring stainless steel range, dishwasher and microwave and breakfast bar. The master suite features a large walk in closet and master bath includes fiberglass tub/shower combo, single vanity with granite countertops. The additional bath include granite counter tops and tub/shower combo. This home also includes programmable thermostat, security system and Taexx pest control system. PHOTOS NOT ACTUAL HOME. COLORS/SELECTIONS VARY
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2024-12-10price $224,000
-
2024-09-20price $229,000
-
2024-05-24price $246,627
-
2024-05-16$224,000 Active 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
The BIRCH features an open living/kitchen/dining area. In the kitchen you will find granite counter tops, shaker style cabinet doors, walk in pantry, appliance package featuring stainless steel range, dishwasher and microwave and breakfast bar. The master suite features a large walk in closet and master bath includes fiberglass tub/shower combo, single vanity with granite countertops. The additional bath include granite counter tops and tub/shower combo. This home also includes programmable thermostat, security system and Taexx pest control system. PHOTOS NOT ACTUAL HOME. COLORS/SELECTIONS VARY
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,465
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,547
- − Property taxes
- −$3,360
- − Insurance
- −$1,120
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,717
- − Management
- −$1,717
- − Depreciation
- −$6,516
- Taxable loss
- −$5,514
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,323
- After-tax cash flow
- $-296/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This home requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, exterior siding, and HVAC system. Significant improvements are needed to bring the property up to a livable condition.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear visible on the siding.
- Major roof — No visible photos of the roof, but given the overall condition, it's likely in poor condition.
- Major interior walls/paint — No visible photos of the interior walls/paint, but given the overall condition, it's likely in poor condition.
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible photos of the HVAC/mechanicals, but given the overall condition, it's likely in poor condition.
- Major landscaping — Overgrown grass and lack of maintenance visible in the photos.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls and exterior siding — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
- Both repair and replace roof — A new roof will improve the home's structural integrity and curb appeal.
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained yard and curb appeal can attract more buyers and renters.
- Both HVAC system — A new HVAC system will improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers and renters.
- Both exterior siding — A new exterior siding will improve the home's curb appeal and structural integrity, attracting more buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Significant wear and tear visible on the siding. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · No visible photos of the roof, but given the overall condition, it's likely in poor condition. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · No visible photos of the interior walls/paint, but given the overall condition, it's likely in poor condition. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No visible photos of the HVAC/mechanicals, but given the overall condition, it's likely in poor condition. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown grass and lack of maintenance visible in the photos. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls and exterior siding — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both repair and replace roof — A new roof will improve the home's structural integrity and curb appeal. ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained yard and curb appeal can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both HVAC system — A new HVAC system will improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both exterior siding — A new exterior siding will improve the home's curb appeal and structural integrity, attracting more buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walton
- NCES district ID
- 1201980
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,794
- Composite
- 52.03/100
- National rank
- #1634
- State rank
- #10 of 73 in FL
Livability — DeFuniak Springs
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #694
- US rank
- #14475
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Walton County · 70,839 people
- City population
- 19,746
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,746
- Household income
- $52,199
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 356.0
Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,014 people
- By 2030
- 88,120 · +10.1%
- By 2040
- 103,537 · +29.4%
- By 2050
- 117,034 · +46.3%
- By 2075
- 143,901 · +79.8%
- By 2100
- 155,138 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.77%
- Current HPI
- 367.046
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-0.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $223,999 FSBO.com
- 2025-08-14 Sold (MLS) $220,500 ECAR
- 2025-08-05 Pending — ECAR
- 2025-05-29 Relisted — ECAR
- 2025-05-15 Price Changed $219,000 ECAR
- 2024-12-10 Price Changed $224,000 NAMLS
- 2024-09-20 Price Changed $229,000 NAMLS
- 2024-05-24 Price Changed $246,627 NAMLS
- 2024-05-16 Listed $224,000 ECAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…