230 Columbia Dr #201 · Cape Canaveral, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Cash flow +8.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BRING ALL OFFERS!! OWNER WILL CONSIDER LEASE PURCHASE. MUST SEE 2 BED 2 BATH CONDO. NEW CARPET AND TILE THROUGHOUT, BUILT IN FEATURES, FRESH PAINT, LOTS OF CABINETS, LARGE WALK-IN CLOSETS, STOVE, DISHWAsHER AND REFRIG. BRAND NEW AC/CONDENSOR, OPEN FLOOR PLAN WITH BLINDS THROUGHOUT. NICE LG. COMMUNITY POOL. CLOSE TO PORT AND RESTAURANTS. MAKE THIS YOUR NEXT VACATION HOME!
Key facts
- $680 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1965
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-170 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $99k (23.3% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#34 in FL, #677 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Cape View Elementary School (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #608 of 2,144 statewide, top 29%, 305 students, 61% FRL); Cocoa Beach Junior/Senior High School (math 65% / reading 66%, grade B, #75 of 667 statewide, top 11%, 982 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 219 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $69k; list at $129k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 37% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.46%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-29,375
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- -12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-29,622
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32920
- Home prices YoY
- -29.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 219
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,841 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,777/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$680
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $-170
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223 Columbia Dr #319 Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,400 | $2.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 220 Columbia Dr #31 Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $1,350 | $1.62 | 23d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 111 Columbia Dr Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,100 | $2.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 200 International Dr #510 Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $2,000 | $1.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 200 International Dr Unit CANB51 Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $2,100 | $2.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 8401 N Atlantic Ave Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $1,550 | $2.19 | 21d | 5 | 0.28mi |
| 8401 N Atlantic Ave Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $1,495 | $2.11 | 14d | 5 | 0.28mi |
| 201 International Dr #653 Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,400 | $2.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 8515 N Atlantic Ave Unit 27 Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,550 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 128 Adams Ave Unit 1 Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,500 | $2.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 120 Madison Ave Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1080 | $2,800 | $2.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 8522 N Atlantic Ave #71 Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 673 | $1,550 | $2.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 201 Chandler St Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $1,595 | $2.28 | 19d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 211 Caroline St Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $1,545 | $2.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 300 Monroe Ave #21 Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,500 | $2.47 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 227 Canaveral Beach Blvd Unit 5 Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,600 | $2.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 227 Canaveral Beach Blvd Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,600 | $2.29 | 19d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 240 Canaveral Beach Blvd Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $2,200 | $2.66 | 14d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 236 Chandler St Unit C Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $1,900 | $1.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 411 Jefferson Ave Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,700 | $2.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 411 Madison Ave Unit N202 Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,650 | $2.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 258 Canaveral Beach Blvd Unit 1245234P Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 818 | $2,570 | $3.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 262 Canaveral Beach Blvd Unit 1464867P Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 968 | $2,245 | $2.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 401 Monroe Ave Unit C201 Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,650 | $1.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 7777 Magnolia Ave Unit 8 Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,800 | $2.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 419 Madison Ave Unit 102 Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,450 | $2.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 408 Harrison Ave Unit 1346830P Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $4,114 | $4.34 | 19d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 355 Polk Ave #8 Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,300 | $2.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 310 Taylor Ave Unit C19 Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $1,525 | $1.66 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 310 Taylor Ave Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,600 | $1.95 | 23d | 3 | 0.71mi |
| 375 Polk Ave Unit A18 Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $1,700 | $1.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 375 Polk Ave Unit 12A4 Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 868 | $2,100 | $2.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 415 Harrison Ave #4 Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 8800 Sea Shell Ln Cape Canaveral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $3,200 | $3.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 467 Jackson Ave Unit Back Unit Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 528 | $1,500 | $2.84 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 206 Pierce Ave Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 7801 Ridgewood Ave Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 893 | $1,850 | $2.07 | 21d | 3 | 0.74mi |
| 523 Jefferson Ave Cape Canaveral, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,300 | $2.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 237 Cherie Down Ln Unit 1 Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 960 | $2,150 | $2.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 8154 Ridgewood Ave Cape Canaveral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $2,500 | $2.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $680 · $8,160/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18statusdays on market $129,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 359-char remark
-
2026-06-15remarks 331-char remark
-
2026-06-15$129,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,777 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,777 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,091
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$1,777
- − Insurance
- −$1,442
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,767
- − Management
- −$1,767
- − HOA
- −$8,160
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable loss
- −$3,802
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$913
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,133/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Cape Canaveral
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #34
- US rank
- #677
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cape Canaveral, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- City population
- 10,005
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,005
- Household income
- $66,955
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 477.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.71%
- Current HPI
- 300.9707
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.02%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+226.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Coming Soon $129,000 SCMLS
- 2016-08-16 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2006-01-26 Listed $140,000 SCMLS
- 2005-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
- 2002-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 1980-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+31.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,777 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…