8 Fordham Hill Oval Unit 6B · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fordham Hill Oval Cooperatives – A Rare Opportunity in University Heights! Discover this spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence in the highly sought-after Fordham Hill Oval community. Unit 6B is attractively priced and offers a blank canvas for buyers eager to create a home tailored to their style. Enjoy the convenience of all-inclusive maintenance, covering heat, hot water, electricity, cooking gas, and taxes—an exceptional value rarely found. The community features 24/7 gated security, a fitness center, onsite management, laundry facilities, playground, garden seating, and a community room, providing comfort and peace of mind. Perfectly situated near Fordham Road shopping and di
Key facts
- Laundry facilities
- Fitness center
- Garden seating
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Has association (Fordham Hill Oval Corp); Monthly association fee of $1,684.44; Association fee covers common area maintenance, electricity, gas, grounds care, heat, hot water, sewer, snow removal, trash and water; Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, gated entry, and playground
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public trash collection; Water connected
- Home design: Stock cooperative
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Entry at level 6
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Other heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Double vanity; Elevator access; Galley-style kitchen; High ceilings; Walk-through kitchen; Outdoor space
- Laundry & utility: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $372 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,090/mo this rent would consume 106% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 9659% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $856 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $69k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.38%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.5% appreciation · 6.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $39,664
- Equity at exit
- $53,688
- IRR
- 24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.50×
- Total profit
- $166,415
- Equity at exit
- $68,096
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10468
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,090 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$1,684
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$859
- Net cashflow
- $372
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 W 206th St Unit 1202E New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $6,250 | $6.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2600 Netherland Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1132 | $3,938 | $3.48 | 22d | 3 | 1.08mi |
| 2311 Crotona Ave Apt 1 Bronx, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $3,350 | $3.53 | 20d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2311 Crotona Ave Apt 2 Bronx, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $3,350 | $3.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,684 · $20,208/yr
- Likely covers
- watergaselectricgymsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $170,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $170,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $170,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $170,000
-
2026-04-10price $189,000
-
2026-03-16price $200,000
-
2026-02-16price $225,000
-
2026-01-16$239,000 Active
-
2024-09-19status Pending
-
2024-09-19historical
-
2024-03-20$199,000 Active
-
2023-11-25historical
-
2023-07-14status Active
-
2023-06-30historical
-
2023-04-04status Active
-
2023-03-31historical
-
2023-01-30price $215,000
-
2022-11-30price $240,000
-
2022-10-26$260,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,074
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$2,550
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,926
- − Management
- −$3,926
- − HOA
- −$20,208
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $3,146
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$755
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,707/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 75,557
- Household income
- $46,233
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9659.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 76% Black 17% Two or more races 15% White 3% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 45%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 46% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 22% English-only · Spanish 69% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.50%
- Current HPI
- 249.8923
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.70%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-34.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $170,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $189,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $200,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $225,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Listed $239,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-19 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-19 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-20 Listed $199,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-25 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-14 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-30 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-04 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-31 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-30 Price Changed $215,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-30 Price Changed $240,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-26 Listed $260,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…